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Sturm Graz crestSturm Graz
v
Rennes crestRennes

UEFA Europa League | Wed 16 Sep, 20:00

Sturm Graz v Rennes Stats

Data last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026, 15:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sturm Graz face Rennes in UEFA Europa League on Wed 16 Sep, 20:00. Sturm Graz vs Rennes: Home Resilience Meets French Momentum in Europa League Opener. A 1-2 scoreline fits Rennes’ strong domestic form and Sturm Graz’s home scoring ability. That contrast gives this opener its shape.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 65%, above the 50% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 8/15, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 65%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 65% while the model sits nearer 50% (-15.2 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +12 pts edge at 2.38.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 50% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 65% implied by the current price. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 65% implied
Negative
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -15.2 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Sturm’s recent results have been less convincing, but Graz has generally been a far more productive setting for their European football than the road.

Main risk

Sturm’s recent results have been less convincing, but Graz has generally been a far more productive setting for their European football than the road.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sturm Graz-
Avg goals scored
Rennes-
Sturm Graz-
Avg goals conceded
Rennes-
Sturm Graz-
BTTS rate
Rennes-
Sturm Graz-
Over 2.5 goals
Rennes-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 64% · edge -13.7 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa League fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictionplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 64% · edge -13.7 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Sturm Graz Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Rennes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Rennes to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Sturm Graz to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sturm Graz

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Sturm Graz yet.

Rennes

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Rennes yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 78% · edge -5 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Load more odds for this section
Sturm Graz Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Rennes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Rennes to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Sturm Graz to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Sturm Graz Over 2.5
-Rennes Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

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