Football Stats Hub

Strasbourg crestStrasbourg
v
Monaco crestMonaco

Ligue 1 | Sat 12 Sep, 16:15

Strasbourg v Monaco Stats

Data last updated: Mon 05 Oct 2026, 05:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Strasbourg face Monaco in Ligue 1 on Sat 12 Sep, 16:15. Over 2.5 Total Goals @ 8/15: Settles as a winner if the fixture produces three or more total goals, regardless of which side scores them. Conceded only 1 goal across 3 Ligue 1 games, winning 5 straight competitive matches under Filipe Luis.

BT4Y best bet

Monaco to win and both teams to score

  • At 5/2, Monaco to win and both teams to score implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 38%.
  • Settlement Rule: Correct Score markets settle based on the exact final scoreline after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Monaco need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Strasbourg on 6 and Monaco on 9.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 67% for Strasbourg and 33% for Monaco.
  • Monaco to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.67 for Strasbourg and 1.67 for Monaco are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 38% for Monaco to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Monaco need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Strasbourg on 6 and Monaco on 9. Settlement Rule: Correct Score markets settle based on the exact final scoreline after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Model chance vs price38% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Positive
Monaco need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Settlement Rule: Correct Score markets settle based on the.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Monaco Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because settlement Rule: Correct Score markets settle based on the exact final scoreline after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Monaco need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Strasbourg on 6 and Monaco on 9. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Monaco to win and both teams to score evidence

Settlement Rule: Correct Score markets settle based on the exact final scoreline after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Monaco need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Strasbourg on 6 and Monaco on 9.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 67% for Strasbourg and 33% for Monaco.

Monaco Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.67 for Strasbourg and 1.67 for Monaco are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Monaco to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Strasbourg2.67
Avg goals scored
Monaco1.67
Strasbourg2.33
Avg goals conceded
Monaco0.33
Strasbourg67%
BTTS rate
Monaco33%
Strasbourg100%
Over 2.5 goals
Monaco33%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 88% vs implied 86% · edge +2.4 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for Strasbourg and 33% for Monaco, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Ligue 1 analysisStrasbourg v Monaco predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickMonaco Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 60% · edge +5.5 pts
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Monaco to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Monaco Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Strasbourg

WWL
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
06 Sep 2026A Estac Troyes6-2
29 Aug 2026H Lens2-1
21 Aug 2026A Marseille0-4

Monaco

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
04 Sep 2026A Paris Saint Germain2-1
30 Aug 2026H Marseille2-0
23 Aug 2026A Le Havre1-0
Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 74% · edge +7.9 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Monaco Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Monaco to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Strasbourg Over 2.5
33%Monaco Over 2.5
3.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Strasbourg sit at 100% and Monaco sit at 33% with the H2H average at 3.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Loading deeper match data…