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Strasbourg crestStrasbourg
v
Monaco crestMonaco

Ligue 1 | Sun 17 May, 20:00

Strasbourg v Monaco Stats

Data last updated: Fri 19 Jun 2026, 19:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Strasbourg face Monaco in Ligue 1 on Sun 17 May, 20:00. Monaco have scored multiple goals in five consecutive league away games. Monaco have scored 2+ goals in five straight away games but conceded in their last six. Technical Efficiency: Possession & Accuracy

BT4Y best bet

Monaco to Win & Both Teams to Score Monaco have scored 2+ goals in 5 consecutive away league matches

  • At 9/4, Strasbourg Win implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 52%.
  • Monaco's last six away games have all seen BTTS land, reflecting their potent attack and defensive fragility.
  • Strasbourg have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Monaco.
  • Strasbourg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Strasbourg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Strasbourg sit 8 in the table, while Monaco sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 52% for Strasbourg Win sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Strasbourg have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Monaco. Monaco's last six away games have all seen BTTS land, reflecting their potent attack and defensive fragility.

Model chance vs price52% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Strong positive
Strasbourg have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Strasbourg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Monaco's last six away games have all seen BTTS.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Strasbourg Win is the preferred angle because monaco's last six away games have all seen BTTS land, reflecting their potent attack and defensive fragility. Strasbourg have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Monaco. Monaco frequently score twice on their travels but rarely keep clean sheets.

Main risk

Monaco frequently score twice on their travels but rarely keep clean sheets.

Key Data Signals

Strasbourg Win evidence

Monaco's last six away games have all seen BTTS land, reflecting their potent attack and defensive fragility.

Strasbourg have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Monaco.

Strasbourg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Strasbourg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Strasbourg sit 8 in the table, while Monaco sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Strasbourg Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Strasbourg1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Monaco1.4
    Strasbourg1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Monaco2
    Strasbourg80%
    BTTS rate
    Monaco80%
    Strasbourg80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Monaco80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 80% for Strasbourg and 80% for Monaco, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.

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    Useful next reads

    more Ligue 1 analysisfull betting preview for Strasbourg v Monacocorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickStrasbourg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 32% · edge +20.1 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Strasbourg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Strasbourg to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Strasbourg4
    Avg corners for
    Monaco7.25
    Strasbourg8.25
    Avg total corners
    Monaco9.75
    Strasbourg1
    Avg yellow cards
    Monaco1.25
    Strasbourg10.75
    Avg shots
    Monaco12.25
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 53% · edge +4.2 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Strasbourg

    WDLWL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 4D 2L
    13 May 2026A Stade Brestois 292-1
    10 May 2026A Angers1-1
    03 May 2026H Toulouse1-2
    26 Apr 2026A Lorient3-2
    19 Apr 2026H Rennes0-3

    Monaco

    LWDDL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 2D 2L
    10 May 2026H Lille0-1
    02 May 2026A Metz2-1
    25 Apr 2026A Toulouse2-2
    19 Apr 2026H Auxerre2-2
    10 Apr 2026A Paris FC1-4
    Market aligned with main pickStrasbourg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 32% · edge +20.1 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 80%
    1.71
    Check odds @ 1.71
    Strasbourg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Strasbourg wins
    2Draws
    6Monaco wins
    05 Feb 2026Strasbourg v Monaco3-1
    31 Aug 2025Monaco v Strasbourg3-2
    19 Apr 2025Monaco v Strasbourg0-0
    09 Nov 2024Strasbourg v Monaco1-3
    10 Mar 2024Strasbourg v Monaco0-1
    20 Aug 2023Monaco v Strasbourg3-0
    Market aligned with main pickStrasbourg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 32% · edge +20.1 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Strasbourg to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Ligue 1

    Strasbourg34
    Played
    Monaco34
    Strasbourg1.7
    Avg goals for
    Monaco1.8
    Strasbourg1.4
    Avg goals against
    Monaco1.6
    Strasbourg9
    Clean sheets
    Monaco7
    Market aligned with main pickStrasbourg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 32% · edge +20.1 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Strasbourg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Season data supports Strasbourg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    7Monaco5434166126
    8Strasbourg53341581111
    Strasbourg sit in position 8, while Monaco sit in position 7, so table pressure belongs in the Strasbourg Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Strasbourg Over 2.5
    80%Monaco Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Strasbourg sit at 80% and Monaco sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Strasbourg v Monaco prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Betting context

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