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Staphorst crestStaphorst
v
SC Genemuiden crestSC Genemuiden

KNVB Beker | Tue 22 Sep, 19:00

Staphorst v SC Genemuiden Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 08:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This KNVB Beker clash between Staphorst and SC Genemuiden promises an open encounter given both teams' recent attacking displays. Staphorst has struggled for points but consistently been involved in high-scoring matches, while SC Genemuiden arrives with a solid recent form and a tendency for games with multiple goals. The tactical setup suggests both sides will seek to press and exploit defensive gaps, raising the prospect of a lively, goal-rich contest under the floodlights.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.
  • The last five head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals per game.
  • Staphorst and SC Genemuiden have both scored and conceded multiple goals in recent fixtures.
  • Model projects a 58% chance for Over 3.5 Goals, significantly above the implied market chance.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 58% probability, well above the market's 42% implied chance. Both teams have consistently participated in high-scoring games recently, each boasting a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and frequent BTTS outcomes. The historical head-to-head average of 3.6 goals further supports the likelihood of an open, attacking match. No data limitations affect in this pick, making it a compelling selection for goal-hungry bettors.

Recent high-scoring matches100% over 2.5 goals rate for both teams
Strong positive
Head-to-head goal average3.6 goals per game in last 5 meetings
Positive
Model probability vs market58% model chance vs 42% implied chance
Strong positive
BTTS frequencyBoth teams score in recent matches consistently
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Staphorst and SC Genemuiden have shown a tendency for high-scoring matches recently. The data indicates a strong likelihood of multiple goals, supported by their recent form and head-to-head history. This match should provide plenty of goalmouth action, making Over 3.5 Goals a sensible choice for those anticipating an entertaining cup tie.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“This fixture features two teams with a clear inclination towards open play and goal-scoring, reflected in their recent matches and mutual encounters. The attacking intent combined with defensive vulnerabilities suggests Over 3.5 Goals is a well-founded expectation.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.

The last five head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals per game.

Staphorst and SC Genemuiden have both scored and conceded multiple goals in recent fixtures.

Model projects a 58% chance for Over 3.5 Goals, significantly above the implied market chance.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Analysis of the last five matches for both teams shows a 100% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, indicating a strong trend toward high-scoring encounters.
  • The head-to-head sample also supports this, with an average of 3.6 goals per game, highlighting a tempo and openness that favors multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Staphorst2
Avg goals scored
SC Genemuiden2
Staphorst2
Avg goals conceded
SC Genemuiden1
Staphorst100%
BTTS rate
SC Genemuiden100%
Staphorst100%
Over 2.5 goals
SC Genemuiden100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Both teams have demonstrated a strong propensity for high-scoring matches and both teams to score outcomes, with recent fixtures consistently exceeding 2.5 goals. The head-to-head average of 3.6 goals further reinforces the expectation of an open game with multiple scoring opportunities for both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Staphorst Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
SC Genemuiden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
SC Genemuiden Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Staphorst to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.38 with a 16% , reflecting a of 58% versus a market implied chance of 42%. This suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game, making it a positive-value bet without price warnings or cautions.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Staphorst

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
02 Sep 2026H UNA2-2

SC Genemuiden

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
01 Sep 2026H FC Lisse2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 77% · edge -3.1 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
Staphorst Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
SC Genemuiden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
SC Genemuiden Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Staphorst to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Recent form data shows both Staphorst and SC Genemuiden have been involved in matches with multiple goals, each maintaining a 100% over 2.5 goals rate. Staphorst has scored and conceded two goals in their latest outing, while SC Genemuiden has a slightly better defensive record but still participates in high-scoring games, supporting the Over 3.5 Goals pick.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Staphorst wins
1Draws
3SC Genemuiden wins
05 Sep 2026Staphorst v SC Genemuiden1-2
18 Apr 2026Staphorst v SC Genemuiden0-4
15 Nov 2025SC Genemuiden v Staphorst1-4
13 Apr 2024Staphorst v SC Genemuiden0-0
11 Nov 2023SC Genemuiden v Staphorst5-1
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
SC Genemuiden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Staphorst to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
The five previous meetings between Staphorst and SC Genemuiden have produced an average of 3.6 goals per game, indicating a history of open contests with multiple scoring opportunities. This historical data supports the expectation of a high-scoring match, reinforcing the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

KNVB Beker

Staphorst1
Played
SC Genemuiden1
Staphorst2
Avg goals for
SC Genemuiden2
Staphorst2
Avg goals against
SC Genemuiden1
Staphorst0
Clean sheets
SC Genemuiden0
Best odds for this sectionStaphorst Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 41% · edge +3.7 pts
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Load more odds for this section
SC Genemuiden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
SC Genemuiden Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Staphorst to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Season-long trends indicate both teams have attacking profiles conducive to high-scoring matches. Their consistent involvement in games exceeding 2.5 goals and frequent BTTS outcomes reflect offensive strengths and defensive vulnerabilities that align with an expectation of at least four goals in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Staphorst Over 2.5
100%SC Genemuiden Over 2.5
3.6H2H avg goals
Analysis of the last five matches for both teams shows a 100% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, indicating a strong trend toward high-scoring encounters. The head-to-head sample also supports this, with an average of 3.6 goals per game, highlighting a tempo and openness that favors multiple goals in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.