Staphorst
SC GenemuidenKNVB Beker | Tue 22 Sep, 19:00
Staphorst v SC Genemuiden Stats
Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 08:27 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
This KNVB Beker clash between Staphorst and SC Genemuiden promises an open encounter given both teams' recent attacking displays. Staphorst has struggled for points but consistently been involved in high-scoring matches, while SC Genemuiden arrives with a solid recent form and a tendency for games with multiple goals. The tactical setup suggests both sides will seek to press and exploit defensive gaps, raising the prospect of a lively, goal-rich contest under the floodlights.
Over 3.5 Goals
- Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.
- The last five head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals per game.
- Staphorst and SC Genemuiden have both scored and conceded multiple goals in recent fixtures.
- Model projects a 58% chance for Over 3.5 Goals, significantly above the implied market chance.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 58% probability, well above the market's 42% implied chance. Both teams have consistently participated in high-scoring games recently, each boasting a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and frequent BTTS outcomes. The historical head-to-head average of 3.6 goals further supports the likelihood of an open, attacking match. No data limitations affect in this pick, making it a compelling selection for goal-hungry bettors.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Expect an open and attacking game as both Staphorst and SC Genemuiden have shown a tendency for high-scoring matches recently. The data indicates a strong likelihood of multiple goals, supported by their recent form and head-to-head history. This match should provide plenty of goalmouth action, making Over 3.5 Goals a sensible choice for those anticipating an entertaining cup tie.
A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics
“This fixture features two teams with a clear inclination towards open play and goal-scoring, reflected in their recent matches and mutual encounters. The attacking intent combined with defensive vulnerabilities suggests Over 3.5 Goals is a well-founded expectation.”
Key Data Signals
Over 3.5 Goals evidence
Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.
The last five head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals per game.
Staphorst and SC Genemuiden have both scored and conceded multiple goals in recent fixtures.
Model projects a 58% chance for Over 3.5 Goals, significantly above the implied market chance.
What To Watch In The Data
Over 3.5 Goals notes
- Analysis of the last five matches for both teams shows a 100% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, indicating a strong trend toward high-scoring encounters.
- The head-to-head sample also supports this, with an average of 3.6 goals per game, highlighting a tempo and openness that favors multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Useful next reads
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Staphorst
SC Genemuiden
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Season team stats
KNVB Beker
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.