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Koninklijke HFC crestKoninklijke HFC
v
Dovo crestDovo

KNVB Beker | Tue 22 Sep, 19:00

Koninklijke HFC v Dovo Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 08:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Koninklijke HFC face Dovo in KNVB Beker on Tue 22 Sep, 19:00. Koninklijke HFC come in with 3 recent points and 4 goals per match, while Dovo have 3 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.57, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 78%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Koninklijke HFC and 100% for Dovo, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Koninklijke HFC are carrying more of the scoring load at 4 goals per match, with Dovo at 2.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Koninklijke HFC and 100% for Dovo show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 78% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Koninklijke HFC and 100% for Dovo, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price78% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Koninklijke HFC.Visible data support
Positive
Koninklijke HFC are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Koninklijke HFC and 100% for Dovo, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Koninklijke HFC and 100% for Dovo, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Koninklijke HFC are carrying more of the scoring load at 4 goals per match, with Dovo at 2.

BTTS rates of 0% for Koninklijke HFC and 100% for Dovo show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Koninklijke HFC4
Avg goals scored
Dovo2
Koninklijke HFC0
Avg goals conceded
Dovo1
Koninklijke HFC0%
BTTS rate
Dovo100%
Koninklijke HFC100%
Over 2.5 goals
Dovo100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Dovo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Koninklijke HFC to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Koninklijke HFC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Dovo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 21%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Koninklijke HFC

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
01 Sep 2026A LONGA '304-0

Dovo

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
02 Sep 2026A Surhusterfean2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 79% vs implied 83% · edge -4.1 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Load more odds for this section
Dovo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Koninklijke HFC to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Koninklijke HFC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Dovo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 21%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Koninklijke HFC wins
0Draws
0Dovo wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Koninklijke HFC to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Dovo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 21%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Over 2.5 Goals, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

KNVB Beker

Koninklijke HFC1
Played
Dovo1
Koninklijke HFC4
Avg goals for
Dovo2
Koninklijke HFC0
Avg goals against
Dovo1
Koninklijke HFC1
Clean sheets
Dovo0
Best odds for this sectionDovo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 35% · edge +6.9 pts
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Load more odds for this section
Koninklijke HFC to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Koninklijke HFC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Dovo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 21%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Season data supports Dovo Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Koninklijke HFC Over 2.5
100%Dovo Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Koninklijke HFC sit at 100% and Dovo sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

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