St Patrick's Athl.
WaterfordPremier Division | Fri 28 Aug, 19:45
St Patrick's Athl. v Waterford Stats
Data last updated: Thu 27 Aug 2026, 08:17 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
This Premier Division clash features St Patrick's Athl. hosting Waterford in a contest where both teams have earned nine points recently, indicating a competitive balance. St Patrick's Athl. rank second with strong home form and a solid defensive record, while Waterford sits eighth but has shown resilience, conceding fewer goals on average. The tactical battle is likely to focus on disciplined defensive structures and cautious attacking, with Waterford aiming to secure at least a point on the road. The match carries importance for both sides as St Patrick's Athl. push for top placement and Waterford seek to climb the table.
Waterford or Draw
- Waterford or Draw has a of 69.7%, indicating strong statistical backing.
- St Patrick's Athl. have a higher goals-for average but also concede more than Waterford, suggesting a tighter game.
- Both teams have a low Over 2.5 Goals rate of 20%, supporting a controlled scoring environment.
- Waterford's defensive solidity is reflected in conceding only 0.4 goals per game, the best in this matchup.
- Player data highlights Waterford's T. Lonergan as a key goal threat, enhancing Waterford's scoring potential.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Waterford or Draw with a 69.7% chance, reflecting Waterford's defensive strength and ability to avoid defeat against a higher-ranked St Patrick's Athl. Despite St Patrick's Athl.'s superior attack, their lower scoring rate and Waterford's disciplined defense suggest a cautious match where Waterford can secure at least a draw. The low Over 2.5 Goals rates and recent form parity reinforce this conservative outlook. No price warnings apply, making this a statistically sound pick with a solid football rationale.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Waterford's disciplined defensive approach and ability to limit goals conceded make the double chance a sensible choice against a St Patrick's Athl. side that has struggled to convert chances into goals recently. The data supports a tight contest where Waterford can avoid defeat, combining tactical resilience with statistical backing.
Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and statistical rationale for Waterford or Draw
“Waterford's defensive discipline and recent form create a strong foundation for avoiding defeat here, especially given St Patrick's Athl.'s modest scoring efficiency. This pick balances football context with solid data signals.”
Key Data Signals
Waterford or Draw evidence
Waterford or Draw has a of 69.7%, indicating strong statistical backing.
St Patrick's Athl. Have a higher goals-for average but also concede more than Waterford, suggesting a tighter game.
Waterford's defensive solidity is reflected in conceding only 0.4 goals per game, the best in this matchup.
What To Watch In The Data
Waterford or Draw notes
- Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.6, with both teams showing a tendency for low-scoring games.
- The low Over 2.5 Goals rate of 20% for both sides in recent form supports a trend towards controlled tempo and limited goal-scoring opportunities in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Continue the research
Useful next reads
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | St Patrick's Athl. | 50 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 20 |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | -9 |
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Premier Division
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
