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Drogheda United crestDrogheda United
v
Dundalk crestDundalk

Premier Division | Fri 22 May, 20:00

Drogheda United v Dundalk Stats

Data last updated: Tue 04 Aug 2026, 03:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Drogheda United face Dundalk in Premier Division on Fri 22 May, 20:00. Dundalk hold home advantage and a superior league standing, making them clear favourites against a winless Drogheda side. Dundalk have scored in ten consecutive fixtures and possess a potent attacking rhythm. Dundalk dominate possession charts at 51.2% compared to Drogheda's low 35.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Requiring predictions on the final outcome of the game at full-time: a home victory, a draw, or an away victory

  • At 6/10, Requiring predictions on the final outcome of the game at full-time: a home victory, a draw, or an away victory implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 52%.
  • The last three derbies finished level, but Dundalk's consistent scoring record and home advantage give them the edge here.
  • Drogheda United have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Dundalk.
  • Drogheda United have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Requiring predictions on the final outcome of the game at full-time: a home victory, a draw, or an away.
  • Drogheda United sit 8 in the table, while Dundalk sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Requiring predictions on the final outcome of the game at full-time: a home victory, a draw, or an away victory is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 63% while the model sits nearer 52% (-10.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Drogheda United Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 2.2.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 52% for Requiring predictions on the final outcome of the game at full-time: a home victory, a draw, or an away victory sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. Drogheda United have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Dundalk. The last three derbies finished level, but Dundalk's consistent scoring record and home advantage give them the edge here.

Model chance vs price52% model chance against roughly 63% implied
Negative
Drogheda United have the stronger recent points return, taking 6.Visible data support
Positive
Drogheda United have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
The last three derbies finished level, but Dundalk's consistent.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Drogheda United Win is the preferred angle because the last three derbies finished level, but Dundalk's consistent scoring record and home advantage give them the edge here. Drogheda United have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Dundalk. That is a valuable combination: he can finish moves, but he can also tilt the game by providing the final pass.

Main risk

That is a valuable combination: he can finish moves, but he can also tilt the game by providing the final pass.

Key Data Signals

Requiring predictions on the final outcome of the game at full-time: a home victory, a draw, or an away victory evidence

The last three derbies finished level, but Dundalk's consistent scoring record and home advantage give them the edge.

Drogheda United have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Dundalk.

Drogheda United have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Drogheda United Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Drogheda United sit 8 in the table, while Dundalk sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Requiring predictions on the final outcome of the game at full-time: a home victory, a draw, or an away victory notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Drogheda United4
    Avg corners for
    Dundalk6.6
    Drogheda United11.8
    Avg total corners
    Dundalk11
    Drogheda United1.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Dundalk3
    Drogheda United8.6
    Avg shots
    Dundalk16.4
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
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    Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Drogheda United1
    Avg goals scored
    Dundalk1.2
    Drogheda United1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Dundalk2
    Drogheda United60%
    BTTS rate
    Dundalk60%
    Drogheda United60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Dundalk60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.6 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 80%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 31%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickDrogheda United to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Drogheda United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 73%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Drogheda United to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Drogheda United

    LLWLW
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    18 May 2026A Waterford1-2
    15 May 2026A Bohemians1-2
    08 May 2026H Derry City1-0
    04 May 2026A Shamrock Rovers1-4
    01 May 2026H Sligo Rovers1-0

    Dundalk

    WLDLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    15 May 2026H Shamrock Rovers1-0
    08 May 2026H Bohemians1-3
    04 May 2026A Waterford3-3
    01 May 2026H Shelbourne1-2
    25 Apr 2026A Sligo Rovers0-2
    Market aligned with main pickDrogheda United to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
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    Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 77%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Drogheda United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Drogheda United wins
    3Draws
    5Dundalk wins
    20 Feb 2026Dundalk v Drogheda United1-1
    01 Nov 2024Drogheda United v Dundalk0-0
    19 Jul 2024Drogheda United v Dundalk2-1
    12 Jul 2024Dundalk v Drogheda United4-2
    06 May 2024Drogheda United v Dundalk2-1
    01 Apr 2024Dundalk v Drogheda United0-0
    Market aligned with main pickDrogheda United to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 73%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Drogheda United to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Drogheda United26
    Played
    Dundalk26
    Drogheda United1.2
    Avg goals for
    Dundalk1.5
    Drogheda United1.7
    Avg goals against
    Dundalk1.5
    Drogheda United7
    Clean sheets
    Dundalk5
    Market aligned with main pickDrogheda United to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Drogheda United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Season data supports Drogheda United to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4Dundalk372691072
    8Drogheda United27266911-12
    Drogheda United sit in position 8, while Dundalk sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the Requiring predictions on the final outcome of the game at full-time: a home victory, a draw, or an away victory assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Drogheda United Over 2.5
    60%Dundalk Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Drogheda United sit at 60% and Dundalk sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.