SS Monopoli
CrotoneSerie C - Girone C | Sun 20 Sep, 13:30
SS Monopoli v Crotone Stats
Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:22 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
SS Monopoli hosts Crotone in a Serie C - Girone C clash where Monopoli’s stronger start to the season contrasts sharply with Crotone’s struggles. Monopoli sits comfortably in 8th place with 7 points, showing defensive solidity by conceding only 0.4 goals per game, while Crotone languishes at the bottom without any points and a leaky defense allowing 1.4 goals per match. Monopoli’s tactical discipline and home advantage set the stage for a controlled game where they aim to capitalize on Crotone’s fragile form and defensive vulnerabilities.
SS Monopoli to Win
- SS Monopoli has earned 7 points so far, while Crotone has 0 points.
- Monopoli concedes just 0.4 goals per game, indicating strong defensive organization.
- Crotone’s defense has conceded 1.4 goals per game, showing vulnerability.
- Monopoli’s recent matches have not featured both teams scoring, reflecting control at the back.
- Crotone’s over 2.5 goals rate is 20%, suggesting fewer high-scoring games for them.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model rates SS Monopoli’s chances to win at 69%, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 50%, indicating clear value at the current . Monopoli’s defensive strength and better form underpin this , while Crotone’s poor start and defensive frailties increase the likelihood of a home win. The data quality is solid, with balanced sample sizes for both teams, reinforcing the reliability of this prediction.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
SS Monopoli’s superior defensive record and home form make them the tactical favorites in this fixture. Their ability to limit goals conceded combined with Crotone’s ongoing struggles at the back suggests Monopoli will control the game and secure the win. The data supports a confident backing of Monopoli to take all three points.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome
“Monopoli’s defensive discipline and early season momentum provide a strong foundation for victory, especially against a Crotone side yet to find stability at the back.”
Key Data Signals
SS Monopoli to Win evidence
SS Monopoli has earned 7 points so far, while Crotone has 0 points.
Monopoli concedes just 0.4 goals per game, indicating strong defensive organization.
Crotone’s defense has conceded 1.4 goals per game, showing vulnerability.
Monopoli’s recent matches have not featured both teams scoring, reflecting control at the back.
What To Watch In The Data
SS Monopoli to Win notes
- The average goals in the nine head-to-head meetings stand at 2.67, indicating moderately open games historically.
- However, recent form and defensive stats suggest this match may be tighter with fewer goals, as Monopoli tends to keep matches controlled and low-scoring, tempering expectations for an over 2.5 goals outcome.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
SS Monopoli
Crotone
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SS Monopoli | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 20 | Crotone | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 |
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Serie C - Girone C
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
