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Audace Cerignola crestAudace Cerignola
v
Casertana crestCasertana

Serie C - Girone C | Sat 19 Sep, 16:30

Audace Cerignola v Casertana Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Audace Cerignola face Casertana in Serie C - Girone C on Sat 19 Sep, 16:30. Audace Cerignola come in with 9 recent points and 2 goals per match, while Casertana have 11 points and 2.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Over 2.5 Goals is rated around 66% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Audace Cerignola and 80% for Casertana, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Casertana are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.2 goals per match, with Audace Cerignola at 2.
  • BTTS rates of 40% for Audace Cerignola and 80% for Casertana show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals around 66% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Audace Cerignola and 80% for Casertana, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Audace Cerignola.Visible data support
Positive
Casertana are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.2.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Audace Cerignola and 80% for Casertana, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Audace Cerignola and 80% for Casertana, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Casertana are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.2 goals per match, with Audace Cerignola at 2.

BTTS rates of 40% for Audace Cerignola and 80% for Casertana show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Audace Cerignola2
Avg goals scored
Casertana2.2
Audace Cerignola1
Avg goals conceded
Casertana1.6
Audace Cerignola40%
BTTS rate
Casertana80%
Audace Cerignola60%
Over 2.5 goals
Casertana80%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Audace Cerignola

LWWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 2L
15 Sep 2026A Casarano0-1
11 Sep 2026H Giugliano4-0
06 Sep 2026A Foggia2-0
28 Aug 2026A Cavese1-3
22 Aug 2026H Cosenza3-1

Casertana

WWDWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 0L
15 Sep 2026H Team Altamura1-0
12 Sep 2026A Inter U233-2
06 Sep 2026H Scafatese2-2
29 Aug 2026A Savoia2-1
22 Aug 2026H Barletta3-3

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Audace Cerignola wins
5Draws
2Casertana wins
12 Apr 2026Casertana v Audace Cerignola4-1
07 Dec 2025Audace Cerignola v Casertana1-1
10 Feb 2025Casertana v Audace Cerignola0-1
29 Sep 2024Audace Cerignola v Casertana0-0
11 May 2024Casertana v Audace Cerignola0-0
07 Mar 2024Casertana v Audace Cerignola1-1

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone C

Audace Cerignola6
Played
Casertana0
Audace Cerignola1.7
Avg goals for
Casertana-
Audace Cerignola0.8
Avg goals against
Casertana-
Audace Cerignola3
Clean sheets
Casertana-

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Audace Cerignola Over 2.5
80%Casertana Over 2.5
2.56H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Audace Cerignola sit at 60% and Casertana sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.56 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.