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Spartans crestSpartans
v
Forfar Athletic crestForfar Athletic

League Two | Sat 12 Sep, 15:00

Spartans v Forfar Athletic Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Spartans and Forfar Athletic meet in a League Two clash where both sides have shown moderate scoring ability this season. Spartans have secured 6 points with a solid defensive record conceding 1.8 goals per game, while Forfar Athletic have 5 points and concede slightly fewer goals at 1.6 per match. Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open play and attacking intent. The fixture promises a balanced contest with both sides capable of finding the net, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Spartans and Forfar Athletic both have a 60% BTTS rate this season.
  • Spartans concede an average of 1.8 goals per game, Forfar Athletic 1.6.
  • Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting open games.
  • Recent form shows Spartans with 6 points, Forfar Athletic with 5 points.
  • H2H average goals over last 10 matches is 1.6, indicating moderate scoring history.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 66.7% chance for both teams to score, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 55.6%, offering an 11.1% . Both Spartans and Forfar Athletic have demonstrated attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities, reflected in their goals conceded and BTTS rates. The consistent Over 2.5 Goals rate of 60% for both teams supports the likelihood of goals at both ends. This combination of data and tactical openness underpins the in BTTS for this fixture.

Model Chance66.7%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance55.6%
Strong positive
Value Edge11.1%
Strong positive
Spartans BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Forfar Athletic BTTS Rate40%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown the ability to score and concede in recent matches, making a Both Teams to Score bet tactically sound. Spartans' slightly higher goals conceded and Forfar Athletic's attacking intent suggest both sides will find chances to break down defenses. The data supports an open game with goals at both ends, making BTTS a logical choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Given the attacking tendencies and defensive records of both Spartans and Forfar Athletic, a Both Teams to Score outcome aligns well with the tactical setups and recent scoring patterns observed.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Spartans and Forfar Athletic both have a 60% BTTS rate this season.

Spartans concede an average of 1.8 goals per game, Forfar Athletic 1.6.

Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting open games.

Recent form shows Spartans with 6 points, Forfar Athletic with 5 points.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten matches between Spartans and Forfar Athletic, the average goals scored is 1.6, a moderate figure.
  • However, both teams' recent Over 2.5 Goals rate of 60% indicates a trend towards more open and higher-scoring games this season, suggesting a tempo that favors multiple goals and supports the BTTS selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Spartans2
Avg goals scored
Forfar Athletic1
Spartans1.8
Avg goals conceded
Forfar Athletic1.6
Spartans60%
BTTS rate
Forfar Athletic40%
Spartans60%
Over 2.5 goals
Forfar Athletic60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both Spartans and Forfar Athletic have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season, reflecting open play and attacking emphasis. Spartans concede 1.8 goals per game, Forfar Athletic 1.6, supporting the probability of goals at both ends. This trend aligns with the BTTS pick, as both teams have shown vulnerability in defense and capability in attack.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Forfar Athletic Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Forfar Athletic to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Spartans Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Spartans to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with a of 66.7% versus an implied market chance of 55.6%, indicating clear value. The 11.1% suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring, making this a favorable betting angle without requiring caution on price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Spartans

WDDLD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 1L
05 Sep 2026A Stirling Albion2-0
29 Aug 2026H Clyde3-3
22 Aug 2026H Elgin City3-3
15 Aug 2026A Stranraer0-1
08 Aug 2026H Edinburgh City2-2

Forfar Athletic

LDLWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 2L
05 Sep 2026H Stranraer0-3
28 Aug 2026A Edinburgh City1-1
22 Aug 2026A Clyde0-3
15 Aug 2026H Stirling Albion3-0
08 Aug 2026A Elgin City1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 46% · edge +11.4 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Forfar Athletic Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Forfar Athletic to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Spartans Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Spartans to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Recent form shows Spartans with 6 points and Forfar Athletic with 5 points, both having scored and conceded goals in their latest matches. Spartans have netted 2 goals while conceding 1.8 on average, and Forfar Athletic have scored 1 and conceded 1.6, reinforcing the likelihood of a BTTS outcome based on current performance levels.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Spartans wins
3Draws
0Forfar Athletic wins
21 Mar 2026Forfar Athletic v Spartans1-1
17 Mar 2026Spartans v Forfar Athletic1-0
08 Nov 2025Forfar Athletic v Spartans1-1
23 Aug 2025Spartans v Forfar Athletic1-0
15 Mar 2025Forfar Athletic v Spartans0-2
25 Feb 2025Spartans v Forfar Athletic1-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Forfar Athletic to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Spartans to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
The head-to-head record over the last ten matches shows an average of 1.6 goals per game, indicating relatively modest scoring encounters historically. While this suggests some caution, the current season's attacking and defensive trends for both teams provide stronger signals favoring goals at both ends in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

League Two

Spartans6
Played
Forfar Athletic6
Spartans2.3
Avg goals for
Forfar Athletic1
Spartans1.8
Avg goals against
Forfar Athletic1.3
Spartans1
Clean sheets
Forfar Athletic2
Best odds for this sectionForfar Athletic Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 33% · edge +8.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Forfar Athletic to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Spartans Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Spartans to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Season-long statistics reveal that Spartans and Forfar Athletic both have a 60% BTTS rate, indicating a consistent pattern of both teams scoring in their matches. Their defensive records, conceding close to 2 goals per game, further support the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Spartans962313
6Forfar Athletic86222-2
Spartans sit 4th and Forfar Athletic 6th in League Two, with 9 and 8 points respectively, reflecting competitive teams with similar form. The close standings suggest a balanced contest where both teams will seek to assert themselves offensively, increasing the chances of goals from both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Spartans Over 2.5
60%Forfar Athletic Over 2.5
1.6H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches between Spartans and Forfar Athletic, the average goals scored is 1.6, a moderate figure. However, both teams' recent Over 2.5 Goals rate of 60% indicates a trend towards more open and higher-scoring games this season, suggesting a tempo that favors multiple goals and supports the BTTS selection.

Related football research

Fixture links

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