Football Stats Hub

Annan Athletic crestAnnan Athletic
v
Elgin City crestElgin City

League Two | Sat 12 Sep, 15:00

Annan Athletic v Elgin City Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Annan Athletic hosts Elgin City in a League Two clash where both sides have shown contrasting offensive outputs this season. Elgin City, sitting second in the table with 11 points, have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.6 goals per match and boasting an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals. Annan Athletic, ranked seventh with 6 points, have been more conservative, scoring just once per game and seeing only 40% of their matches go over 2.5 goals. This fixture promises an intriguing tactical battle between Elgin's attacking prowess and Annan's more measured approach, with goal-scoring potential a key storyline.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Elgin City averages 2.6 goals per game, indicating strong attacking form.
  • Annan Athletic has a lower scoring rate but faces a high-scoring opponent.
  • Elgin City’s matches have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 3.9 goals per game, suggesting open play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 67.7% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, supported by Elgin City's potent attack and historical high-scoring encounters between the teams. The 6% positive at of 1.62 indicates this market is a favorable bet. Both teams’ styles and recent goal trends align with an expectation of multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a sound selection for this fixture.

Model Chance67.7%
Strong positive
Elgin City Goals For2.6 per game
Strong positive
Annan Athletic Over 2.5 Rate40%
Neutral
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.9 per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively encounter with Elgin City's attacking strength likely to push the match over 2.5 goals. Annan Athletic’s moderate scoring and defensive record suggest they may concede multiple goals, aligning with the statistical trends favoring a high-scoring game.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“Elgin City's offensive consistency combined with historically high-scoring clashes against Annan Athletic makes Over 2.5 Goals a compelling angle for this match.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Elgin City averages 2.6 goals per game, indicating strong attacking form.

Annan Athletic has a lower scoring rate but faces a high-scoring opponent.

Elgin City’s matches have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.

Head-to-head meetings average 3.9 goals per game, suggesting open play.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last ten head-to-head meetings have averaged 3.9 goals per game, underscoring a history of open, attacking contests.
  • This trend, combined with recent season data, points to a fast-paced match with multiple goals likely, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Annan Athletic1
Avg goals scored
Elgin City2.6
Annan Athletic1
Avg goals conceded
Elgin City1.4
Annan Athletic40%
BTTS rate
Elgin City80%
Annan Athletic40%
Over 2.5 goals
Elgin City80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 62% · edge +6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Elgin City’s matches have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate and a matching 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent open games with goals at both ends. Annan Athletic’s lower scoring frequency tempers this slightly, but the combined goal threat suggests a high chance of multiple goals and both teams scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 62% · edge +6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Elgin City Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Elgin City to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Annan Athletic Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Annan Athletic to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively with a 6% , reflecting the strong likelihood of multiple goals given Elgin City's attacking form and the historical goal averages in this fixture. The of 1.62 offer a positive betting opportunity without significant price sensitivity.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

League Two hubplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Annan Athletic

LWLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 4L
05 Sep 2026A Kelty Hearts1-2
29 Aug 2026H Dumbarton2-0
22 Aug 2026A Edinburgh City0-1
15 Aug 2026H Clyde1-2
08 Aug 2026A Stranraer1-0

Elgin City

LWDWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 1L
05 Sep 2026A Dumbarton1-2
29 Aug 2026H Stirling Albion4-0
22 Aug 2026A Spartans3-3
15 Aug 2026H Kelty Hearts4-1
08 Aug 2026H Forfar Athletic1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 71% · edge +12.4 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Elgin City Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Elgin City to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Annan Athletic Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Annan Athletic to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Recent form shows Elgin City with 8 points and a high goal output, contrasting with Annan Athletic’s 6 points and more conservative scoring. Elgin’s consistent offensive performances bolster the expectation for Over 2.5 Goals, while Annan’s form suggests they may concede multiple goals in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Annan Athletic wins
1Draws
4Elgin City wins
11 Apr 2026Elgin City v Annan Athletic0-3
10 Mar 2026Annan Athletic v Elgin City2-1
01 Nov 2025Elgin City v Annan Athletic2-0
02 Aug 2025Annan Athletic v Elgin City3-2
10 May 2025Annan Athletic v Elgin City1-2
06 May 2025Elgin City v Annan Athletic2-4
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 62% · edge +6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Elgin City to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Annan Athletic to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
The ten previous meetings between these teams have produced an average of 3.9 goals per game, indicating a pattern of high-scoring encounters. This historical trend supports the expectation of Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture, reflecting both teams’ tendencies to engage in open play.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League Two

Annan Athletic6
Played
Elgin City6
Annan Athletic1.2
Avg goals for
Elgin City3
Annan Athletic1.5
Avg goals against
Elgin City1.2
Annan Athletic2
Clean sheets
Elgin City2
Best odds for this sectionElgin City Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 68% vs implied 56% · edge +12.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Elgin City to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Annan Athletic Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Annan Athletic to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Season-long statistics highlight Elgin City’s strong attacking numbers and Annan Athletic’s more balanced but less prolific scoring. The disparity in goal averages supports the likelihood of a match exceeding 2.5 goals, especially given Elgin’s offensive efficiency.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Elgin City11632111
7Annan Athletic66204-2
Elgin City’s second-place standing reflects their strong form and goal-scoring ability, while Annan Athletic’s mid-table position indicates a solid but less dynamic approach. The league context suggests Elgin will push for goals to maintain their position, increasing the chance of a high-scoring game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Annan Athletic Over 2.5
80%Elgin City Over 2.5
3.9H2H avg goals
The last ten head-to-head meetings have averaged 3.9 goals per game, underscoring a history of open, attacking contests. This trend, combined with recent season data, points to a fast-paced match with multiple goals likely, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals selection.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Clyde v Kelty HeartsLeague Two · Sat 12 Sep 15:00Edinburgh City v Stirling AlbionLeague Two · Sat 12 Sep 15:00Spartans v Forfar AthleticLeague Two · Sat 12 Sep 15:00Stranraer v DumbartonLeague Two · Sat 12 Sep 15:00

Competition and hubs

League Two hubLeague Two hubplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets research

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre