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Sparta Rotterdam crestSparta Rotterdam
v
Utrecht crestUtrecht

Eredivisie | Sat 22 Aug, 17:45

Sparta Rotterdam v Utrecht Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 23:17 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sparta Rotterdam hosts Utrecht in an Eredivisie clash where both teams are seeking early season momentum. Sparta Rotterdam currently holds 3 points from their opening matches, showing a balanced attack and defense, while Utrecht has yet to secure a point and has conceded more goals. Sparta's tactical setup emphasizes controlled possession and efficient finishing, aiming to capitalize on home advantage. Utrecht's struggles in defense and lack of recent form add pressure, making this a pivotal fixture for both sides to establish and league standing.

BT4Y best bet

Sparta Rotterdam to Win

  • Sparta Rotterdam holds a strong 69.5% to win, with a positive of 31.3%.
  • Sparta averages 13 shots per game with 4.5 on target, indicating solid attacking threat.
  • Utrecht concedes an average of 3 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Sparta's recent form includes 3 points and a 50% BTTS rate, while Utrecht has no points and 100% BTTS rate, suggesting defensive concerns for Utrecht.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Sparta Rotterdam to win due to their superior recent form, stronger attacking metrics, and defensive solidity compared to Utrecht. Sparta's average of 13 shots per match with a high shots-on-target ratio underlines their offensive capability, while Utrecht's defensive record of conceding 3 goals per game weakens their position. The model's 69.5% win probability reflects these factors, supported by a positive at current . This pick is a confident selection based on both statistical trends and tactical context.

Model Win Probability69.5%
Strong positive
Value Edge vs Market Odds31.3%
Strong positive
Sparta Offensive Output13 shots per game, 4.5 on target
Positive
Utrecht Defensive Weakness3 goals conceded per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Sparta Rotterdam's home advantage combined with their balanced attack and defense makes them the logical choice to secure victory. Utrecht's defensive frailties and lack of points so far increase the likelihood of a home win. This match should see Sparta control the tempo and capitalize on their chances to earn three points.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Sparta Rotterdam's consistent attacking pressure and defensive resilience position them well to overcome Utrecht, who have yet to find stability at the back this season. The home side's ability to create quality chances should be decisive.”

Key Data Signals

Sparta Rotterdam to Win evidence

Sparta Rotterdam holds a strong 69.5% to win, with a positive of 31.3%.

Sparta averages 13 shots per game with 4.5 on target, indicating solid attacking threat.

Utrecht concedes an average of 3 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Sparta's recent form includes 3 points and a 50% BTTS rate, while Utrecht has no points and 100% BTTS rate, suggesting defensive concerns for Utrecht.

What To Watch In The Data

Sparta Rotterdam to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals tally is 2.6, suggesting moderately open games.
  • Sparta's 50% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Utrecht's 100%, indicating Utrecht's matches tend to be higher scoring.
  • This trend points to a match with potential for goals but balanced by Sparta's defensive discipline.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sparta Rotterdam1.5
Avg goals scored
Utrecht1
Sparta Rotterdam1
Avg goals conceded
Utrecht3
Sparta Rotterdam50%
BTTS rate
Utrecht100%
Sparta Rotterdam50%
Over 2.5 goals
Utrecht100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Goal trends indicate a moderate scoring environment with Sparta averaging 1.5 goals and Utrecht 1 goal per game. Utrecht's 100% BTTS rate contrasts with Sparta's 50%, suggesting Utrecht's matches often see goals at both ends, while Sparta's games are more balanced. This dynamic points to a match with goal potential but not necessarily high scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSparta Rotterdam to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Sparta Rotterdam Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The current for Sparta Rotterdam to win reflect a significant undervaluation by the market, with the model assigning a 69.5% chance against an implied 38.2%. This large suggests the price is attractive and justifies backing Sparta with , barring unforeseen changes.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sparta Rotterdam5
Avg corners for
Utrecht2
Sparta Rotterdam15
Avg total corners
Utrecht9
Sparta Rotterdam3
Avg yellow cards
Utrecht3
Sparta Rotterdam10
Avg shots
Utrecht11
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 64% · edge +5.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Sparta Rotterdam's average of 5 corners per game and 2 yellow cards suggests a team that applies steady pressure and engages physically without excessive discipline issues. Utrecht's lower corner count and higher yellow card average indicate less attacking threat but a more aggressive defensive approach, which could influence match tempo and fouls.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sparta Rotterdam

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
14 Aug 2026A Telstar3-1
09 Aug 2026H Feyenoord0-1

Utrecht

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
15 Aug 2026H AZ Alkmaar1-4
09 Aug 2026A Groningen1-2
Market aligned with main pickSparta Rotterdam to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Sparta Rotterdam Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Sparta Rotterdam's recent form shows a positive start with 3 points and a balanced goal difference, reflecting effective tactical execution and resilience. Utrecht's lack of points and higher goals conceded highlight defensive issues and struggles to convert chances, suggesting Sparta holds momentum advantage heading into this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Sparta Rotterdam wins
1Draws
5Utrecht wins
25 Jan 2026Utrecht v Sparta Rotterdam0-1
17 Aug 2025Sparta Rotterdam v Utrecht2-1
14 May 2025Utrecht v Sparta Rotterdam1-1
03 Nov 2024Sparta Rotterdam v Utrecht1-4
23 May 2024Utrecht v Sparta Rotterdam3-1
12 May 2024Utrecht v Sparta Rotterdam0-1
Market aligned with main pickSparta Rotterdam to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The head-to-head record over ten matches shows an average of 2.6 goals per game, reflecting moderately competitive encounters. While past results offer some background, current form and tactical setups provide stronger guidance for this fixture's outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam2
Played
Utrecht3
Sparta Rotterdam1.5
Avg goals for
Utrecht1.7
Sparta Rotterdam1
Avg goals against
Utrecht3
Sparta Rotterdam0
Clean sheets
Utrecht0
Market aligned with main pickSparta Rotterdam to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Sparta Rotterdam Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Season-long statistics reveal Sparta Rotterdam's balanced attack and defense, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, supporting their ability to control matches. Utrecht's defensive record is less stable, conceding 3 goals per game, which undermines their chances and favors Sparta's winning prospects.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Sparta Rotterdam431111
14Utrecht13012-4
The league table positions Sparta Rotterdam 12th with 3 points and Utrecht 14th with none, indicating early season pressure on Utrecht to improve. While standings are early, Sparta's points advantage and home status provide psychological and tactical edges in this encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Sparta Rotterdam Over 2.5
100%Utrecht Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals tally is 2.6, suggesting moderately open games. Sparta's 50% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Utrecht's 100%, indicating Utrecht's matches tend to be higher scoring. This trend points to a match with potential for goals but balanced by Sparta's defensive discipline.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.