Football Stats Hub

Solihull Moors crestSolihull Moors
v
Barrow crestBarrow

National League | Tue 15 Sep, 19:45

Solihull Moors v Barrow Stats

Data last updated: Mon 14 Sep 2026, 07:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Solihull Moors and Barrow meet in a National League clash where both sides have shown tendencies toward open, high-scoring games early in the season. Barrow have accumulated six points with a relatively solid defensive record, while Solihull Moors have struggled defensively but have been involved in matches with multiple goals. The tactical setup suggests an attacking approach from both teams, with Solihull Moors eager to improve their standing and Barrow looking to maintain momentum. This fixture promises goal-scoring opportunities given the attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities on display so far.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have an 80% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season.
  • Solihull Moors have conceded 2.4 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Barrow’s matches average 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, supporting open play.
  • The head-to-head average goals per match is 2.89 across nine meetings, showing a history of multiple goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 2.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 71.9% chance, well above the implied market probability of 58.8%. Both teams have shown a consistent pattern of high-scoring games this season, with Solihull Moors conceding heavily and Barrow maintaining an attacking edge. The historical head-to-head average of nearly three goals per game further supports the likelihood of multiple goals. This combination of current form, defensive records, and past meetings creates a compelling case for expecting a match with at least three goals.

Model Probability71.9% chance of Over 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Solihull Moors Defensive Record2.4 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Barrow Offensive Output1.8 goals scored per game
Positive
Head-to-Head Goals Average2.89 goals per game in last 9 matches
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both sides pushing forward, especially given Solihull Moors’ defensive struggles and Barrow’s attacking form. The data-backed trend of high-scoring matches between these teams supports Over 2.5 Goals as a logical outcome, reflecting the tactical openness and recent scoring patterns.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“The attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides create a fertile environment for goals. Historical data and current season form align well to suggest this fixture will surpass the 2.5 goals mark.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have an 80% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season.

Solihull Moors have conceded 2.4 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.

Barrow’s matches average 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, supporting open play.

The head-to-head average goals per match is 2.89 across nine meetings, showing a history of multiple goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.89, indicating a consistent trend toward high-scoring encounters.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, supported by both teams’ recent attacking and defensive patterns.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Solihull Moors1
Avg goals scored
Barrow1.8
Solihull Moors2.4
Avg goals conceded
Barrow1.4
Solihull Moors100%
BTTS rate
Barrow80%
Solihull Moors80%
Over 2.5 goals
Barrow80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 59% · edge +13.1 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have demonstrated a strong propensity for goals and both teams to score, with Solihull Moors at 100% BTTS rate and Barrow at 80%. The average goals per game in their recent matches and head-to-head encounters consistently exceed 2.5, indicating that this fixture is likely to feature multiple goals from both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 59% · edge +13.1 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Barrow Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Barrow to WinBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Solihull Moors Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Solihull Moors to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively with a 1.7 guide, reflecting a 58.8% implied chance. The model’s 71.9% probability indicates a clear , suggesting the market underestimates the likelihood of multiple goals. This pricing offers a positive value opportunity without warning flags, making it a sensible selection based on statistical and tactical evidence.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

player stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Solihull Moors

LDLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 6L
12 Sep 2026H Aldershot Town1-2
05 Sep 2026A Gateshead1-1
31 Aug 2026H AFC Fylde1-3
28 Aug 2026A Scunthorpe1-3
22 Aug 2026H Southend1-3

Barrow

DWDLD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 3L
12 Sep 2026A Worthing2-2
05 Sep 2026H Sutton Utd3-0
31 Aug 2026A Kidderminster Harriers1-1
28 Aug 2026H Yeovil Town1-2
22 Aug 2026A Harrogate Town2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 69% · edge +14.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Barrow Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Barrow to WinBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Solihull Moors Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Solihull Moors to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Recent form shows Solihull Moors have scored only once but conceded heavily, while Barrow averages nearly two goals per game with a solid defensive record. Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, reinforcing the expectation of an open, high-scoring encounter based on current performances.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Solihull Moors wins
2Draws
4Barrow wins
28 Jan 2020Solihull Moors v Barrow0-0
19 Oct 2019Barrow v Solihull Moors0-1
14 Sep 2019Barrow v Solihull Moors3-0
22 Dec 2018Solihull Moors v Barrow0-1
01 Sep 2018Barrow v Solihull Moors1-2
30 Dec 2017Barrow v Solihull Moors1-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 59% · edge +13.1 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Barrow to WinBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Solihull Moors to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
The nine previous meetings between these teams have averaged nearly three goals per game, demonstrating a historical tendency for open, goal-rich matches. This head-to-head trend aligns well with current form and season data, providing a strong background rationale for expecting multiple goals in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

National League

Solihull Moors7
Played
Barrow7
Solihull Moors1
Avg goals for
Barrow1.4
Solihull Moors2.7
Avg goals against
Barrow1.6
Solihull Moors0
Clean sheets
Barrow1
Best odds for this sectionBarrow Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Barrow to WinBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Solihull Moors Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Solihull Moors to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Season-long data highlights Solihull Moors’ defensive vulnerabilities with 2.4 goals conceded per game, while Barrow’s attack averages 1.8 goals per match. These figures support the likelihood of a game with multiple goals, as defensive frailties and attacking efficiency combine to create scoring chances.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
21Barrow67133-1
24Solihull Moors17016-12
Despite both teams sitting near the lower end of the National League table, their points totals reflect contrasting recent fortunes. The standings add context to the fixture’s stakes, with Solihull Moors eager to improve and Barrow aiming to consolidate their position, likely encouraging attacking play to secure vital points.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Solihull Moors Over 2.5
80%Barrow Over 2.5
2.89H2H avg goals
Over the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.89, indicating a consistent trend toward high-scoring encounters. This sample suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, supported by both teams’ recent attacking and defensive patterns.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Aldershot Town v Yeovil TownNational League · Tue 15 Sep 19:45Boston United v WokingNational League · Tue 15 Sep 19:45Carlisle v Forest GreenNational League · Tue 15 Sep 19:45Harrogate Town v AFC FyldeNational League · Tue 15 Sep 19:45

Competition and hubs

player stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre