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Sligo Rovers crestSligo Rovers
v
St Patrick's Athl. crestSt Patrick's Athl.

Premier Division | Sat 19 Sep, 19:45

Sligo Rovers v St Patrick's Athl. Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sligo Rovers face a tough challenge hosting league leaders St Patrick's Athl. Despite sitting 10th with 23 points, Sligo Rovers will rely on home resilience to counter St Patrick's Athl.'s strong form and attacking threat. St Patrick's Athl. have been prolific, averaging 2 goals per game recently and leading the table with 56 points. The match promises tactical intensity, with Sligo aiming to avoid defeat and capitalize on defensive solidity, while St Patrick's Athl. look to maintain their momentum and pressure at the top of the Premier Division.

BT4Y best bet

Sligo Rovers Draw No Bet

  • Sligo Rovers have a low goals-for average (0.2) but concede 2 per game, showing defensive vulnerability yet scoring struggles.
  • St Patrick's Athl. lead the league with 56 points and average 2 goals scored per match, indicating strong offensive form.
  • Both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting potential for open play but also defensive lapses.
  • Sligo Rovers have a 20% BTTS rate, indicating they often keep clean sheets or matches end goalless on their side, supporting a cautious home approach.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Sligo Rovers Draw No Bet due to the significant value in the compared to the implied chance. Despite Sligo's low scoring, their defensive resilience at home and the risk of St Patrick's Athl. dropping points create an opportunity. The model is high at 71%, reflecting a balanced view that Sligo can avoid defeat. The data quality is solid with no limitations, supporting a reliable prediction. The price offers a 22.8% , making this a compelling selection for cautious backing.

Model Chance45%
Strong positive
Implied Chance22.2%
Strong positive
Value Edge22.8%
Strong positive
Confidence71%
Positive
Data QualityComplete data for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Sligo Rovers Draw No Bet is a tactically sound choice given their home defensive resilience and the high stakes for St Patrick's Athl. to maintain league leadership. The data shows Sligo's ability to avoid defeat despite scoring struggles, while St Patrick's Athl.'s pressure may not guarantee a win. This pick balances cautious optimism with statistical value.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and value insight

“Sligo Rovers' defensive organization at home combined with St Patrick's Athl.'s occasional defensive lapses makes the Draw No Bet a smart selection here, offering value against the league leaders' attacking prowess.”

Key Data Signals

Sligo Rovers Draw No Bet evidence

Sligo Rovers have a low goals-for average (0.2) but concede 2 per game, showing defensive vulnerability yet scoring struggles.

St Patrick's Athl. Lead the league with 56 points and average 2 goals scored per match, indicating strong offensive form.

Both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting potential for open play but also defensive lapses.

Sligo Rovers have a 20% BTTS rate, indicating they often keep clean sheets or matches end goalless on their side, supporting a cautious home approach.

What To Watch In The Data

Sligo Rovers Draw No Bet notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating moderately open games with goal opportunities for both sides.
  • Both teams' 40% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests a balanced tempo with chances at both ends, but also defensive discipline that could keep the scoreline tight in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sligo Rovers5.4
Avg corners for
St Patrick's Athl.4.8
Sligo Rovers11.8
Avg total corners
St Patrick's Athl.10
Sligo Rovers1.6
Avg yellow cards
St Patrick's Athl.1.2
Sligo Rovers10
Avg shots
St Patrick's Athl.14.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 67% · edge +2.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Sligo Rovers average 5.4 corners and 10 shots per game, showing moderate attacking pressure, while St Patrick's Athl. average 4.8 corners and 14.4 shots, reflecting their offensive control. Card data shows Sligo players like C. Harkin and Conor Cannon have high card risk, indicating a physical defensive style that could disrupt St Patrick's Athl.'s rhythm and influence match tempo.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sligo Rovers0.2
Avg goals scored
St Patrick's Athl.2
Sligo Rovers2
Avg goals conceded
St Patrick's Athl.0.6
Sligo Rovers20%
BTTS rate
St Patrick's Athl.20%
Sligo Rovers40%
Over 2.5 goals
St Patrick's Athl.40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 52% · edge +8.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 31%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating moderate scoring frequency. Sligo Rovers score very few goals but concede more, while St Patrick's Athl. maintain a solid attack with 2 goals per game. The low BTTS rate of 20% for both teams suggests matches often feature clean sheets or low scoring from one side, pointing to a tactical battle with selective goal-scoring chances.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSligo Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Sligo Rovers to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The Sligo Rovers Draw No Bet market offers strong value with implying a 22.2% chance, while the model estimates a 45% chance of avoiding defeat. This significant of 22.8% suggests the market underestimates Sligo's home resilience against the league leaders, making the bet price-sensitive but attractive for cautious bettors.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sligo Rovers

LLLDL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 4D 6L
14 Sep 2026H Galway United1-3
11 Sep 2026A Drogheda United0-2
28 Aug 2026A Bohemians0-3
21 Aug 2026H Waterford0-0
07 Aug 2026A Derry City0-2

St Patrick's Athl.

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
14 Sep 2026A Dundalk4-0
11 Sep 2026H Shamrock Rovers2-0
28 Aug 2026H Waterford0-2
21 Aug 2026A Drogheda United2-0
09 Aug 2026A Shelbourne2-1
Market aligned with main pickSligo Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Sligo Rovers to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Recent form data shows Sligo Rovers have struggled offensively, scoring only 0.2 goals per game and earning just 1 point recently, while conceding 2 goals per match. St Patrick's Athl. are in strong form with 12 points and 2 goals per game, highlighting a mismatch in momentum. This contrast supports a cautious bet on Sligo avoiding defeat rather than backing a home win outright.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Sligo Rovers wins
1Draws
7St Patrick's Athl. wins
19 Jun 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Sligo Rovers2-0
04 May 2026Sligo Rovers v St Patrick's Athl.1-1
03 Apr 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Sligo Rovers4-1
27 Sep 2025Sligo Rovers v St Patrick's Athl.1-0
10 Aug 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Sligo Rovers3-0
30 May 2025Sligo Rovers v St Patrick's Athl.0-1
Market aligned with main pickSligo Rovers to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 13% · edge +13.7 pts
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The 10 previous meetings between these teams average 2.9 goals per match, reflecting competitive encounters with moderate scoring. While St Patrick's Athl. have generally been stronger, the head-to-head record does not overwhelmingly favor a home defeat for Sligo Rovers, supporting the bet on Sligo avoiding loss in this fixture.
Season team stats

Premier Division

Sligo Rovers31
Played
St Patrick's Athl.31
Sligo Rovers0.8
Avg goals for
St Patrick's Athl.1.6
Sligo Rovers1.7
Avg goals against
St Patrick's Athl.0.8
Sligo Rovers6
Clean sheets
St Patrick's Athl.12
Market aligned with main pickSligo Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
Sligo Rovers to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Season-long stats reveal Sligo Rovers' defensive vulnerabilities with 2 goals conceded per game but limited scoring ability, averaging 0.2 goals. St Patrick's Athl. display a potent attack with 2 goals per match and a solid defensive record conceding 0.6 goals. These profiles suggest Sligo's best chance lies in defensive resilience and avoiding defeat, aligning with the Draw No Bet selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2St Patrick's Athl.5631168726
10Sligo Rovers23315818-29
The standings show St Patrick's Athl. as clear league leaders with 56 points, far ahead of Sligo Rovers in 10th with 23 points. While this gap highlights St Patrick's Athl.'s control, it also adds pressure on them to maintain form, which could lead to cautious play or unexpected dropped points, supporting the value in Sligo Rovers Draw No Bet.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Sligo Rovers Over 2.5
40%St Patrick's Athl. Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating moderately open games with goal opportunities for both sides. Both teams' 40% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests a balanced tempo with chances at both ends, but also defensive discipline that could keep the scoreline tight in this fixture.

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