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Shelbourne crestShelbourne
v
Bohemians crestBohemians

Premier Division | Mon 22 Jun, 19:45

Shelbourne v Bohemians Stats

Data last updated: Sun 21 Jun 2026, 04:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shelbourne and Bohemians meet in a Premier Division clash where attacking intent is clear from both sides. Shelbourne have shown resilience with a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, while Bohemians have been prolific, boasting a 100% over 2.5 rate recently. Both teams have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1 and 2.2 goals respectively, setting the stage for an open, high-tempo encounter. The mid-table battle adds competitive edge, with both sides eager to capitalize on scoring opportunities in this closely matched fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Bohemians have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches, indicating strong attacking form.
  • Shelbourne averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 1 goal per game, supporting goal-scoring chances.
  • Both teams have high BTTS rates: Shelbourne at 80% and Bohemians at 100%, suggesting goals at both ends.
  • Bohemians average 17.5 shots per game with 4.25 on target, showing offensive pressure.
  • Martin is a key attacking threat with 6 goals and over 1 shot on target per 90 minutes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 71.4% chance for over 2.5 goals, driven by strong attacking outputs and defensive vulnerabilities from both sides. Bohemians' perfect recent record for over 2.5 goals and Shelbourne's consistent goal involvement underpin this expectation. The average goals per match in their head-to-head is 2.6, reinforcing the likelihood of multiple goals. The attacking roles of key players like J. Martin, combined with high shot volumes, support an open game with scoring opportunities. No price warnings or data limitations affect this pick, making it a solid selection based on current form and player influence.

Model Chance71.4% probability for Over 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Bohemians Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Shelbourne Goals For/Against1.4 scored, 1 conceded per game
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.6 goals per match in last 10 meetings
Positive
Key Player InfluenceJ. Martin with 6 goals and 1.06 shots on target per 90
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Shelbourne and Bohemians have shown offensive strengths but defensive frailties. Bohemians' consistent over 2.5 goals record and Shelbourne's goal-scoring ability suggest multiple goals are likely. This match should provide plenty of scoring opportunities and an entertaining contest.

Main risk

The main risk is that defensive improvements or cautious tactics could limit goal-scoring chances, reducing the likelihood of reaching over 2.5 goals.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“This fixture features two teams with clear attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, making over 2.5 goals a logical expectation given their recent performances and player roles.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Bohemians have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches, indicating strong attacking form.

Shelbourne averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 1 goal per game, supporting goal-scoring chances.

Both teams have high BTTS rates: Shelbourne at 80% and Bohemians at 100%, suggesting goals at both ends.

Bohemians average 17.5 shots per game with 4.25 on target, showing offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals per match is 2.6, supporting the over 2.5 goals trend.
  • Recent matches show a pattern of open play and goal-scoring opportunities, driven by tempo and attacking focus from both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Shelbourne1.4
Avg goals scored
Bohemians2
Shelbourne1
Avg goals conceded
Bohemians2.2
Shelbourne80%
BTTS rate
Bohemians100%
Shelbourne60%
Over 2.5 goals
Bohemians100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 48% · edge +23.8 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 33%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams exhibit high BTTS rates, with Bohemians at 100% and Shelbourne at 80%, indicating goals at both ends are frequent. Their combined goal averages and recent scoring patterns suggest an open game with multiple goal-scoring opportunities, supporting the over 2.5 goals route.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 48% · edge +23.8 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Shelbourne Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Bohemians Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The Over 2.5 Goals market is supported by a strong of 71.4%, reflecting both teams' attacking tendencies and defensive weaknesses. While no explicit are available, the statistical profile suggests a favorable environment for multiple goals, making this a price-sensitive but football-logical selection.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Shelbourne3
Avg corners for
Bohemians6.25
Shelbourne7.25
Avg total corners
Bohemians10.25
Shelbourne1.75
Avg yellow cards
Bohemians1.75
Shelbourne12.25
Avg shots
Bohemians17.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Bohemians average over six corners per game and 17.5 shots, indicating sustained attacking pressure and wide play. Shelbourne also contribute with 12.25 shots per game. Both teams have moderate yellow card averages, reflecting a competitive but not overly aggressive style, which can maintain game flow and scoring chances.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Shelbourne

DWDDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 1L
19 Jun 2026A Drogheda United2-2
12 Jun 2026H Shamrock Rovers2-1
29 May 2026H Galway United1-1
25 May 2026A Derry City0-0
22 May 2026H Waterford2-1

Bohemians

LLWLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
19 Jun 2026H Dundalk1-2
12 Jun 2026A Derry City1-4
29 May 2026A Sligo Rovers3-1
25 May 2026H Shamrock Rovers1-2
22 May 2026A Galway United4-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 83% vs implied 69% · edge +13.3 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Shelbourne Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Bohemians Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Bohemians to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Recent form data shows Bohemians have consistently featured matches with over 2.5 goals, maintaining a 100% rate, while Shelbourne have a solid 60% rate. Both teams have conceded multiple goals recently, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Shelbourne wins
6Draws
2Bohemians wins
04 May 2026Bohemians v Shelbourne2-2
16 Mar 2026Shelbourne v Bohemians0-0
24 Jan 2026Bohemians v Shelbourne2-2
26 Oct 2025Bohemians v Shelbourne2-3
09 Aug 2025Shelbourne v Bohemians2-2
16 May 2025Bohemians v Shelbourne1-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 48% · edge +23.8 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Bohemians to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
The head-to-head record over 10 matches shows an average of 2.6 goals per game, indicating a history of relatively high-scoring encounters. This trend provides a meaningful background supporting the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier Division

Shelbourne21
Played
Bohemians22
Shelbourne1.5
Avg goals for
Bohemians1.5
Shelbourne1.4
Avg goals against
Bohemians1.2
Shelbourne5
Clean sheets
Bohemians7
Best odds for this sectionShelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 39% · edge +18.6 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Shelbourne Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Bohemians Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Bohemians to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Season-long statistics reveal both teams have potent attacks but leaky defenses, with Shelbourne scoring 1.4 and conceding 1 goal per game, and Bohemians scoring 2 but conceding 2.2. This imbalance favors matches with multiple goals, aligning well with the over 2.5 goals expectation.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Bohemians34229766
5Shelbourne30217952
Shelbourne and Bohemians sit closely in the Premier Division standings, ranked 5th and 4th respectively, with a narrow points gap. This proximity adds competitive intensity but does not directly influence goal volume; however, both teams' need for points may encourage attacking play.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Shelbourne Over 2.5
100%Bohemians Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals per match is 2.6, supporting the over 2.5 goals trend. Recent matches show a pattern of open play and goal-scoring opportunities, driven by tempo and attacking focus from both sides.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Shelbourne v Bohemians prediction

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