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Shelbourne crestShelbourne
v
Bohemians crestBohemians

Premier Division | Mon 22 Jun, 19:45

Shelbourne v Bohemians Stats

Data last updated: Fri 17 Jul 2026, 01:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shelbourne face Bohemians in Premier Division on Mon 22 Jun, 19:45. The last 10 head-to-head meetings have produced five draws, with Shelbourne winning three and Bohemians winning two, so this fixture has been extremely tight. Shelbourne are carrying a robust 10-game unbeaten streak since early last month, transforming Tolka Park into a resilient fortress.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Shelbourne to Win or Draw (Double Chance) Shelbourne represent a formidable obstacle at Tolka Park

  • At 23/50, Shelbourne Win implies roughly 69%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 57%.
  • Bohemians average an impressive 1.9 goals scored alongside a highly vulnerable 1.
  • Shelbourne have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Bohemians.
  • Shelbourne have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Shelbourne Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Shelbourne sit 5 in the table, while Bohemians sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Shelbourne to Win or Draw (Double Chance) Shelbourne represent a formidable obstacle at Tolka Park is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 69% while the model sits nearer 57% (-11.4 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +23.6 pts edge at 1.91.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 57% for Shelbourne Win sits against roughly 69% implied by the current price. Shelbourne have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Bohemians. Bohemians average an impressive that scoring level scored alongside a highly vulnerable 1.

Model chance vs price57% model chance against roughly 69% implied
Negative
Shelbourne have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
Shelbourne have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Bohemians average an impressive 1.9 goals scored alongside a.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Shelbourne Win is the preferred angle because bohemians average an impressive that scoring level scored alongside a highly vulnerable 1.9 goals conceded per game over their last ten, making a highly competitive scoreline look exceptionally realistic. Shelbourne have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Bohemians. Football loves to pretend momentum is mysterious, but sometimes it is obvious: stop losing, tighten the team, build , and suddenly everyone runs a yard harder.

Main risk

Football loves to pretend momentum is mysterious, but sometimes it is obvious: stop losing, tighten the team, build , and suddenly everyone runs a yard harder.

Key Data Signals

Shelbourne Win evidence

Bohemians average an impressive 1.9 goals scored alongside a highly vulnerable 1.

Shelbourne have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Bohemians.

Shelbourne have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Shelbourne Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Shelbourne sit 5 in the table, while Bohemians sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Shelbourne Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Shelbourne4
    Avg corners for
    Bohemians5
    Shelbourne8
    Avg total corners
    Bohemians10.5
    Shelbourne3
    Avg yellow cards
    Bohemians1.5
    Shelbourne2
    Avg shots
    Bohemians13.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 52% · edge -0.7 pts
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Shelbourne1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Bohemians2
    Shelbourne1
    Avg goals conceded
    Bohemians2.2
    Shelbourne80%
    BTTS rate
    Bohemians100%
    Shelbourne60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Bohemians100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 52% · edge +23.6 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 33%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickShelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 39% · edge +18.6 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Shelbourne Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Shelbourne to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Shelbourne

    DWDDW
    Last 52W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 5D 1L
    19 Jun 2026A Drogheda United2-2
    12 Jun 2026H Shamrock Rovers2-1
    29 May 2026H Galway United1-1
    25 May 2026A Derry City0-0
    22 May 2026H Waterford2-1

    Bohemians

    LLWLW
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    19 Jun 2026H Dundalk1-2
    12 Jun 2026A Derry City1-4
    29 May 2026A Sligo Rovers3-1
    25 May 2026H Shamrock Rovers1-2
    22 May 2026A Galway United4-2
    Market aligned with main pickShelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 39% · edge +18.6 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 83%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Shelbourne Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Shelbourne wins
    6Draws
    2Bohemians wins
    04 May 2026Bohemians v Shelbourne2-2
    16 Mar 2026Shelbourne v Bohemians0-0
    24 Jan 2026Bohemians v Shelbourne2-2
    26 Oct 2025Bohemians v Shelbourne2-3
    09 Aug 2025Shelbourne v Bohemians2-2
    16 May 2025Bohemians v Shelbourne1-0
    Market aligned with main pickShelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 39% · edge +18.6 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Shelbourne to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Shelbourne24
    Played
    Bohemians0
    Shelbourne1.5
    Avg goals for
    Bohemians-
    Shelbourne1.5
    Avg goals against
    Bohemians-
    Shelbourne5
    Clean sheets
    Bohemians-
    Market aligned with main pickShelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 39% · edge +18.6 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Shelbourne Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Season data supports Shelbourne to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Bohemians4325127613
    5Shelbourne342481060
    Shelbourne sit in position 5, while Bohemians sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Shelbourne Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Shelbourne Over 2.5
    100%Bohemians Over 2.5
    2.6H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Shelbourne sit at 60% and Bohemians sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.