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Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers
v
Derry City crestDerry City

Premier Division | Mon 22 Jun, 20:00

Shamrock Rovers v Derry City Stats

Data last updated: Tue 11 Aug 2026, 07:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shamrock Rovers face Derry City in Premier Division on Mon 22 Jun, 20:00. Shamrock Rovers have built their campaign on control, defensive reliability, and an impressive home record, winning eight of their last ten matches at Tallaght Stadium.

BT4Y best bet

Entail? A Correct Score selection demands predicting the exact exact scoreline at the end of regulation play

  • A Correct Score selection demands predicting the exact exact scoreline at the end of regulation play implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.
  • Rovers possess the best defensive record in the division, keeping nine clean sheets and conceding only 19 goals.
  • Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Derry City.
  • Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Entail?
  • Shamrock Rovers sit 1 in the table, while Derry City sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 61% for Entail? A Correct Score selection demands predicting the exact exact scoreline at the end of regulation play sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Derry City. Rovers possess the best defensive record in the division, keeping nine clean sheets and conceding only 19 goals.

Model chance vs price61% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Positive
Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 9.Visible data support
Positive
Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Rovers possess the best defensive record in the division.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Shamrock Rovers Win is the preferred angle because rovers possess the best defensive record in the division, keeping nine clean sheets and conceding only that scoring level. Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Derry City. Football loves a crisis, but Rovers refused to provide one.

Main risk

Football loves a crisis, but Rovers refused to provide one.

Key Data Signals

Entail? A Correct Score selection demands predicting the exact exact scoreline at the end of regulation play evidence

Rovers possess the best defensive record in the division, keeping nine clean sheets and conceding only 19 goals.

Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Derry City.

Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Shamrock Rovers Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Shamrock Rovers sit 1 in the table, while Derry City sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Entail? A Correct Score selection demands predicting the exact exact scoreline at the end of regulation play notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Shamrock Rovers1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Derry City1.2
    Shamrock Rovers1
    Avg goals conceded
    Derry City1
    Shamrock Rovers60%
    BTTS rate
    Derry City60%
    Shamrock Rovers60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Derry City60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 31%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 55%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 55% · edge +6.7 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 70%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 54%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Shamrock Rovers to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Shamrock Rovers3.75
    Avg corners for
    Derry City5
    Shamrock Rovers7.25
    Avg total corners
    Derry City10.33
    Shamrock Rovers2.75
    Avg yellow cards
    Derry City3.33
    Shamrock Rovers14.25
    Avg shots
    Derry City12.33
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 48% · edge +0.2 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 54%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Shamrock Rovers

    WLWWL
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 0D 4L
    19 Jun 2026A Waterford2-0
    12 Jun 2026A Shelbourne1-2
    29 May 2026H St Patrick's Athl.1-0
    25 May 2026A Bohemians2-1
    22 May 2026H Sligo Rovers1-2

    Derry City

    LWLDD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 5D 3L
    19 Jun 2026A Galway United1-2
    12 Jun 2026H Bohemians4-1
    29 May 2026A Dundalk1-2
    25 May 2026H Shelbourne0-0
    22 May 2026H St Patrick's Athl.0-0
    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 55% · edge +6.7 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 70%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Shamrock Rovers wins
    2Draws
    3Derry City wins
    24 Apr 2026Derry City v Shamrock Rovers1-0
    06 Mar 2026Shamrock Rovers v Derry City1-0
    31 Jan 2026Shamrock Rovers v Derry City0-1
    26 Oct 2025Derry City v Shamrock Rovers2-1
    03 Aug 2025Shamrock Rovers v Derry City2-0
    23 May 2025Derry City v Shamrock Rovers1-2
    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 55% · edge +6.7 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Shamrock Rovers to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Shamrock Rovers27
    Played
    Derry City27
    Shamrock Rovers1.6
    Avg goals for
    Derry City1.3
    Shamrock Rovers0.9
    Avg goals against
    Derry City1.2
    Shamrock Rovers10
    Clean sheets
    Derry City7
    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 55% · edge +6.7 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 70%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Season data supports Shamrock Rovers to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Shamrock Rovers5427166519
    6Derry City332771283
    Shamrock Rovers sit in position 1, while Derry City sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Entail? A Correct Score selection demands predicting the exact exact scoreline at the end of regulation play assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
    60%Derry City Over 2.5
    1.8H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Shamrock Rovers sit at 60% and Derry City sit at 60% with the H2H average at 1.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Shamrock Rovers v Derry City prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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