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Scunthorpe crestScunthorpe
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Boreham Wood crestBoreham Wood

National League | Wed 16 Sep, 19:45

Scunthorpe v Boreham Wood Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Boreham Wood arrives at this National League fixture in strong form, currently leading the table with 17 points, showcasing a potent attack averaging 2.2 goals per game and a solid defense conceding just one goal on average. Scunthorpe, positioned 18th with 7 points, have struggled defensively, allowing two goals per match and scoring less frequently. Boreham Wood's consistent performances and superior league standing set the stage for a confident away win, though Scunthorpe's home resilience and recent points tally suggest a competitive contest under the lights.

BT4Y best bet

Boreham Wood to Win

  • Boreham Wood leads the league with 17 points, indicating strong overall form.
  • Boreham Wood averages 2.2 goals scored per game, outpacing Scunthorpe's 1.8.
  • Scunthorpe concedes 2 goals per match, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Boreham Wood's defense is tighter, conceding only 1 goal on average per game.
  • Recent form favors Boreham Wood with 13 points compared to Scunthorpe's 6 in recent matches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Boreham Wood to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior league position, stronger recent form, and better defensive record. The implied of 1.7 offer positive value against the market's 58.8% implied chance, supported by Boreham Wood's consistent goal-scoring and defensive solidity. No data limitations affect , making this a well-supported selection based on current National League dynamics.

Model Chance70%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance58.8%
Positive
Value Edge11.2%
Strong positive
Recent FormBoreham Wood stronger than Scunthorpe
Strong positive
Defensive RecordBoreham Wood concedes fewer goals
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Boreham Wood's tactical discipline and attacking efficiency make them the clear favorites to secure victory in this National League clash. Their superior form and defensive resilience provide a strong foundation to overcome Scunthorpe, who have struggled to maintain consistency and defensive stability this season.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Boreham Wood's blend of attacking potency and defensive organization positions them well to control this match and capitalize on Scunthorpe's defensive lapses, making their win a compelling prospect.”

Key Data Signals

Boreham Wood to Win evidence

Boreham Wood leads the league with 17 points, indicating strong overall form.

Boreham Wood averages 2.2 goals scored per game, outpacing Scunthorpe's 1.8.

Scunthorpe concedes 2 goals per match, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Boreham Wood's defense is tighter, conceding only 1 goal on average per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Boreham Wood to Win notes

  • Over the last four head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.5, reflecting a moderately open scoring pattern.
  • Combined with recent Over 2.5 goal rates—80% for Boreham Wood and 60% for Scunthorpe—this trend suggests a match with multiple goal-scoring opportunities and a lively tempo.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Scunthorpe1.8
Avg goals scored
Boreham Wood2.2
Scunthorpe2
Avg goals conceded
Boreham Wood1
Scunthorpe60%
BTTS rate
Boreham Wood80%
Scunthorpe60%
Over 2.5 goals
Boreham Wood80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 82%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have shown tendencies for matches with goals, with Boreham Wood's games featuring an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate and 80% BTTS rate, while Scunthorpe's matches have a 60% rate for both. This suggests an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides, supporting an attacking encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBoreham Wood to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 59% · edge +11.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Boreham Wood Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The for Boreham Wood to win at 1.7 reflect a market that aligns well with the model's 70% win probability, indicating positive value. The 11.2% suggests the price is attractive for bettors seeking a strong away favorite in this fixture.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Scunthorpe

WLLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 4L
12 Sep 2026A Sutton Utd2-0
05 Sep 2026H Harrogate Town0-2
31 Aug 2026A Carlisle2-4
28 Aug 2026H Solihull Moors3-1
22 Aug 2026A Eastleigh2-3

Boreham Wood

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 0L
12 Sep 2026A Eastleigh1-1
05 Sep 2026H Carlisle2-1
31 Aug 2026A Worthing3-2
27 Aug 2026H Boston United2-1
22 Aug 2026A Forest Green3-0
Market aligned with main pickBoreham Wood to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 59% · edge +11.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Boreham Wood Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Recent form data highlights Boreham Wood's superiority, earning 13 points compared to Scunthorpe's 6 in recent matches. This momentum reflects and tactical effectiveness, suggesting Boreham Wood can maintain their winning ways against a struggling Scunthorpe side.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Scunthorpe wins
1Draws
2Boreham Wood wins
20 Jan 2026Boreham Wood v Scunthorpe1-3
24 Sep 2025Scunthorpe v Boreham Wood1-1
25 Feb 2023Boreham Wood v Scunthorpe2-0
03 Sep 2022Scunthorpe v Boreham Wood0-2
Market aligned with main pickBoreham Wood to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 59% · edge +11.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The four previous encounters between these teams have averaged 2.5 goals per game, indicating a balanced competitive history with moderate scoring. While this sample is limited, it suggests neither side has dominated historically, making current form and league position more decisive factors in predicting the outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

National League

Scunthorpe7
Played
Boreham Wood7
Scunthorpe1.4
Avg goals for
Boreham Wood2.4
Scunthorpe1.7
Avg goals against
Boreham Wood1.3
Scunthorpe1
Clean sheets
Boreham Wood1
Market aligned with main pickBoreham Wood to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 59% · edge +11.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Boreham Wood Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Season-long statistics reveal Boreham Wood's balanced profile, combining a potent attack averaging 2.2 goals per game with a solid defense conceding only one goal on average. Scunthorpe's higher concession rate and lower scoring output underline their challenges in both areas, favoring Boreham Wood's overall team strength.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Boreham Wood1775208
20Scunthorpe77214-2
Boreham Wood's position atop the National League table with 17 points contrasts sharply with Scunthorpe's 18th place and 7 points, indicating a significant gap in consistency and quality. This standing difference underscores the away side's status as favorites, though Scunthorpe's home matches remain competitive.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Scunthorpe Over 2.5
80%Boreham Wood Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Over the last four head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.5, reflecting a moderately open scoring pattern. Combined with recent Over 2.5 goal rates—80% for Boreham Wood and 60% for Scunthorpe—this trend suggests a match with multiple goal-scoring opportunities and a lively tempo.

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