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SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg
v
Werder Bremen crestWerder Bremen

Bundesliga | Sun 30 Aug, 14:30

SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen Stats

Data last updated: Sat 29 Aug 2026, 07:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

SC Freiburg face Werder Bremen in Bundesliga on Sun 30 Aug, 14:30. Freiburg have won five of their last six matches at Europa-Park Stadion and remain unbeaten there in six, giving them a strong platform for their league opener. Freiburg enter with strong scoring momentum from European and cup matches and unbeaten home form.

BT4Y best bet

Freiburg to win and Both Teams to Score

  • At 12/1, Freiburg to win and Both Teams to Score implies roughly 8%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 23%.
  • Freiburg vs Werder Bremen: Home Strength Gives Hosts the Early Edge.
  • SC Freiburg sit 10 in the table, while Werder Bremen sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 23% for Freiburg to win and Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 8% implied by the current price. SC Freiburg sit 10 in the table, while Werder Bremen sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Freiburg vs Werder Bremen: Home Strength Gives Hosts the Early Edge.

Model chance vs price23% model chance against roughly 8% implied
Strong positive
SC Freiburg sit 10 in the table, while Werder Bremen.Visible data support
Positive
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen: Home Strength Gives Hosts the.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Werder Bremen Win is the preferred angle because freiburg vs Werder Bremen: Home Strength Gives Hosts the Early Edge. SC Freiburg sit 10 in the table, while Werder Bremen sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. The risk is Freiburg's recent clean sheets against Bremen, which could prevent the exact scoreline.

Main risk

The risk is Freiburg's recent clean sheets against Bremen, which could prevent the exact scoreline.

Key Data Signals

Freiburg to win and Both Teams to Score evidence

Freiburg vs Werder Bremen: Home Strength Gives Hosts the Early Edge.

SC Freiburg sit 10 in the table, while Werder Bremen sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Freiburg to win and Both Teams to Score notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickWerder Bremen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Werder Bremen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Werder Bremen to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    SC Freiburg-
    Avg goals scored
    Werder Bremen-
    SC Freiburg-
    Avg goals conceded
    Werder Bremen-
    SC Freiburg-
    BTTS rate
    Werder Bremen-
    SC Freiburg-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Werder Bremen-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 48% · edge +6.9 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    SC Freiburg

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for SC Freiburg yet.

    Werder Bremen

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Werder Bremen yet.

    Market aligned with main pickWerder Bremen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Werder Bremen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    7SC Freiburg wins
    2Draws
    1Werder Bremen wins
    07 Feb 2026SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen1-0
    20 Sep 2025Werder Bremen v SC Freiburg0-3
    21 Feb 2025SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen5-0
    05 Oct 2024Werder Bremen v SC Freiburg0-1
    27 Jan 2024Werder Bremen v SC Freiburg3-1
    26 Aug 2023SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen1-0
    Market aligned with main pickWerder Bremen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Werder Bremen to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Bundesliga

    SC Freiburg0
    Played
    Werder Bremen0
    SC Freiburg0
    Avg goals for
    Werder Bremen0
    SC Freiburg0
    Avg goals against
    Werder Bremen0
    SC Freiburg0
    Clean sheets
    Werder Bremen0
    Market aligned with main pickWerder Bremen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    Werder Bremen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Season data supports Werder Bremen to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    10SC Freiburg000000
    13Werder Bremen000000
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -SC Freiburg Over 2.5
    -Werder Bremen Over 2.5
    2.2H2H avg goals
    Freiburg vs Werder Bremen: Home Strength Gives Hosts the Early Edge.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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