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Sarpsborg 08 FF crestSarpsborg 08 FF
v
Ham-Kam crestHam-Kam

Eliteserien | Sun 26 Jul, 16:00

Sarpsborg 08 FF v Ham-Kam Stats

Data last updated: Sat 25 Jul 2026, 05:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sarpsborg 08 FF hosts Ham-Kam in an Eliteserien clash where Sarpsborg's recent form and home advantage set the tone. Sarpsborg has collected 10 points recently, showing attacking intent with an average of 1.4 goals per game and a solid defensive record. Ham-Kam faces challenges with limited recent data and no points in their latest outings, suggesting a tough task ahead. The match will test Sarpsborg's ability to capitalize on home momentum against a Ham-Kam side with thinner statistical visibility and uncertain defensive stability.

BT4Y best bet

Sarpsborg 08 FF to Win

  • Sarpsborg 08 FF has earned 10 points in recent matches, indicating strong form.
  • Sarpsborg averages 1.4 goals per game with a 60% rate of matches over 2.5 goals.
  • Ham-Kam's recent data is limited, but they have yet to secure points in recent outings.
  • Sarpsborg maintains an average of 8 corners and 2 shots on target per game, showing attacking pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 74% chance for Sarpsborg 08 FF to win, reflecting their superior recent form and attacking output. Sarpsborg's consistent goal scoring and defensive solidity create a strong football read for victory. Ham-Kam's limited data and lack of recent points increase uncertainty about their ability to challenge effectively. While the price context shows no warning, the model supports a standard stake on Sarpsborg's home win. The thinner sample for Ham-Kam means line-up and tactical factors could influence the outcome more than usual.

Recent formSarpsborg 08 FF has 10 points recently, Ham-Kam none
Strong positive
Goal scoringSarpsborg averages 1.4 goals per game
Positive
Data qualityHam-Kam data is limited, increasing uncertainty
Neutral
Model confidence74% chance for Sarpsborg win
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent form and attacking consistency make them the clear favorite to secure victory at home. Their ability to create chances and maintain defensive discipline contrasts with Ham-Kam's uncertain form and limited recent data, suggesting Sarpsborg should control the match and earn the three points.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Sarpsborg's home advantage and steady attacking threat position them strongly against a Ham-Kam side lacking recent momentum and statistical clarity. Expect Sarpsborg to impose their game and capitalize on this edge.”

Key Data Signals

Sarpsborg 08 FF to Win evidence

Sarpsborg 08 FF has earned 10 points in recent matches, indicating strong form.

Sarpsborg averages 1.4 goals per game with a 60% rate of matches over 2.5 goals.

Ham-Kam's recent data is limited, but they have yet to secure points in recent outings.

Sarpsborg maintains an average of 8 corners and 2 shots on target per game, showing attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Sarpsborg 08 FF to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 3.7 per game, indicating a relatively open fixture historically.
  • Sarpsborg 08 FF's 60% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches aligns with this trend, suggesting a match with multiple goal-scoring opportunities and a lively tempo.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sarpsborg 08 FF1.4
Avg goals scored
Ham-Kam1.4
Sarpsborg 08 FF1
Avg goals conceded
Ham-Kam2.2
Sarpsborg 08 FF60%
BTTS rate
Ham-Kam60%
Sarpsborg 08 FF60%
Over 2.5 goals
Ham-Kam80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 87% vs implied 86% · edge +1.4 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Sarpsborg 08 FF's matches have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals and BTTS occurrences, highlighting a tendency for open play and goal opportunities. Ham-Kam's limited data restricts deeper analysis, but Sarpsborg's offensive output suggests goals are likely, supporting an attacking game narrative.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSarpsborg 08 FF to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Sarpsborg 08 FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The Sarpsborg 08 FF to Win market reflects a strong of 74%, indicating a robust football read for the home side. The price appears fair with no warning flags, suggesting this is a sensible selection based on form and attacking-defensive balance. movement favoring Sarpsborg would enhance value, but current pricing supports a standard stake.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sarpsborg 08 FF3.6
Avg corners for
Ham-Kam3.4
Sarpsborg 08 FF9.8
Avg total corners
Ham-Kam10.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF1
Avg yellow cards
Ham-Kam1
Sarpsborg 08 FF12.4
Avg shots
Ham-Kam9.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Sarpsborg averages 8 corners and 2 shots on target per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. The average of 2 yellow cards per match suggests moderate fouling, likely from competitive midfield battles. Ham-Kam's lack of data limits insight, but Sarpsborg's attacking volume should influence set-piece and shot markets.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sarpsborg 08 FF

DWWWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
18 Jul 2026A Kristiansund BK0-0
12 Jul 2026H Viking1-0
29 May 2026A Brann2-1
25 May 2026H Molde2-1
16 May 2026A Valerenga2-3

Ham-Kam

LLDDW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
22 Jul 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-3
18 Jul 2026H Tromso1-4
12 Jul 2026A Sandefjord2-2
29 May 2026A Aalesund2-2
25 May 2026H Lillestrom2-0
Market aligned with main pickSarpsborg 08 FF to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Sarpsborg 08 FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent form is impressive, securing 10 points with a balanced attack and defense, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game. Ham-Kam's form is poor with no recent points and limited data, indicating struggles in both attack and defense. This contrast in momentum favors Sarpsborg's and likelihood to control the match tempo.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Sarpsborg 08 FF wins
3Draws
2Ham-Kam wins
26 Mar 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF v Ham-Kam2-2
13 Feb 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF v Ham-Kam3-2
31 Aug 2025Ham-Kam v Sarpsborg 08 FF1-3
11 May 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF v Ham-Kam4-0
07 Mar 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF v Ham-Kam2-1
20 Oct 2024Ham-Kam v Sarpsborg 08 FF0-2
Market aligned with main pickSarpsborg 08 FF to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 3.7 goals per game, pointing to historically open contests between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Ham-Kam. This supports expectations of attacking play and goal chances, though recent form and home advantage give Sarpsborg a clear edge in this encounter.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08 FF13
Played
Ham-Kam13
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.1
Avg goals for
Ham-Kam1.5
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.2
Avg goals against
Ham-Kam1.9
Sarpsborg 08 FF3
Clean sheets
Ham-Kam3
Market aligned with main pickSarpsborg 08 FF to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Sarpsborg 08 FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Sarpsborg 08 FF's season stats reveal a solid attacking output with 1.4 goals per game and a defense conceding just 1 goal on average, underpinning their winning chances. The team's ability to generate corners and shots on target supports their offensive consistency. Ham-Kam's thinner data sample limits season-long insights but suggests challenges in maintaining defensive stability.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Sarpsborg 08 FF1813535-2
8Ham-Kam1813535-5
Current league standings data is unavailable, but Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent points haul and home form imply a stronger position in the competition. Ham-Kam's lack of recent points and limited data suggest they face pressure to improve results, adding urgency but also potential instability to their approach.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Sarpsborg 08 FF Over 2.5
80%Ham-Kam Over 2.5
3.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 3.7 per game, indicating a relatively open fixture historically. Sarpsborg 08 FF's 60% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches aligns with this trend, suggesting a match with multiple goal-scoring opportunities and a lively tempo.

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