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Kristiansund BK crestKristiansund BK
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Start crestStart

Eliteserien | Sat 25 Jul, 15:00

Kristiansund BK v Start Stats

Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 05:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kristiansund BK host Start in a pivotal Eliteserien clash shaped by relegation pressure and contrasting fortunes. Kristiansund hold a five-point cushion and a game in hand, aiming to extend their advantage over bottom-placed Start, who struggle with the league's poorest away record, conceding 23 goals in eight matches. Kristiansund's midfield control and attacking ambition face Start's compressed defensive setup, with both sides needing a win to ease survival anxieties. The match promises tactical intensity, where Kristiansund's need for goals meets Start's defensive vulnerabilities and counter-attacking threat, setting the stage for a tense, high-stakes encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Kristiansund BK to Win

  • Start have conceded 23 goals in eight away matches, the worst defensive away record in the league.
  • Kristiansund have won all three league matches this season where they scored at least two goals.
  • Both teams have shown defensive fragility, with only one clean sheet each in their last five matches.
  • Kristiansund average 401 passes per game, indicating midfield control against Start’s 345 passes.
  • Leander Alvheim has scored nearly half of Kristiansund’s league goals, highlighting his attacking importance.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Kristiansund BK to win based on their stronger recent form, home advantage, and Start's severe away defensive issues. Kristiansund's pattern of victories correlates with scoring two or more goals, aligning with Start's tendency to concede multiple goals on the road. The of 47.7% slightly exceeds the implied chance of 45.5%, indicating a small positive value. Both teams' defensive vulnerabilities suggest a match where Kristiansund's midfield control and attacking ambition can exploit Start’s fragile backline. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Recent FormKristiansund have 4 points from last 5, Start 3 points
Positive
Defensive RecordsStart concede 2.87 goals per away game, Kristiansund concede 1.8
Strong positive
Scoring PatternKristiansund win only when scoring 2+ goals
Positive
Home AdvantageKristiansund have a game in hand and better league position
Positive
Price EdgeModel chance 47.7% vs implied 45.5%, small positive value
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Kristiansund BK’s home advantage and superior league position provide a tactical edge in this relegation battle. Their ability to control midfield possession and create chances against Start’s leaky defense makes a home victory the most probable outcome. Start’s poor away form and defensive frailty further tilt the balance towards Kristiansund, who need to capitalize on this opportunity to build separation from the bottom.

Main risk

Kristiansund should therefore resist the urge to treat the opening stages like an emergency.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match result and tactical context

“Kristiansund’s need to score at least twice to win aligns perfectly with Start’s defensive struggles on the road, making the home win a logical and data-supported choice in this crucial fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Kristiansund BK to Win evidence

Start have conceded 23 goals in eight away matches, the worst defensive away record in the league.

Kristiansund have won all three league matches this season where they scored at least two goals.

Both teams have shown defensive fragility, with only one clean sheet each in their last five matches.

Kristiansund average 401 passes per game, indicating midfield control against Start’s 345 passes.

What To Watch In The Data

Kristiansund BK to Win notes

  • Over the last six meetings, the average goals per game is 3, indicating a trend towards higher scoring encounters.
  • Both teams’ recent matches have frequently exceeded 2.5 goals, suggesting an open game with defensive lapses and attacking opportunities.
  • This trend supports expectations of a lively match with multiple goals, consistent with the over 2.5 goals market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kristiansund BK0.8
Avg goals scored
Start1
Kristiansund BK1.8
Avg goals conceded
Start2.2
Kristiansund BK60%
BTTS rate
Start60%
Kristiansund BK80%
Over 2.5 goals
Start80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 85% vs implied 83% · edge +1.8 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 49%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, each keeping only one clean sheet in their last five matches, supporting an expectation of over 2.5 goals. Kristiansund’s reliance on scoring multiple goals to win and Start’s tendency to concede heavily away suggest a match with several scoring opportunities and a higher tempo attack from the hosts.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickKristiansund BK to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 47% · edge +1.2 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Kristiansund BK Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The current of 2.2 for Kristiansund BK to win reflect a close but slightly undervalued chance compared to the model’s 47.7% probability. This small positive is justified by Kristiansund’s home form and Start’s poor away defensive record. The price is attractive enough to back the home win confidently without major caution.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Kristiansund BK4.8
Avg corners for
Start3
Kristiansund BK11.4
Avg total corners
Start7.2
Kristiansund BK2.4
Avg yellow cards
Start1.4
Kristiansund BK13
Avg shots
Start13
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Kristiansund average 4.8 corners and 13 shots per game, with 3 shots on target, indicating moderate attacking pressure. Start’s lower corner count and shots reflect their defensive posture but also their vulnerability to sustained pressure. The card averages suggest a moderately physical contest, with Kristiansund more prone to fouls, potentially leading to set-piece chances.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kristiansund BK

DLLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
18 Jul 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF0-0
12 Jul 2026A Rosenborg0-3
29 May 2026A Valerenga1-3
24 May 2026H Viking1-2
20 May 2026A Lillestrom2-1

Start

LLLWL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
18 Jul 2026H Rosenborg0-3
12 Jul 2026A Brann1-2
29 May 2026A Fredrikstad1-2
25 May 2026H Valerenga2-0
20 May 2026H Bodo/Glimt1-4
Market aligned with main pickKristiansund BK to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 47% · edge +1.2 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Kristiansund BK Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Kristiansund BK have collected 4 points in their last five matches, showing some resilience despite scoring challenges. Start have 3 points from their last five, reflecting ongoing struggles, especially defensively. Both teams’ recent form underlines the urgency of this fixture, with Kristiansund’s slightly better momentum supporting their chances to secure a home win.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Kristiansund BK wins
2Draws
2Start wins
05 Aug 2023Kristiansund BK v Start1-1
16 Apr 2023Start v Kristiansund BK4-0
20 Sep 2020Start v Kristiansund BK1-2
09 Aug 2020Kristiansund BK v Start3-2
02 Sep 2018Kristiansund BK v Start1-1
24 Jun 2018Start v Kristiansund BK2-0
Market aligned with main pickKristiansund BK to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 47% · edge +1.2 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The head-to-head sample of six matches shows an average of three goals per game, indicating that previous meetings have generally been open and goal-rich. While the sample is moderate, it supports the likelihood of a competitive match with scoring opportunities, aligning with the tactical and form-based analysis favoring Kristiansund’s attacking chances against Start’s defense.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Kristiansund BK13
Played
Start14
Kristiansund BK0.8
Avg goals for
Start1
Kristiansund BK1.6
Avg goals against
Start2.4
Kristiansund BK2
Clean sheets
Start1
Market aligned with main pickKristiansund BK to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 47% · edge +1.2 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Kristiansund BK Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Kristiansund BK’s season-long scoring challenges are evident, with only 11 goals in 13 matches, but their defensive record is marginally better than Start’s, who concede over 2 goals per game. The hosts’ ability to maintain possession and create more shots per game supports their potential to break down Start’s leaky defense and achieve the necessary goals for victory.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
15Kristiansund BK1213337-10
16Start714149-19
Kristiansund BK sit 15th with 12 points, holding a five-point advantage over bottom-placed Start, who have 7 points. This points gap and the game in hand give Kristiansund a tangible incentive and slight breathing room, increasing the pressure on Start to perform away. The standings reflect the high stakes and survival battle context of this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Kristiansund BK Over 2.5
80%Start Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last six meetings, the average goals per game is 3, indicating a trend towards higher scoring encounters. Both teams’ recent matches have frequently exceeded 2.5 goals, suggesting an open game with defensive lapses and attacking opportunities. This trend supports expectations of a lively match with multiple goals, consistent with the over 2.5 goals market.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.