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Rosenborg crestRosenborg
v
Kristiansund BK crestKristiansund BK

Eliteserien | Sun 12 Jul, 16:00

Rosenborg v Kristiansund BK Stats

Data last updated: Sat 11 Jul 2026, 04:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rosenborg and Kristiansund BK meet in an Eliteserien clash where both teams have shown a tendency for active wing play and set-piece involvement. Rosenborg, despite sitting 15th, have averaged 3.4 corners per game, while Kristiansund BK, ranked 14th, average 4.6. Both sides have struggled defensively, leading to open play and territorial battles that often result in numerous corners. Recent matches suggest a competitive encounter with both teams pushing for attacking opportunities, making a high corner count a plausible outcome.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Over 8.5 Corners

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 78%, above the 67% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Rosenborg average 3.4 corners per game this season
  • Kristiansund BK average 4.6 corners per game, indicating attacking width
  • Both teams have recent matches with high corner counts due to open play
  • Average shots per game near 12 for both teams suggest active offensive pressure
Price warning

Over 8.5 Corners is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 78% while the model sits nearer 67% (-10.9 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Kristiansund BK to Win shows a +14.8 pts edge at 5.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model identifies a 67.2% chance for over 8.5 corners, supported by both teams' attacking styles and corner averages. Rosenborg and Kristiansund BK generate significant shot volumes, which often translate into corner opportunities. The match context of open defensive play and territorial exchanges further increases corner potential. No price warnings apply, and the level supports a standard stake recommendation. Limited data concerns are absent, reinforcing the reliability of corner trends for this fixture.

Price / value67% model chance vs 78% implied (-10.9 pts)
Negative
Model chance67.2%
Strong positive
Rosenborg corners per game3.4
Positive
Kristiansund BK corners per game4.6
Strong positive
Shot volumes (both teams)~12 shots per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with frequent wing play and attacking pressure from both Rosenborg and Kristiansund BK, leading to numerous corners. The statistical corner averages and shot volumes underline the likelihood of surpassing 8.5 corners, reflecting the teams' offensive intent and defensive vulnerabilities.

Main risk

The main risk is that a more cautious tactical approach or early game control by one team could reduce corner opportunities, limiting the total corners despite statistical trends.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This fixture's corner potential is driven by both teams' attacking patterns and defensive lapses, creating a fertile ground for set-piece opportunities along the flanks.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Rosenborg average 3.4 corners per game this season

Kristiansund BK average 4.6 corners per game, indicating attacking width

Both teams have recent matches with high corner counts due to open play

Average shots per game near 12 for both teams suggest active offensive pressure

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.7, indicating open games with attacking tempo.
  • While this trend focuses on goals, the attacking openness and transitions likely contribute to higher corner counts, supporting the over 2.5 goals trend panel and indirectly reinforcing corner market potential.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rosenborg1.2
Avg goals scored
Kristiansund BK0.8
Rosenborg2
Avg goals conceded
Kristiansund BK1.8
Rosenborg40%
BTTS rate
Kristiansund BK60%
Rosenborg60%
Over 2.5 goals
Kristiansund BK60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +7.9 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both Rosenborg and Kristiansund BK have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting open games with attacking intent. While goals do not directly correlate with corners, the offensive pressure and defensive gaps contribute to increased set-piece situations, supporting the corner market.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 78% · edge -10.9 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Kristiansund BK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Kristiansund BK to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Rosenborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
The over 8.5 corners market is priced attractively given the model's 67.2% probability, indicating a solid chance without significant price sensitivity. Both teams' corner averages and attacking tendencies justify this selection as a value-based choice with standard staking.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Rosenborg3.4
Avg corners for
Kristiansund BK4.6
Rosenborg8.6
Avg total corners
Kristiansund BK9.8
Rosenborg1.8
Avg yellow cards
Kristiansund BK2.6
Rosenborg12.4
Avg shots
Kristiansund BK12.6
Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 78% · edge -10.9 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Kristiansund BK's higher average corners (4.6) and Rosenborg's 3.4 reflect sustained wing attacks and pressure. Both teams average around 12 shots per game, indicating frequent offensive actions that often result in corners. Discipline is moderate, with Kristiansund BK averaging 2.6 yellows, suggesting fouls that can disrupt play and lead to corner scenarios.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rosenborg

DLLWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
29 May 2026H Bodo/Glimt2-2
25 May 2026A KFUM Oslo0-2
16 May 2026H Aalesund2-3
10 May 2026H Lillestrom2-0
01 May 2026A Viking0-3

Kristiansund BK

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
29 May 2026A Valerenga1-3
24 May 2026H Viking1-2
20 May 2026A Lillestrom2-1
16 May 2026A Molde0-1
10 May 2026A Sandefjord0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 44% · edge +18.5 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Kristiansund BK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Kristiansund BK to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Rosenborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Rosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Recent form data shows both teams have matches with high corner counts, consistent with their attacking styles. Rosenborg's 4 points and Kristiansund BK's 3 points in recent fixtures reflect competitive encounters where territorial battles and offensive pressure have translated into numerous corners, reinforcing the over 8.5 corners pick.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Rosenborg wins
3Draws
2Kristiansund BK wins
22 Jun 2025Kristiansund BK v Rosenborg4-1
01 May 2025Rosenborg v Kristiansund BK1-1
01 Dec 2024Kristiansund BK v Rosenborg0-4
26 May 2024Rosenborg v Kristiansund BK2-1
14 Mar 2024Rosenborg v Kristiansund BK2-2
25 Feb 2023Rosenborg v Kristiansund BK3-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +7.9 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Kristiansund BK to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Rosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The ten previous meetings between Rosenborg and Kristiansund BK have averaged 3.7 goals per game, reflecting open and attacking contests. Although the sample size is moderate, the offensive nature of these encounters suggests a match environment conducive to frequent attacking plays and set-piece situations, which aligns with the over 8.5 corners expectation.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Rosenborg11
Played
Kristiansund BK11
Rosenborg0.8
Avg goals for
Kristiansund BK1
Rosenborg1.6
Avg goals against
Kristiansund BK1.6
Rosenborg2
Clean sheets
Kristiansund BK1
Best odds for this sectionKristiansund BK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 32% · edge +12.3 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Kristiansund BK to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Rosenborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Rosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Season-long corner statistics reveal Rosenborg and Kristiansund BK average a combined 8 corners per game, with Kristiansund BK's 4.6 corners per match notably high. This sustained pattern of wing play and offensive pressure supports the likelihood of exceeding 8.5 corners in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
14Kristiansund BK1111326-7
15Rosenborg911236-9
Both teams occupy lower mid-table positions (15th and 14th), indicating pressure to perform and possibly encouraging attacking approaches to secure points. This competitive urgency can lead to open play and increased corner opportunities as both sides seek to create chances.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Rosenborg Over 2.5
60%Kristiansund BK Over 2.5
3.7H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.7, indicating open games with attacking tempo. While this trend focuses on goals, the attacking openness and transitions likely contribute to higher corner counts, supporting the over 2.5 goals trend panel and indirectly reinforcing corner market potential.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Rosenborg v Kristiansund BK prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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