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RB Bragantino crestRB Bragantino
v
Sporting Cristal crestSporting Cristal

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Thu 30 Jul, 01:30

RB Bragantino v Sporting Cristal Stats

Data last updated: Wed 29 Jul 2026, 03:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

RB Bragantino hosts Sporting Cristal in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana with clear momentum advantage. Bragantino ranks second in the competition and has accumulated 10 points, showing strong recent form with 8 points from their last matches and a solid defensive record conceding just 0.4 goals per game. Sporting Cristal arrives with a much weaker recent output, scoring no goals and earning only 1 point recently. Bragantino's attacking efficiency and home advantage set a tactical tone favoring their victory, while Sporting Cristal faces an uphill battle to break through a disciplined defense.

BT4Y match pick

RB Bragantino to Win

  • RB Bragantino holds a 74% to win, reflecting strong form and home advantage
  • Bragantino averages 1.8 goals per game with a tight defense conceding 0.4 goals
  • Sporting Cristal has scored 0 goals recently and has a 0% BTTS rate, indicating offensive struggles
  • Bragantino's players like Fernando and Vanderlan show high shot volumes and goal threat
  • Recent form and season stats strongly favor RB Bragantino's winning chances

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors RB Bragantino to win due to their superior recent form, effective attack averaging 1.8 goals per game, and robust defense conceding only 0.4 goals. Sporting Cristal's lack of recent goals and points highlights offensive difficulties. Player-level data shows Bragantino's attackers, especially Fernando and Vanderlan, are highly active and efficient in shooting and creating chances. The home team’s consistent performance and tactical control underpin the 74% win probability, making this a confident selection without price warnings.

Recent FormRB Bragantino strong (8 points) vs Sporting Cristal weak (1 point)
Strong positive
Attack EfficiencyBragantino 1.8 goals/game, Sporting Cristal 0 goals
Strong positive
DefenseBragantino concedes 0.4 goals/game
Positive
Player ThreatFernando 3 goals, Vanderlan 5.63 shots on target per 90
Strong positive
Model Confidence74% chance for Bragantino win
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

RB Bragantino's superior form and attacking efficiency make them the clear favorite to secure victory. Their disciplined defense and high-volume shooting from key players like Fernando provide a tactical edge. Sporting Cristal's offensive struggles and lack of recent points suggest they will find it difficult to challenge effectively in this fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“RB Bragantino's combination of solid defense and prolific attacking players like Fernando and Vanderlan creates a strong foundation for a home win. Sporting Cristal's recent offensive drought further tilts the balance in Bragantino's favor.”

Key Data Signals

RB Bragantino to Win evidence

RB Bragantino holds a 74% to win, reflecting strong form and home advantage

Bragantino averages 1.8 goals per game with a tight defense conceding 0.4 goals

Sporting Cristal has scored 0 goals recently and has a 0% BTTS rate, indicating offensive struggles

Bragantino's players like Fernando and Vanderlan show high shot volumes and goal threat

What To Watch In The Data

RB Bragantino to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, the Over 2.5 Goals rate for Bragantino is 20%, indicating a tendency toward tighter games.
  • Sporting Cristal's 0% rate suggests very low scoring matches.
  • This trend points to a controlled tempo with limited high-scoring outcomes, aligning with a disciplined Bragantino defense and cautious Sporting Cristal offense.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

RB Bragantino3.8
Avg corners for
Sporting Cristal6
RB Bragantino8.2
Avg total corners
Sporting Cristal8
RB Bragantino2.8
Avg yellow cards
Sporting Cristal1
RB Bragantino17
Avg shots
Sporting Cristal20
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
Bragantino averages fewer corners (3.8) than Sporting Cristal (6), but compensates with higher shot accuracy and volume, particularly through players like Vanderlan. The card data shows Bragantino has a higher yellow card average, suggesting aggressive pressing and physical play to maintain territorial control.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

RB Bragantino1.8
Avg goals scored
Sporting Cristal0
RB Bragantino0.4
Avg goals conceded
Sporting Cristal0
RB Bragantino20%
BTTS rate
Sporting Cristal0%
RB Bragantino20%
Over 2.5 goals
Sporting Cristal0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 55% · edge +13.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 32%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The goal and BTTS data indicate a controlled scoring environment favoring Bragantino. With Sporting Cristal scoring no goals recently and a 0% BTTS rate, the match is likely to see limited scoring from the visitors, supporting a low BTTS likelihood and controlled goal totals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRB Bragantino to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 75% · edge -1.2 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 32%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 74% for RB Bragantino to win reflects strong based on recent form and player performance. The absence of a price suggests the market is still forming, but the data supports Bragantino as a price-sensitive favorite worth backing at standard stakes.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

RB Bragantino

DWDWL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 2L
23 Jul 2026A Sporting Cristal0-0
28 May 2026H Carabobo FC2-0
21 May 2026A River Plate1-1
08 May 2026A Blooming6-0
01 May 2026H River Plate0-1

Sporting Cristal

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
23 Jul 2026H RB Bragantino0-0
Market aligned with main pickRB Bragantino to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 75% · edge -1.2 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
RB Bragantino's recent form is impressive, securing 8 points with a strong goal difference, while Sporting Cristal has struggled to score or gain points. This contrast underlines Bragantino's momentum and , reinforcing their likelihood to control the match and secure a win.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0RB Bragantino wins
1Draws
0Sporting Cristal wins
23 Jul 2026Sporting Cristal v RB Bragantino0-0
Market aligned with main pickRB Bragantino to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 75% · edge -1.2 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 32%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The single previous meeting between these teams ended with no goals, indicating a cautious tactical approach historically. While limited, this suggests that defensive organization plays a key role in their encounters, supporting expectations of a controlled match with Bragantino leveraging home advantage to break the deadlock.
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

RB Bragantino7
Played
Sporting Cristal1
RB Bragantino1.7
Avg goals for
Sporting Cristal0
RB Bragantino0.7
Avg goals against
Sporting Cristal0
RB Bragantino3
Clean sheets
Sporting Cristal1
Market aligned with main pickRB Bragantino to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 75% · edge -1.2 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
Bragantino's season stats show a potent attack averaging 1.8 goals per game and a sturdy defense conceding only 0.4 goals, highlighting their balanced and effective play style. Sporting Cristal's lack of goals and defensive solidity is a concern, supporting Bragantino's winning chances.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2RB Bragantino1063127
Bragantino's second-place standing with 10 points demonstrates their competitive edge and consistency in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana. Sporting Cristal's absence from the visible standings suggests a lower position, indicating less pressure but also less form, which favors Bragantino's home advantage.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%RB Bragantino Over 2.5
0%Sporting Cristal Over 2.5
0H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, the Over 2.5 Goals rate for Bragantino is 20%, indicating a tendency toward tighter games. Sporting Cristal's 0% rate suggests very low scoring matches. This trend points to a controlled tempo with limited high-scoring outcomes, aligning with a disciplined Bragantino defense and cautious Sporting Cristal offense.

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