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RAAL La Louvière crestRAAL La Louvière
v
Gent crestGent

Jupiler Pro League | Sun 16 Aug, 15:00

RAAL La Louvière v Gent Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Gent enters this Jupiler Pro League fixture against RAAL La Louvière with a strong recent performance, having secured 3 points and kept a clean sheet in their last outing. Positioned 4th in the league, Gent's tactical approach emphasizes controlled possession and efficient attacking transitions. RAAL La Louvière, sitting 14th, have struggled to find form, conceding twice and scoring once in their recent match. The contrast in quality and momentum sets a clear competitive tone, with Gent expected to leverage their offensive depth and defensive solidity at this stage of the season.

BT4Y best bet

Gent to Win

  • Gent holds a 70% to win, indicating strong statistical support.
  • Gent averages 15 shots and 8 shots on target per match, showcasing attacking control.
  • RAAL La Louvière concedes more and has a 100% BTTS rate recently, but Gent's defense has kept clean sheets.
  • Gent ranks 4th in the league, reflecting consistent performance compared to RAAL La Louvière's 14th position.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Gent to win with a 70% chance, supported by their superior attacking metrics, including an average of 15 shots and 8 shots on target per game, compared to RAAL La Louvière's 5 and 2 respectively. Gent's defensive record is also stronger, having kept clean sheets recently, while RAAL La Louvière's defensive vulnerabilities and lower league standing further tilt the balance. This combination of offensive firepower and defensive resilience underpins the in Gent's victory, despite RAAL La Louvière's occasional goal threat.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Gent Average Shots per Game15
Strong positive
Gent Defensive Clean SheetsRecent clean sheets
Positive
RAAL La Louvière Defensive RecordConceded 2 goals recently
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Gent's tactical discipline and attacking efficiency make them the clear favorite to secure victory. Their higher league position and recent clean sheet demonstrate both form and defensive strength, while RAAL La Louvière's struggles suggest Gent should control the match and capitalize on their chances.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Gent's combination of attacking volume and defensive solidity provides a strong platform for victory, especially against a lower-ranked opponent with defensive frailties.”

Key Data Signals

Gent to Win evidence

Gent holds a 70% to win, indicating strong statistical support.

Gent averages 15 shots and 8 shots on target per match, showcasing attacking control.

RAAL La Louvière concedes more and has a 100% BTTS rate recently, but Gent's defense has kept clean sheets.

Gent ranks 4th in the league, reflecting consistent performance compared to RAAL La Louvière's 14th position.

What To Watch In The Data

Gent to Win notes

  • In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored were 1.5 per match, indicating moderately low-scoring encounters.
  • However, recent form and attacking stats suggest this fixture could see more offensive action, especially from Gent, who have higher shot volumes and goal threat metrics.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

RAAL La Louvière1
Avg corners for
Gent4
RAAL La Louvière11
Avg total corners
Gent5
RAAL La Louvière3
Avg yellow cards
Gent0
RAAL La Louvière5
Avg shots
Gent15
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Gent dominates in shots and corners, averaging 15 shots and 4 corners per game compared to RAAL La Louvière's 5 shots and 1 corner. The lower card count for Gent reflects disciplined play, while RAAL La Louvière's higher yellow card average suggests a more aggressive approach, impacting match flow and set-piece opportunities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

RAAL La Louvière1
Avg goals scored
Gent2
RAAL La Louvière2
Avg goals conceded
Gent0
RAAL La Louvière100%
BTTS rate
Gent0%
RAAL La Louvière100%
Over 2.5 goals
Gent0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +7.9 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Recent form shows RAAL La Louvière with a 100% BTTS rate and Over 2.5 goals in their matches, contrasting with Gent's defensive discipline and 0 BTTS rate. This suggests a potential for goals but also indicates Gent's ability to limit opposition scoring, creating an interesting dynamic for goals and BTTS markets.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickGent to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Gent Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Gent's reflect a strong value opportunity, with the model assigning a 70% chance of victory against an implied market chance of 43.5%. This significant highlights the market underestimating Gent's quality and recent form, making the win selection attractive at current prices.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

RAAL La Louvière

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
09 Aug 2026A Anderlecht1-2

Gent

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
09 Aug 2026H KV Mechelen2-0
Market aligned with main pickGent to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Gent Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Gent's recent form includes a clean sheet and a win, reflecting defensive stability and effective attack. RAAL La Louvière's recent matches show goals conceded and a lack of points, indicating struggles in both defense and offense. This form disparity supports Gent's likelihood to control and win the match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0RAAL La Louvière wins
1Draws
1Gent wins
30 Jan 2026RAAL La Louvière v Gent1-1
02 Aug 2025Gent v RAAL La Louvière1-0
Market aligned with main pickGent to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
The limited head-to-head sample of two matches shows modest goal scoring with an average of 1.5 goals per game. While this provides some background, current form and team quality differences are more decisive factors for this fixture's expected outcome.
Season team stats

Jupiler Pro League

RAAL La Louvière2
Played
Gent2
RAAL La Louvière1
Avg goals for
Gent2
RAAL La Louvière2
Avg goals against
Gent0.5
RAAL La Louvière0
Clean sheets
Gent1
Market aligned with main pickGent to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Gent Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Over the season, Gent exhibits strong attacking numbers with high shot and shot on target averages, coupled with a solid defensive record. RAAL La Louvière's season stats reveal defensive vulnerabilities and lower offensive output, reinforcing Gent's superiority in both phases of play.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Gent622003
15RAAL La Louvière02002-2
Gent's 4th place standing in the Jupiler Pro League reflects consistent performance and competitiveness, while RAAL La Louvière's 14th place highlights their challenges. The league positions suggest Gent has more at stake and better quality, influencing the match outcome expectations.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%RAAL La Louvière Over 2.5
0%Gent Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored were 1.5 per match, indicating moderately low-scoring encounters. However, recent form and attacking stats suggest this fixture could see more offensive action, especially from Gent, who have higher shot volumes and goal threat metrics.

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