QPR

Cardiff

Championship | Wed 02 Sep, 19:45

QPR v Cardiff Stats

Data last updated: Tue 01 Sep 2026, 07:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

QPR hosts Cardiff in a Championship clash where QPR's strong start has them sitting 4th with 7 points, while Cardiff are 13th with 3 points. QPR's solid defensive record, conceding just 0.67 goals per game, contrasts with Cardiff's more porous defense allowing 1.67 goals per game. Both teams have shown attacking intent, averaging 1.67 goals scored per match. The fixture promises tactical discipline from QPR aiming to maintain their unbeaten home form, while Cardiff will seek to capitalize on their attacking strengths to disrupt QPR's rhythm.

BT4Y best bet

QPR Draw No Bet

QPR holds a 73% for Draw No Bet with a positive of 24.9%.
QPR concedes only 0.67 goals per game, showing defensive solidity.
Cardiff concedes 1.67 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability.
Both teams average 1.67 goals scored per match, suggesting balanced attacking threat.
QPR ranks 4th in the league, reflecting consistent early-season form.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors QPR Draw No Bet with a 73% chance, reflecting QPR's strong defensive record and higher league standing. QPR's ability to limit goals conceded (0.67 per game) contrasts with Cardiff's weaker defense (1.67 per game). The positive of 24.9% indicates the offer good value. Both teams show attacking potential, but QPR's home form and defensive discipline underpin in avoiding defeat. No price warnings apply, supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Model Chance73%

Strong positive

Value Edge24.9%

Strong positive

QPR Goals Against0.67 per game

Strong positive

Cardiff Goals Against1.67 per game

Negative

League PositionQPR 4th vs Cardiff 13th

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

QPR's disciplined defense and higher league standing make Draw No Bet a sensible choice. Their ability to limit goals conceded contrasts with Cardiff's more vulnerable defense, providing a tactical and statistical edge. This bet balances QPR's home strength with the uncertainty of Cardiff's attacking potential.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive strength and league form

“QPR's defensive solidity and superior league position provide a strong foundation for Draw No Bet, especially given Cardiff's defensive struggles. This bet offers a pragmatic approach to backing QPR while mitigating risk.”

Key Data Signals

QPR Draw No Bet evidence

QPR holds a 73% for Draw No Bet with a positive of 24.9%.

QPR concedes only 0.67 goals per game, showing defensive solidity.

Cardiff concedes 1.67 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Both teams average 1.67 goals scored per match, suggesting balanced attacking threat.

What To Watch In The Data

QPR Draw No Bet notes

Over the last 10 matches, the average goals per game between QPR and Cardiff is 2, indicating a moderately scoring fixture historically.
Both teams have a 67% Over 2.5 goals rate this season, suggesting a trend towards open games with multiple goals.
This trend supports expectations of a lively match with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

QPR1.67

Avg goals scored

Cardiff1.67

QPR0.67

Avg goals conceded

Cardiff1.67

QPR67%

BTTS rate

Cardiff100%

QPR67%

Over 2.5 goals

Cardiff67%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Both teams average 1.67 goals per game, with QPR boasting a 67% Over 2.5 goals rate and Cardiff at 67% as well. Cardiff's 100% BTTS rate indicates they consistently score, while QPR's 67% BTTS rate suggests a balanced attacking output. This points to a match likely featuring goals from both sides, supporting an open game scenario.

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Useful next reads

Championship hub corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickQPR Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 75%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

QPR to WinBetMGM guide price · model 65%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 55%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

The QPR Draw No Bet market shows clear value with a 24.9% positive edge and a of 73%, well above the implied 48.1% . This pricing reflects in QPR's defensive strength and league form, making the market attractive without requiring caution on price sensitivity.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

QPR5

Avg corners for

Cardiff9.33

QPR8.67

Avg total corners

Cardiff15.33

QPR1.33

Avg yellow cards

Cardiff1.33

QPR16.67

Avg shots

Cardiff18.33

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 67% · edge +2.3 pts

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 55%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Cardiff averages 9.33 corners per game compared to QPR's 5, indicating more attacking pressure and wide play from Cardiff. Both teams have similar yellow card averages (1.33), suggesting a moderately physical contest. QPR's higher shots on target (7.33) versus Cardiff's 6.67 reflects efficient attacking attempts, balancing territorial pressure and shot quality.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

QPR

WDW

Last 52W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 1D 0L

29 Aug 2026A Blackburn2-1

22 Aug 2026H Bolton0-0

15 Aug 2026A Portsmouth3-1

Cardiff

DDD

Last 50W 3D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 3D 0L

29 Aug 2026H Sheffield Utd2-2

22 Aug 2026A Derby2-2

17 Aug 2026H Wrexham1-1

Market aligned with main pickQPR Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

QPR to WinBetMGM guide price · model 65%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

QPR has collected 7 points with a strong defensive record conceding only 0.67 goals per game, reflecting consistent form and resilience. Cardiff's 3 points and higher goals conceded (1.67 per game) indicate more defensive frailty and less momentum. This recent form data supports in QPR avoiding defeat, aligning with the Draw No Bet selection.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5QPR wins

3Draws

2Cardiff wins

23 Jul 2025QPR v Cardiff2-2

05 Apr 2025QPR v Cardiff0-0

27 Nov 2024Cardiff v QPR0-2

01 Jan 2024QPR v Cardiff1-2

12 Aug 2023Cardiff v QPR1-2

26 Dec 2022Cardiff v QPR0-0

Market aligned with main pickQPR to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 52% · edge +12.4 pts

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 75%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2 goals per game, indicating moderately competitive encounters. While not overwhelmingly supportive, the H2H data suggests balanced contests with neither side dominating, reinforcing the cautious in QPR's Draw No Bet given current form and defensive stats.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Championship

QPR3

Played

Cardiff3

QPR1.7

Avg goals for

Cardiff1.7

QPR0.7

Avg goals against

Cardiff1.7

QPR1

Clean sheets

Cardiff0

Market aligned with main pickQPR Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

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QPR to WinBetMGM guide price · model 65%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

QPR's season stats highlight a solid defense conceding 0.67 goals per game and a balanced attack scoring 1.67 goals per game. Cardiff's stats show a leaky defense conceding 1.67 goals per game despite matching QPR's scoring rate. This contrast in defensive solidity underpins the rationale for favoring QPR in the Draw No Bet market.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
4	QPR	7	3	2	1	0	3
13	Cardiff	3	3	0	3	0	0

QPR's 4th place standing with 7 points reflects early season consistency and competitiveness in the Championship. Cardiff's 13th place with 3 points shows a slower start and less stability. While league position is not decisive alone, it provides context for QPR's stronger form and heading into this fixture.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%QPR Over 2.5

67%Cardiff Over 2.5

2H2H avg goals

Over the last 10 matches, the average goals per game between QPR and Cardiff is 2, indicating a moderately scoring fixture historically. Both teams have a 67% Over 2.5 goals rate this season, suggesting a trend towards open games with multiple goals. This trend supports expectations of a lively match with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

QPR v Cardiff Stats

Match Report

QPR Draw No Bet

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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QPR

Cardiff

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Football Stats Hub

QPR v Cardiff Stats

Match Report

QPR Draw No Bet

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

QPR

Cardiff

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