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Qatar crestQatar
v
El Salvador crestEl Salvador

Friendlies | Sat 06 Jun, 21:00

Qatar v El Salvador Stats

Data last updated: Fri 05 Jun 2026, 05:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Qatar and El Salvador meet in an international friendly where both sides have shown a tendency towards low-scoring matches recently. Qatar's defensive organization and El Salvador's cautious approach in away fixtures suggest a tactical battle with limited attacking risks. Both teams have struggled to find the net in their latest outings, increasing the likelihood of a tight game with few clear chances. The match offers a tactical chessboard scenario, with neither side expected to commit heavily forward, setting the stage for a contest decided by narrow margins rather than open play.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have recorded zero goals in their last matches, indicating low scoring momentum.
  • Qatar averages 8 shots per game but only 1 on target, showing limited finishing threat.
  • El Salvador has a low average of 3 shots per game with minimal shots on target.
  • Recent head-to-head matches averaged 3 goals, but current form suggests fewer goals this time.
  • Both teams have low BTTS rates, supporting a tight defensive game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% probability, reflecting recent defensive solidity and low attacking output from both Qatar and El Salvador. Neither side has scored in their last matches, and shot metrics indicate limited offensive penetration, especially from El Salvador. The low BTTS rates and cautious tactical setups in friendlies further support a low-scoring outcome. While the do not currently offer clear value, the football context justifies this selection as a prudent choice given the teams' recent performances and playing styles.

Recent Goal DroughtBoth teams scored 0 goals in last matches
Strong positive
Shot QualityQatar 1.15 shots on target per 90, El Salvador near zero
Positive
BTTS RateBoth teams have 0% BTTS in recent games
Strong positive
Match TypeFriendly with tactical caution expected
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible pick given Qatar and El Salvador's recent defensive focus and lack of scoring. The data shows both teams have struggled to create quality chances, and the tactical nature of a friendly match typically suppresses goal-scoring opportunities. Expect a tightly contested game with limited clear-cut chances and a low final scoreline.

Main risk

The main risk is that friendlies can sometimes produce unexpected attacking bursts as teams experiment with line-ups and tactics, which could lead to more goals than recent form suggests.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“This fixture looks set for a cautious encounter with both sides showing defensive discipline and limited attacking threat, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical expectation.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have recorded zero goals in their last matches, indicating low scoring momentum.

Qatar averages 8 shots per game but only 1 on target, showing limited finishing threat.

El Salvador has a low average of 3 shots per game with minimal shots on target.

Recent head-to-head matches averaged 3 goals, but current form suggests fewer goals this time.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored was 3, slightly above the Under 2.5 threshold.
  • However, recent form and tactical caution in friendlies suggest a slower tempo and fewer goals this time, indicating a trend towards tighter defensive matches in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Qatar3
Avg corners for
El Salvador1
Qatar10
Avg total corners
El Salvador7
Qatar0
Avg yellow cards
El Salvador1
Qatar8
Avg shots
El Salvador3

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Qatar0
Avg goals scored
El Salvador0
Qatar1
Avg goals conceded
El Salvador1
Qatar0%
BTTS rate
El Salvador0%
Qatar0%
Over 2.5 goals
El Salvador0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 58% · edge +7.9 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Recent form data shows both Qatar and El Salvador have failed to score in their last matches, with BTTS rates at zero. This defensive trend, combined with low shot accuracy and volume, points to a low likelihood of both teams scoring or a high goal count, reinforcing the Under 2.5 Goals angle.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionEl Salvador Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 52% vs implied 32% · edge +19.2 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
El Salvador to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
4.85
Check odds @ 4.85
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Qatar to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Qatar Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
The Under 2.5 Goals market reflects a cautious pricing environment with no clear , aligning with the model's 66% chance. The are stable, indicating market consensus on a low-scoring match, though no significant price movement suggests a watchful stance rather than a strong value bet.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Qatar

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
28 May 2026A Rep. Of Ireland0-1

El Salvador

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
04 Jun 2026A South Korea0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 58% · edge +12.9 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Load more odds for this section
El Salvador Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
El Salvador to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
4.85
Check odds @ 4.85
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Qatar to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Qatar Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Neither Qatar nor El Salvador has scored in their most recent matches, and both have recorded zero points, underscoring a lack of offensive effectiveness. Their recent Under 2.5 Goals rates stand at 100%, reflecting a consistent pattern of low-scoring games that supports the current selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Qatar wins
0Draws
0El Salvador wins
25 Jul 2021Qatar v El Salvador3-2
04 Jul 2021El Salvador v Qatar0-1
Best odds for this sectionEl Salvador to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 21% · edge +20.4 pts
4.85
Check odds @ 4.85
Load more odds for this section
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Qatar to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
The two previous encounters between Qatar and El Salvador have averaged 3 goals per game, showing some historical openness. Nonetheless, current form and defensive discipline suggest these past results should be treated cautiously, with recent data favoring a lower scoring outcome in this match.
Season team stats

Friendlies

Qatar1
Played
El Salvador1
Qatar0
Avg goals for
El Salvador0
Qatar1
Avg goals against
El Salvador1
Qatar0
Clean sheets
El Salvador0
Best odds for this sectionEl Salvador Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 52% vs implied 32% · edge +19.2 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
El Salvador to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
4.85
Check odds @ 4.85
Qatar to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Qatar Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Season-long data shows Qatar's attack produces moderate shot volumes but struggles with shot accuracy, while El Salvador's offensive output is minimal. Both teams maintain solid defensive records with low goals conceded, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring match consistent with Under 2.5 Goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Qatar Over 2.5
0%El Salvador Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored was 3, slightly above the Under 2.5 threshold. However, recent form and tactical caution in friendlies suggest a slower tempo and fewer goals this time, indicating a trend towards tighter defensive matches in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Qatar v El Salvador prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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