Plymouth

Crystal Palace U21

EFL Trophy | Tue 22 Sep, 19:00

Plymouth v Crystal Palace U21 Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 08:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Plymouth faces Crystal Palace U21 in the EFL Trophy, a fixture that promises attacking intent from both sides. Crystal Palace U21 have shown a strong offensive output recently, scoring multiple goals and maintaining a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Plymouth's data is limited but their attacking players have demonstrated potential to contribute to a high-scoring game. The tactical setup suggests an open contest with both teams seeking to assert control early, making goal-scoring opportunities likely throughout the match.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

Crystal Palace U21 have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.
Model estimates a 58% chance for over 3.5 goals, above market implied chance of 55.6%.
Crystal Palace U21 average 9 shots and 3 shots on target per game, indicating offensive pressure.
Plymouth's attacking players like O. Finn show high shot volumes, supporting goal potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals with a 58% chance, slightly higher than the market's 55.6% implied probability, indicating a small positive value. Crystal Palace U21's recent matches consistently feature multiple goals, and their offensive metrics show sustained pressure and shot volume. Plymouth's attacking players contribute additional goal threat, despite limited data. This combination suggests a lively match with several scoring opportunities, justifying the expectation of at least four goals.

Model Chance58%

Strong positive

Market Implied Chance55.6%

Neutral

Crystal Palace U21 Offensive Pressure9 shots/game, 3 SOT/game

Strong positive

Plymouth Attacking Players' Shot VolumeO. Irow 3.05 shots/90, T. Finn 2.9 SOT/90

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game with Crystal Palace U21's strong offensive form and Plymouth's capable attackers likely to produce multiple goals. The data and tactical context suggest a lively encounter where the Over 3.5 Goals bet aligns well with the teams' recent scoring patterns and shot volumes.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“Crystal Palace U21's consistent goal-scoring and Plymouth's active attacking players set the stage for a high-scoring EFL Trophy clash, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling angle to consider.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Crystal Palace U21 have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.

Model estimates a 58% chance for over 3.5 goals, above market implied chance of 55.6%.

Crystal Palace U21 average 9 shots and 3 shots on target per game, indicating offensive pressure.

Plymouth's attacking players like O. Finn show high shot volumes, supporting goal potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

In the last ten matches involving Crystal Palace U21, Over 2.5 Goals has occurred consistently, driven by high tempo and attacking transitions.
The single head-to-head meeting averaged only 1 goal, but recent form and attacking metrics suggest this fixture will be more open and goal-rich, supporting the Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals trends.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Plymouth

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Plymouth yet.

Crystal Palace U21

Last 51W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 0L

15 Sep 2026A Swindon Town2-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

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Crystal Palace U21 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 38%

4.4

Check odds @ 4.4

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 83%

1.07

Check odds @ 1.07

Plymouth Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%

1.2

Check odds @ 1.2

Plymouth to WinBetfred guide price · model 66%

1.3

Check odds @ 1.3

Crystal Palace U21 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 17%

7.5

Check odds @ 7.5

DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

Crystal Palace U21's recent form includes a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and a positive goal difference, reflecting strong offensive momentum. Plymouth's recent form data is sparse, but their attacking players' shot profiles suggest potential to contribute to a high-scoring match, supporting the Over 3.5 Goals outlook.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Plymouth-

Avg goals scored

Crystal Palace U212

Plymouth-

Avg goals conceded

Crystal Palace U211

Plymouth-

BTTS rate

Crystal Palace U21100%

Plymouth-

Over 2.5 goals

Crystal Palace U21100%

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.4 pts

1.8

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%

1.08

Check odds @ 1.08

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Crystal Palace U21 have consistently featured matches with multiple goals and both teams scoring, indicating open play and defensive vulnerabilities. Plymouth's attacking potential, combined with Palace's offensive output, supports a high-scoring game with goals likely from both sides, aligning with the Over 3.5 Goals expectation.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Crystal Palace U21 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 38%

4.4

Check odds @ 4.4

Plymouth Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%

1.2

Check odds @ 1.2

Plymouth to WinBetfred guide price · model 66%

1.3

Check odds @ 1.3

Crystal Palace U21 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 17%

7.5

Check odds @ 7.5

DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

The Over 3.5 Goals market shows a small positive value with the model's 58% chance exceeding the implied 55.6%, suggesting the price is reasonable and worth considering. The slight edge reflects in sustained offensive pressure from Crystal Palace U21 and Plymouth's attacking players, though the margin is narrow enough to advise standard stake sizing.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Plymouth wins

0Draws

0Crystal Palace U21 wins

18 Oct 2022Plymouth v Crystal Palace U211-0

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Plymouth to WinBetfred guide price · model 66%

1.3

Check odds @ 1.3

Crystal Palace U21 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 17%

7.5

Check odds @ 7.5

DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

Only one previous meeting exists between Plymouth and Crystal Palace U21, which ended with a low-scoring 1-goal total. This limited sample weakly supports the Over 3.5 Goals pick, so current attacking form and player involvement offer stronger guidance for this fixture.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Plymouth-

Avg corners for

Crystal Palace U214

Plymouth-

Avg total corners

Crystal Palace U217

Plymouth-

Avg yellow cards

Crystal Palace U211

Plymouth-

Avg shots

Crystal Palace U219

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

Check odds @ 2

Crystal Palace U21 average 4 corners and 1 yellow card per game, reflecting active wing play and competitive midfield battles. Their 9 shots per game, including 3 on target, highlight sustained attacking pressure. Plymouth's corner and card data is limited, but their attacking players' shot volumes suggest they will contribute to the offensive exchanges and set-piece opportunities.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

EFL Trophy

Plymouth0

Played

Crystal Palace U210

Plymouth0

Avg goals for

Crystal Palace U21-

Plymouth0

Avg goals against

Crystal Palace U21-

Plymouth0

Clean sheets

Crystal Palace U21-

Best odds for this sectionCrystal Palace U21 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts

4.4

Check odds @ 4.4

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Plymouth Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%

1.2

Check odds @ 1.2

Plymouth to WinBetfred guide price · model 66%

1.3

Check odds @ 1.3

Crystal Palace U21 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 17%

7.5

Check odds @ 7.5

Crystal Palace U21's season stats show consistent goal-scoring with an average of 2 goals per game and frequent matches surpassing 2.5 goals. Plymouth's season data is limited but their attacking players demonstrate promising shot and goal involvement rates, indicating potential for a high total goals tally in this fixture.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Plymouth Over 2.5

100%Crystal Palace U21 Over 2.5

1H2H avg goals

In the last ten matches involving Crystal Palace U21, Over 2.5 Goals has occurred consistently, driven by high tempo and attacking transitions. The single head-to-head meeting averaged only 1 goal, but recent form and attacking metrics suggest this fixture will be more open and goal-rich, supporting the Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals trends.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Plymouth v Crystal Palace U21 Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Plymouth

Crystal Palace U21

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Football Stats Hub

Plymouth v Crystal Palace U21 Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Plymouth

Crystal Palace U21

Continue the research

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