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PKKU crestPKKU
v
JJK crestJJK

Ykkönen | Fri 21 Aug, 16:30

PKKU v JJK Stats

Data last updated: Thu 20 Aug 2026, 09:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

PKKU and JJK meet in a Ykkönen clash where defensive solidity is likely to be key. PKKU sits fourth with a stronger recent points return and a modest goals conceded rate, while JJK, eighth, has struggled defensively, conceding more than twice as many goals per game. Both teams have mixed recent scoring records, but JJK's defensive vulnerabilities and PKKU's more balanced form suggest a cautious encounter with limited goal-scoring from both sides. The tactical setup and recent form data point towards a match where both teams may not find the net simultaneously.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS No

  • PKKU concedes 1.2 goals per game, showing decent defensive structure.
  • JJK concedes 2.6 goals per game, indicating defensive struggles.
  • PKKU's BTTS rate is 40%, lower than JJK's 60%, supporting a no BTTS outcome.
  • Recent form shows PKKU with 9 points from last matches, JJK only 2, reflecting momentum disparity.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies BTTS No as a value bet with a 44% chance versus a 30.8% implied market chance, offering a 13.2% . PKKU's solid defensive record and recent form contrast with JJK's defensive frailty, suggesting one or both teams may fail to score. The lower BTTS rate for PKKU and the tactical context of a cautious Ykkönen fixture support this selection. No price warnings apply, and standard stake guidance is appropriate.

Model Chance44%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance30.8%
Positive
Value Edge13.2%
Strong positive
PKKU Defensive Record1.2 goals conceded per game
Positive
JJK Defensive Record2.6 goals conceded per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The BTTS No pick aligns with PKKU's stronger defensive form and JJK's inconsistent attack. PKKU's recent momentum and defensive discipline suggest they can keep a clean sheet or limit JJK's scoring chances, while JJK's defensive lapses may not translate into goals. This tactical and form-based reasoning supports a cautious match with one or no teams scoring.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive form and tactical balance

“PKKU's defensive resilience combined with JJK's inconsistent attack makes a no both teams to score outcome a tactically sound and data-backed choice for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

BTTS No evidence

PKKU concedes 1.2 goals per game, showing decent defensive structure.

JJK concedes 2.6 goals per game, indicating defensive struggles.

PKKU's BTTS rate is 40%, lower than JJK's 60%, supporting a no BTTS outcome.

Recent form shows PKKU with 9 points from last matches, JJK only 2, reflecting momentum disparity.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • The average goals over the last six meetings is 3.5, indicating historically open games.
  • However, recent form and defensive stats suggest this fixture may deviate towards fewer goals.
  • The Over 2.5 Goals trend is mixed, so caution is warranted when expecting a high-scoring match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

PKKU1.6
Avg goals scored
JJK1.2
PKKU1.2
Avg goals conceded
JJK2.6
PKKU40%
BTTS rate
JJK60%
PKKU40%
Over 2.5 goals
JJK80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 44% vs implied 31% · edge +13.2 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Recent form data shows PKKU with a 40% BTTS rate and JJK at 60%, indicating moderate likelihood of both teams scoring. However, PKKU's stronger defense and JJK's high goals conceded suggest that one side may fail to score, supporting the BTTS No route in this match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 75% · edge -15.2 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The BTTS No market shows positive value with implying a 30.8% chance, while the model estimates a 44% chance, indicating a favorable price. This suggests the market may underestimate the likelihood of a clean sheet or a single team scoring, making this a price-sensitive but attractive bet.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

PKKU

DWDDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
16 Aug 2026A KuPS Akatemia2-2
11 Aug 2026H Inter Turku II1-0
05 Aug 2026A VJS0-0
31 Jul 2026H Tampere United4-4
25 Jul 2026A SalPa1-0

JJK

DDLLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
16 Aug 2026A VJS4-4
11 Aug 2026H Tampere United0-0
05 Aug 2026A SalPa1-2
25 Jul 2026A Rops0-4
18 Jul 2026H FC jazz1-3

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3PKKU wins
1Draws
2JJK wins
06 Jun 2026JJK v PKKU1-3
16 Aug 2025JJK v PKKU2-3
06 Jun 2025PKKU v JJK2-0
19 Oct 2024PKKU v JJK1-2
13 Jun 2024JJK v PKKU2-2
13 Apr 2024PKKU v JJK0-3
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 75% · edge -15.2 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The six previous meetings average 3.5 goals per game, showing a history of open encounters. However, current defensive form and tactical setups suggest this trend may not continue, and the historical data should be considered background rather than a decisive factor for BTTS No.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ykkönen

PKKU20
Played
JJK20
PKKU1.8
Avg goals for
JJK2.3
PKKU1.4
Avg goals against
JJK2
PKKU6
Clean sheets
JJK3

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4PKKU31208758
8JJK27207676
PKKU's fourth-place position with 31 points versus JJK's eighth with 27 points indicates a competitive but not decisive gap. The standings suggest PKKU has more to play for and better form, which may translate into a disciplined defensive approach limiting JJK's scoring opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%PKKU Over 2.5
80%JJK Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The average goals over the last six meetings is 3.5, indicating historically open games. However, recent form and defensive stats suggest this fixture may deviate towards fewer goals. The Over 2.5 Goals trend is mixed, so caution is warranted when expecting a high-scoring match.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.