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KPV-j crestKPV-j
v
KuPS Akatemia crestKuPS Akatemia

Ykkönen | Fri 18 Sep, 16:30

KPV-j v KuPS Akatemia Stats

Data last updated: Thu 17 Sep 2026, 08:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

KPV-j face KuPS Akatemia in Ykkönen on Fri 18 Sep, 16:30. KPV-j come in with 3 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while KuPS Akatemia have 4 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

KuPS Akatemia to Win

  • At 2, KuPS Akatemia to Win implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 52%.
  • KuPS Akatemia have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for KPV-j.
  • KuPS Akatemia have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.6 conceded per match, which helps the KuPS Akatemia to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • KPV-j sit 12 in the table, while KuPS Akatemia sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 52% for KuPS Akatemia to Win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. KuPS Akatemia have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for KPV-j.

Model chance vs price52% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Neutral
KuPS Akatemia have the stronger recent points return, taking 4.Visible data support
Positive
KuPS Akatemia have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: KuPS Akatemia Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers KuPS Akatemia have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for KPV-j. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

KuPS Akatemia to Win evidence

KuPS Akatemia have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for KPV-j.

KuPS Akatemia have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.6 conceded per match, which helps the KuPS Akatemia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

KPV-j sit 12 in the table, while KuPS Akatemia sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

KuPS Akatemia to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    KPV-j1.4
    Avg goals scored
    KuPS Akatemia2
    KPV-j3
    Avg goals conceded
    KuPS Akatemia2.6
    KPV-j80%
    BTTS rate
    KuPS Akatemia100%
    KPV-j100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    KuPS Akatemia100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 78% · edge -0.1 pts
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.07
    Check odds @ 1.07
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for KPV-j and 100% for KuPS Akatemia, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickKuPS Akatemia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 50% · edge +1.8 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    KuPS Akatemia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    KuPS Akatemia to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    player stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    KPV-j

    LLLWL
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 7L
    11 Sep 2026A FC jazz0-3
    29 Aug 2026A JJK1-4
    21 Aug 2026H KuPS Akatemia2-4
    16 Aug 2026A Inter Turku II3-2
    09 Aug 2026H VJS1-2

    KuPS Akatemia

    LLWDL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 4D 5L
    13 Sep 2026A TPV2-4
    29 Aug 2026H SalPa1-3
    21 Aug 2026A KPV-j4-2
    16 Aug 2026H PKKU2-2
    11 Aug 2026A Rops1-2
    Market aligned with main pickKuPS Akatemia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 50% · edge +1.8 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    KuPS Akatemia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3KPV-j wins
    0Draws
    4KuPS Akatemia wins
    21 Aug 2026KPV-j v KuPS Akatemia2-4
    05 Jun 2026KuPS Akatemia v KPV-j4-1
    19 Oct 2025KPV-j v KuPS Akatemia1-3
    20 Jul 2025KuPS Akatemia v KPV-j1-0
    03 May 2025KPV-j v KuPS Akatemia1-0
    27 Jul 2024KuPS Akatemia v KPV-j1-2
    Market aligned with main pickKuPS Akatemia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 50% · edge +1.8 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    The head-to-head sample gives context for KuPS Akatemia to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Ykkönen

    KPV-j23
    Played
    KuPS Akatemia23
    KPV-j1
    Avg goals for
    KuPS Akatemia1.7
    KPV-j3.1
    Avg goals against
    KuPS Akatemia2.4
    KPV-j3
    Clean sheets
    KuPS Akatemia2
    Market aligned with main pickKuPS Akatemia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 50% · edge +1.8 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    KuPS Akatemia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    Season data supports KuPS Akatemia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    11KuPS Akatemia15233614-16
    12KPV-j15234316-47
    KPV-j sit in position 12, while KuPS Akatemia sit in position 11, so table pressure belongs in the KuPS Akatemia to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%KPV-j Over 2.5
    100%KuPS Akatemia Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: KPV-j sit at 100% and KuPS Akatemia sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

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