Football Stats Hub

Philadelphia Union crestPhiladelphia Union
v
Atlanta United FC crestAtlanta United FC

Major League Soccer | Sun 02 Aug, 00:30

Philadelphia Union v Atlanta United FC Stats

Data last updated: Sat 01 Aug 2026, 06:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Philadelphia Union host Atlanta United FC at Subaru Park in a crucial Eastern Conference clash where both teams seek to escape the relegation zone. Philadelphia have gained momentum with recent home wins and an unbeaten run at their stadium, relying on direct attacking play and frequent penalty-area entries. Atlanta, despite controlling possession and passing accuracy, struggle to convert chances and remain winless in six league matches. The tactical battle will hinge on Philadelphia's vertical attacks against Atlanta's possession-based approach, with key players like Milan Iloski and Aleksey Miranchuk pivotal for their sides. This fixture carries high stakes as both teams aim to shift their season trajectories.

BT4Y best bet

Philadelphia Union to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Philadelphia Union unbeaten in last five home league matches with two consecutive wins.
  • Philadelphia average 57.52 dangerous attacks per game, significantly higher than Atlanta's 45.63.
  • Atlanta control 54% possession and complete 86% of passes but have scored only 1.11 goals per match.
  • Milan Iloski leads Philadelphia with 9 goals and 1.5 shots on target per 90 minutes.
  • Atlanta have conceded 35 goals in 19 matches with only one clean sheet recorded.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Philadelphia Union to win with both teams scoring due to Philadelphia's recent home form and superior attacking metrics, including a high volume of dangerous attacks and shots inside the penalty area. Atlanta's possession control has not translated into defensive solidity or goal drought, as they continue to score despite poor results. The price reflects significant value with a 22.1% edge, supported by Philadelphia's tactical directness and Atlanta's defensive vulnerabilities. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Philadelphia's home unbeaten run and recent winsStrong positive
Strong positive
High dangerous attacks and shot volume for PhiladelphiaStrong positive
Strong positive
Atlanta's possession and passing accuracy without resultsPositive
Positive
Atlanta's defensive record with 35 goals concededPositive
Positive
Price offers 22.1% value edge over implied chanceStrong positive
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Philadelphia Union's recent home form and direct attacking style give them the edge to secure a win, while Atlanta's creative players maintain enough threat to find the net. The combination of Philadelphia's momentum and Atlanta's defensive frailties makes this a compelling pick for a home victory with goals at both ends.

Main risk

Those results have not repaired the entire campaign, but they have altered its direction.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and attacking dynamics

“Philadelphia's ability to create frequent high-quality chances inside the box contrasts sharply with Atlanta's possession that lacks penetration, making a home win with both teams scoring a logical outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Philadelphia Union to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Philadelphia Union unbeaten in last five home league matches with two consecutive wins.

Philadelphia average 57.52 dangerous attacks per game, significantly higher than Atlanta's 45.63.

Atlanta control 54% possession and complete 86% of passes but have scored only 1.11 goals per match.

Milan Iloski leads Philadelphia with 9 goals and 1.5 shots on target per 90 minutes.

What To Watch In The Data

Philadelphia Union to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.7, indicating a moderately high-scoring fixture historically.
  • Philadelphia's recent matches have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals, while Atlanta's is 40%, suggesting a trend towards open games with multiple goals.
  • The tempo and attacking styles of both teams support the likelihood of goals, aligning with the Over 2.5 goals trend panel.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Philadelphia Union6
Avg corners for
Atlanta United FC4.8
Philadelphia Union9.4
Avg total corners
Atlanta United FC8.8
Philadelphia Union1.8
Avg yellow cards
Atlanta United FC2.2
Philadelphia Union19.6
Avg shots
Atlanta United FC15.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Philadelphia averages 6 corners per game compared to Atlanta's 3.5, indicating territorial pressure and sustained wide attacks. Philadelphia's 19.6 shots per match with 7.4 on target contrast with Atlanta's lower shot volume and accuracy, reflecting Philadelphia's offensive control and Atlanta's reliance on possession rather than finishing. Card averages suggest moderate discipline with Atlanta slightly higher, possibly influencing game tempo.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Major League Soccer hubPhiladelphia Union v Atlanta United FC predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Philadelphia Union2.4
Avg goals scored
Atlanta United FC0.8
Philadelphia Union2.4
Avg goals conceded
Atlanta United FC2
Philadelphia Union80%
BTTS rate
Atlanta United FC60%
Philadelphia Union60%
Over 2.5 goals
Atlanta United FC40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have shown tendencies to score and concede goals, with Philadelphia averaging 2.4 goals for and against recently, and Atlanta scoring in 60% of matches despite defensive struggles. The attacking threat from Philadelphia’s Iloski and Atlanta’s Miranchuk and Almiron supports a game with goals at both ends.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickPhiladelphia Union to WinBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Philadelphia Union Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 3.2 for Philadelphia Union to win and both teams to score represent clear value given the model's 53.4% chance estimate. This price reflects in Philadelphia's improved home form and Atlanta's persistent defensive issues, making the market a positive value opportunity rather than a price-sensitive watch.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Philadelphia Union

WWLDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
26 Jul 2026H Seattle Sounders1-0
23 Jul 2026H New York Red Bulls3-1
25 May 2026A Inter Miami4-6
17 May 2026H Columbus Crew1-1
14 May 2026A Orlando City SC3-4

Atlanta United FC

LDLLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
26 Jul 2026A New England Revolution1-4
23 Jul 2026A Charlotte2-2
18 Jul 2026A Nashville SC0-1
24 May 2026A Columbus Crew0-2
17 May 2026A Orlando City SC1-1
Market aligned with main pickPhiladelphia Union to WinBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Philadelphia Union Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Philadelphia Union have earned 7 points in their last three matches, including two home wins, reflecting a significant upturn in form. Atlanta United have managed only 2 points in the same period and remain winless in six league games, highlighting their struggles. Philadelphia's recent defensive solidity and attacking efficiency contrast with Atlanta's inability to convert possession into results, reinforcing the pick's rationale.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Philadelphia Union wins
3Draws
2Atlanta United FC wins
14 Mar 2026Atlanta United FC v Philadelphia Union3-1
18 May 2025Atlanta United FC v Philadelphia Union0-1
20 Apr 2025Philadelphia Union v Atlanta United FC3-0
29 Sep 2024Philadelphia Union v Atlanta United FC1-1
14 Apr 2024Atlanta United FC v Philadelphia Union2-2
05 Oct 2023Philadelphia Union v Atlanta United FC3-2
Market aligned with main pickPhiladelphia Union to WinBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
In the last ten head-to-head encounters, Philadelphia have won five times, Atlanta twice, with three draws. Philadelphia have avoided defeat in their last six home league games against Atlanta, who have not won at Subaru Park since 2018. This historical edge for Philadelphia at home supports the in their victory, though Atlanta's previous 3-1 win earlier this season warns of their scoring potential in this fixture.
Season team stats

Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union17
Played
Atlanta United FC17
Philadelphia Union1.3
Avg goals for
Atlanta United FC1
Philadelphia Union1.8
Avg goals against
Atlanta United FC1.8
Philadelphia Union3
Clean sheets
Atlanta United FC1
Market aligned with main pickPhiladelphia Union to WinBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Philadelphia Union Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Philadelphia's season averages of 1.67 goals scored and 2.4 goals conceded per match demonstrate a high-tempo attacking style coupled with defensive vulnerabilities. Atlanta's lower scoring rate of 0.8 goals per match and 2 goals conceded reflect their possession without penetration and defensive fragility. Philadelphia’s higher average of dangerous attacks and corners per game supports their ability to break down Atlanta's defense.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
14Philadelphia Union13173410-9
15Atlanta United FC12173311-13
Philadelphia Union sit 14th with 13 points, just above 15th-placed Atlanta United with 12 points after 17 matches. This close table proximity intensifies the fixture's stakes, as both teams seek to climb away from the bottom. The match offers a direct opportunity to gain momentum and improve standings, adding urgency to Philadelphia's home advantage and Atlanta's need for a breakthrough.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Philadelphia Union Over 2.5
40%Atlanta United FC Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.7, indicating a moderately high-scoring fixture historically. Philadelphia's recent matches have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals, while Atlanta's is 40%, suggesting a trend towards open games with multiple goals. The tempo and attacking styles of both teams support the likelihood of goals, aligning with the Over 2.5 goals trend panel.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Philadelphia Union v Atlanta United FC prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

New York Red Bulls v Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer · Sun 02 Aug 00:30Vancouver Whitecaps v Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer · Sun 02 Aug 00:30CF Montreal v New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer · Sun 02 Aug 00:30DC United v Nashville SCMajor League Soccer · Sun 02 Aug 00:30

Competition and hubs

Major League Soccer hubMajor League Soccer hubPhiladelphia Union v Atlanta United FC predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre