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Panama crestPanama
v
Croatia crestCroatia

World Cup | Wed 24 Jun, 00:00

Panama v Croatia Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 23:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Panama face Croatia in World Cup on Wed 24 Jun, 00:00. Group L Pressure Turns Up In Toronto. Their recent six-match sequence also supports that idea: wins over El Salvador and Guatemala, draws with Suriname and Guatemala, and the narrow Ghana defeat.

BT4Y best bet

Requires Croatia to win the game while ensuring the total scoreline does not exceed two goals (such as 1-0 or 2-0)

  • At 11/4, Panama Win implies roughly 27%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Panama failed to score in their opener while Croatia seek defensive repairs after conceding four goals against England.
  • Panama have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Panama Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 43% for Panama Win sits against roughly 27% implied by the current price. Panama have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Panama Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Panama failed to score in their opener while Croatia seek defensive repairs after conceding four goals against England.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 27% implied
Strong positive
Panama have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Panama failed to score in their opener while Croatia.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Panama Win is the preferred angle because panama failed to score in their opener while Croatia seek defensive repairs after conceding four goals against England. Panama have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Panama Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Panama scored in 17 of 20 matches, but their recent blank against Ghana heightens pressure on their attack.

Main risk

Panama scored in 17 of 20 matches, but their recent blank against Ghana heightens pressure on their attack.

Key Data Signals

Panama Win evidence

Panama failed to score in their opener while Croatia seek defensive repairs after conceding four goals against England.

Panama have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Panama Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Panama Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Panama0
    Avg goals scored
    Croatia2
    Panama1
    Avg goals conceded
    Croatia4
    Panama0%
    BTTS rate
    Croatia100%
    Panama0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Croatia100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 51% · edge +15.4 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    World Cup fixtures and predictionsPanama v Croatia predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickPanama to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 14% · edge +28.7 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Load more odds for this section
    Panama Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Panama to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Panama2
    Avg corners for
    Croatia2
    Panama4
    Avg total corners
    Croatia10
    Panama2
    Avg yellow cards
    Croatia0
    Panama11
    Avg shots
    Croatia10
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 46% · edge +5.5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 44%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Panama

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    18 Jun 2026A Ghana0-1

    Croatia

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    17 Jun 2026A England2-4
    Market aligned with main pickPanama to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 14% · edge +28.7 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 73%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Panama Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Panama wins
    0Draws
    0Croatia wins
    Market aligned with main pickPanama to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 14% · edge +28.7 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Panama to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Panama3
    Played
    Croatia4
    Panama0
    Avg goals for
    Croatia1.5
    Panama1.3
    Avg goals against
    Croatia1.8
    Panama0
    Clean sheets
    Croatia1
    Market aligned with main pickPanama to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 14% · edge +28.7 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Load more odds for this section
    Panama Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Season data supports Panama to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Croatia632010
    4Panama03003-4
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Panama Over 2.5
    100%Croatia Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Panama sit at 0% and Croatia sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Panama v Croatia prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    World Cup hubWorld Cup fixtures and predictionsPanama v Croatia predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre