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Palmeiras crestPalmeiras
v
Internacional crestInternacional

Serie A | Sun 09 Aug, 20:00

Palmeiras v Internacional Stats

Data last updated: Thu 10 Sep 2026, 01:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Palmeiras face Internacional in Serie A on Sun 09 Aug, 20:00. Palmeiras lead the Brasileiro with 47 points and a league-best 38 goals, averaging 1.7 goals and 55.3% possession in their last 10 matches. Palmeiras' superior recent wins contrast with Internacional's limited away victories, indicating home advantage.

BT4Y best bet

SE Palmeiras to win and both teams to score

  • At 11/4, SE Palmeiras to win and both teams to score implies roughly 27%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 36%.
  • Internacional hold the stronger winning edge, while Palmeiras still offer enough threat for BTTS.
  • Palmeiras need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Palmeiras on 12 and Internacional on 1.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 40% for Palmeiras and 60% for Internacional.
  • SE Palmeiras to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.4 for Palmeiras and 0.6 for Internacional are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 36% for SE Palmeiras to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 27% implied by the current price. Palmeiras need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Palmeiras on 12 and Internacional on 1. Internacional hold the stronger winning edge, while Palmeiras still offer enough threat for BTTS.

Model chance vs price36% model chance against roughly 27% implied
Positive
Palmeiras need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Internacional hold the stronger winning edge, while Palmeiras still.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Palmeiras Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because internacional hold the stronger winning edge, while Palmeiras still offer enough threat for BTTS. Palmeiras need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Palmeiras on 12 and Internacional on 1. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

SE Palmeiras to win and both teams to score evidence

Internacional hold the stronger winning edge, while Palmeiras still offer enough threat for BTTS.

Palmeiras need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Palmeiras on 12 and Internacional on 1.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 40% for Palmeiras and 60% for Internacional.

Palmeiras Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.4 for Palmeiras and 0.6 for Internacional are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

SE Palmeiras to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Palmeiras2.4
Avg goals scored
Internacional0.6
Palmeiras0.6
Avg goals conceded
Internacional2
Palmeiras40%
BTTS rate
Internacional60%
Palmeiras80%
Over 2.5 goals
Internacional40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickPalmeiras to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Palmeiras Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Palmeiras to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Palmeiras4.4
Avg corners for
Internacional4.2
Palmeiras10.2
Avg total corners
Internacional8.8
Palmeiras2.4
Avg yellow cards
Internacional1.8
Palmeiras15.2
Avg shots
Internacional15.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 5.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Palmeiras

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
30 Jul 2026A Vitoria4-0
26 Jul 2026H Atletico-MG1-2
22 Jul 2026A Coritiba3-1
31 May 2026H Chapecoense-sc1-0
24 May 2026A Flamengo3-0

Internacional

DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
29 Jul 2026H Flamengo1-1
25 Jul 2026A Atletico Paranaense0-2
23 Jul 2026H Cruzeiro1-2
31 May 2026A RB Bragantino1-3
23 May 2026A Vitoria0-2
Market aligned with main pickPalmeiras to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Palmeiras Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Palmeiras wins
2Draws
2Internacional wins
13 Feb 2026Internacional v Palmeiras1-3
13 Sep 2025Palmeiras v Internacional4-1
16 Apr 2025Internacional v Palmeiras0-1
04 Aug 2024Internacional v Palmeiras1-1
18 Apr 2024Palmeiras v Internacional0-1
12 Nov 2023Palmeiras v Internacional3-0
Market aligned with main pickPalmeiras to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The head-to-head sample gives context for Palmeiras to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Palmeiras26
Played
Internacional26
Palmeiras1.7
Avg goals for
Internacional1.1
Palmeiras0.8
Avg goals against
Internacional1.3
Palmeiras10
Clean sheets
Internacional6
Market aligned with main pickPalmeiras to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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Palmeiras Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Season data supports Palmeiras to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Palmeiras5326158324
18Internacional252651011-6
Palmeiras sit in position 2, while Internacional sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the SE Palmeiras to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Palmeiras Over 2.5
40%Internacional Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Palmeiras sit at 80% and Internacional sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.