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Palermo crestPalermo
v
Mantova crestMantova

Coppa Italia | Thu 03 Sep, 17:00

Palermo v Mantova Stats

Data last updated: Thu 24 Sep 2026, 05:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Palermo face Mantova in Coppa Italia on Thu 03 Sep, 17:00. A 2-1 scoreline fits both teams’ scoring records and recent fixture history, with multiple Palermo attackers contributing and Mantova’s Ruocco scoring in every game.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Palermo to win and both teams to score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 29%, above the 18% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 5/2, Palermo to win and both teams to score implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 18%.
  • Palermo and Mantova both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 0% for Palermo and 0% for Mantova.
  • Palermo to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Palermo and 2 for Mantova are central to the read.
Price warning

Palermo to win and both teams to score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 29% while the model sits nearer 18% (-10.8 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: BTTS No shows a +15 pts edge at 1.95.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 18% for Palermo to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 0% for Palermo and 0% for Mantova. Palermo and Mantova both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

Model chance vs price18% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Negative
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Palermo to win and both teams to score needs both.Visible data support
Positive
Palermo and Mantova both carry scoring threat, but the.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Palermo Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because palermo and Mantova both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 0% for Palermo and 0% for Mantova. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Palermo to win and both teams to score evidence

Palermo and Mantova both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 0% for Palermo and 0% for Mantova.

Palermo Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Palermo and 2 for Mantova are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Palermo to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Palermo2
Avg goals scored
Mantova2
Palermo0
Avg goals conceded
Mantova0
Palermo0%
BTTS rate
Mantova0%
Palermo0%
Over 2.5 goals
Mantova0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Palermo

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
17 Aug 2026H Lecce2-0

Mantova

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
16 Aug 2026A Lazio2-0
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 86% · edge -8.5 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
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Palermo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Palermo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickPalermo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 60% · edge -7.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Palermo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Palermo to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Palermo2
Avg corners for
Mantova3
Palermo10
Avg total corners
Mantova10
Palermo1
Avg yellow cards
Mantova1
Palermo12
Avg shots
Mantova12
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Palermo wins
3Draws
0Mantova wins
04 Mar 2026Palermo v Mantova2-1
11 Jan 2026Mantova v Palermo1-1
16 Feb 2025Palermo v Mantova2-2
30 Oct 2024Mantova v Palermo0-0
Market aligned with main pickPalermo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 60% · edge -7.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The head-to-head sample gives context for Palermo to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Coppa Italia

Palermo2
Played
Mantova2
Palermo3.5
Avg goals for
Mantova2
Palermo1
Avg goals against
Mantova2.5
Palermo1
Clean sheets
Mantova1
Market aligned with main pickPalermo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 60% · edge -7.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Palermo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Season data supports Palermo to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Palermo Over 2.5
0%Mantova Over 2.5
2.25H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Palermo sit at 0% and Mantova sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.25 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.