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Nürnberg II crestNürnberg II
v
Austria Lustenau crestAustria Lustenau

Friendlies Clubs | Thu 16 Jul, 15:00

Nürnberg II v Austria Lustenau Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nürnberg II face Austria Lustenau in Friendlies Clubs on Thu 16 Jul, 15:00. Nürnberg II come in with 7 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while Austria Lustenau have 8 points and 0.8 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.35, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 43%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 59%.
  • Nürnberg II are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.8 goals per match, with Austria Lustenau at 0.8.
  • BTTS rates of 80% for Nürnberg II and 20% for Austria Lustenau show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 59% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 43% implied by the current price. Nürnberg II are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.8 goals per match, with Austria Lustenau at 0.8.

Model chance vs price59% model chance against roughly 43% implied
Strong positive
Nürnberg II are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
BTTS rates of 80% for Nürnberg II and 20%.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Nürnberg II are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.8 goals per match, with Austria Lustenau at 0.8. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Nürnberg II are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.8 goals per match, with Austria Lustenau at 0.8.

BTTS rates of 80% for Nürnberg II and 20% for Austria Lustenau show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nürnberg II1.8
Avg goals scored
Austria Lustenau0.8
Nürnberg II1.6
Avg goals conceded
Austria Lustenau0.4
Nürnberg II80%
BTTS rate
Austria Lustenau20%
Nürnberg II60%
Over 2.5 goals
Austria Lustenau0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 43% · edge +16.4 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionNürnberg II Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 48% · edge +2.4 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
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Nürnberg II to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Austria Lustenau Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4
Check odds @ 4
Austria Lustenau to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Nürnberg II Draw No Bet is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nürnberg II

DDDWD
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 1L
10 Jul 2026A FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt0-0
02 Jul 2026H Legia Warszawa2-2
27 Jun 2026H Kladno1-1
18 Feb 2026H Eltersdorf2-1
14 Feb 2026A Stuttgarter Kickers4-4

Austria Lustenau

DWLDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
15 Jul 2026A Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz1-1
10 Jul 2026H FC Aarau1-0
04 Jul 2026A FC Vaduz0-1
01 Jul 2026H BSC Young Boys0-0
26 Jun 2026H FC WIL 19002-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 63% · edge +7 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Nürnberg II Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Nürnberg II to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Austria Lustenau Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4
Check odds @ 4
Austria Lustenau to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Nürnberg II wins
0Draws
0Austria Lustenau wins
Best odds for this sectionNürnberg II to WinBetfred guide price · Model 40% vs implied 35% · edge +5.8 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
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DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4
Check odds @ 4
Austria Lustenau to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Nürnberg II to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Nürnberg II11
Played
Austria Lustenau11
Nürnberg II2.4
Avg goals for
Austria Lustenau1.3
Nürnberg II1.5
Avg goals against
Austria Lustenau1.1
Nürnberg II3
Clean sheets
Austria Lustenau5
Best odds for this sectionNürnberg II Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 48% · edge +2.4 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
Nürnberg II to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Austria Lustenau Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Austria Lustenau to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Season data supports Nürnberg II Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Nürnberg II Over 2.5
0%Austria Lustenau Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Nürnberg II sit at 60% and Austria Lustenau sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.