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Rennes crestRennes
v
Guingamp crestGuingamp

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 16:30

Rennes v Guingamp Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rennes face Guingamp in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 16:30. Rennes come in with 0 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Guingamp have 0 points and - goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.68, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 78%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 78% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price78% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Strong positive
Price sensitivityEdge +18.5 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rennes

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
09 Jul 2026H Caen1-2

Guingamp

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Guingamp yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 50% · edge +22.7 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Guingamp Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Guingamp to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4
Check odds @ 4
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Rennes to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Rennes Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rennes1
Avg goals scored
Guingamp-
Rennes2
Avg goals conceded
Guingamp-
Rennes100%
BTTS rate
Guingamp-
Rennes100%
Over 2.5 goals
Guingamp-
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 60% · edge +18.5 pts
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
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Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 60% · edge +18.5 pts
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Load more odds for this section
Guingamp Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Guingamp to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4
Check odds @ 4
Rennes to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Rennes Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Rennes wins
2Draws
5Guingamp wins
31 Jul 2024Guingamp v Rennes3-0
07 Jan 2024Guingamp v Rennes0-2
12 May 2019Rennes v Guingamp1-1
16 Jan 2019Guingamp v Rennes2-1
04 Feb 2018Rennes v Guingamp0-1
14 Oct 2017Guingamp v Rennes2-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 60% · edge +18.5 pts
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Load more odds for this section
Guingamp to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4
Check odds @ 4
Rennes to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Rennes2
Played
Guingamp1
Rennes2
Avg goals for
Guingamp1
Rennes1.5
Avg goals against
Guingamp3
Rennes0
Clean sheets
Guingamp0
Best odds for this sectionGuingamp Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 29% · edge +24.7 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Guingamp to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Rennes to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Rennes Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Season data supports Guingamp Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Rennes Over 2.5
-Guingamp Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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