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NK Lokomotiva Zagreb crestNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
v
Karpaty crestKarpaty

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 16:30

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v Karpaty Stats

Data last updated: Sat 18 Jul 2026, 05:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb face Karpaty in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 16:30. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb come in with 13 recent points and 2.4 goals per match, while Karpaty have 10 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to Win

  • At 2.25, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 10 for Karpaty.
  • Karpaty have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 10 for Karpaty.

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Strong positive
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have the stronger recent points return, taking.Visible data support
Positive
Karpaty have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 10 for Karpaty. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win evidence

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 10 for Karpaty.

Karpaty have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2.4
    Avg goals scored
    Karpaty1
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Karpaty0.6
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb100%
    BTTS rate
    Karpaty40%
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Karpaty20%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 83% · edge -5.1 pts
    1.21
    Check odds @ 1.21
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and 20% for Karpaty, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickNK Lokomotiva Zagreb to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 44% · edge +18.8 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

    WDWWW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 2D 1L
    13 Jul 2026H Epitsentr Dunayivtsi3-1
    10 Jul 2026H FK Partizan2-2
    04 Jul 2026H Bravo3-1
    01 Jul 2026H Vllaznia Shkodër2-1
    27 Jun 2026H NK Varazdin2-1

    Karpaty

    WLWDW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    11 Jul 2026A Bravo1-0
    09 Jul 2026A CFR 1907 Cluj0-1
    03 Jul 2026H Nyva Ternopil2-1
    02 Jul 2026H Yarud Mariupol'1-1
    13 Feb 2026H Tianjin Teda1-0
    Market aligned with main pickNK Lokomotiva Zagreb to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 44% · edge +18.8 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins
    0Draws
    0Karpaty wins
    Market aligned with main pickNK Lokomotiva Zagreb to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 44% · edge +18.8 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb10
    Played
    Karpaty12
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.9
    Avg goals for
    Karpaty1.1
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.1
    Avg goals against
    Karpaty1
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2
    Clean sheets
    Karpaty4
    Market aligned with main pickNK Lokomotiva Zagreb to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 44% · edge +18.8 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Season data supports NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Over 2.5
    20%Karpaty Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit at 100% and Karpaty sit at 20%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

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    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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