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Novorizontino crestNovorizontino
v
Juventude crestJuventude

Serie B | Sun 09 Aug, 20:00

Novorizontino v Juventude Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 01:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Novorizontino face Juventude in Serie B on Sun 09 Aug, 20:00. A 1-1 draw is plausible given the close league positions and contrasting strengths: Novorizontino’s strong home attack versus Juventude’s solid defensive record. Novorizontino have demonstrated sharp attacking form with 32 goals in 20 matches and a recent 4-1 win featuring multiple scorers.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 23/20, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 47%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Novorizontino show a 40% BTTS rate and Juventude show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Novorizontino average 1.6 goals scored and Juventude average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 50% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 47% implied by the current price. Novorizontino show a 40% BTTS rate and Juventude show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 47% implied
Neutral
Novorizontino show a 40% BTTS rate and Juventude show a.Visible data support
Positive
Novorizontino average 1.6 goals scored and Juventude average 1.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Novorizontino show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Juventude show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The concern is at the other end.

Main risk

The concern is at the other end.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Novorizontino show a 40% BTTS rate and Juventude show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Novorizontino average 1.6 goals scored and Juventude average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Novorizontino1.6
Avg goals scored
Juventude1.2
Novorizontino1
Avg goals conceded
Juventude0.8
Novorizontino40%
BTTS rate
Juventude20%
Novorizontino60%
Over 2.5 goals
Juventude20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 46% · edge +4.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 39%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
5
Check odds @ 5
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 40% for Novorizontino and 20% for Juventude, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 46% · edge +4.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Juventude Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Juventude to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 39%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Novorizontino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Novorizontino5.75
Avg corners for
Juventude4.4
Novorizontino12.75
Avg total corners
Juventude8.4
Novorizontino2
Avg yellow cards
Juventude2.2
Novorizontino12.25
Avg shots
Juventude13
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 55% · edge +3.7 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 5.5 CardsBetfred guide price
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Novorizontino

WLLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
26 Jul 2026A Londrina4-1
21 Jul 2026H Criciuma0-1
18 Jul 2026A Fortaleza EC0-1
12 Jul 2026A Operario-PR1-2
04 Jul 2026H Atletico Goianiense3-0

Juventude

WLWWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
28 Jul 2026H Avai1-0
24 Jul 2026A Botafogo SP2-4
17 Jul 2026H Cuiaba2-0
10 Jul 2026H Vila Nova1-0
06 Jul 2026A Nautico Recife0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Juventude Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Juventude to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Novorizontino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Novorizontino to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Novorizontino wins
1Draws
1Juventude wins
31 Mar 2026Juventude v Novorizontino0-0
29 Mar 2026Juventude v Novorizontino0-2
03 Aug 2023Juventude v Novorizontino1-0
22 Apr 2023Novorizontino v Juventude1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 46% · edge +4.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Juventude to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 39%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Novorizontino to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

Novorizontino25
Played
Juventude25
Novorizontino1.6
Avg goals for
Juventude1
Novorizontino0.9
Avg goals against
Juventude0.5
Novorizontino9
Clean sheets
Juventude18
Best odds for this sectionJuventude Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Juventude to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Novorizontino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Novorizontino to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Season data supports Juventude Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Juventude4625137513
4Novorizontino4325127619
Novorizontino sit in position 4, while Juventude sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Novorizontino Over 2.5
20%Juventude Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Novorizontino sit at 60% and Juventude sit at 20% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Novorizontino v Juventude prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre