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Novaci crestNovaci
v
Kozuv Gevgelija crestKozuv Gevgelija

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 25 Jul, 16:00

Novaci v Kozuv Gevgelija Stats

Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 05:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Novaci face Kozuv Gevgelija in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 25 Jul, 16:00. Novaci come in with 3 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Kozuv Gevgelija have 5 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Under 2.5 Goals is rated around 64% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 33% for Novaci and 40% for Kozuv Gevgelija, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Novaci are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Kozuv Gevgelija at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Novaci and 40% for Kozuv Gevgelija show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Under 2.5 Goals around 64% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 33% for Novaci and 40% for Kozuv Gevgelija, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

The Over 2.5 trend is 33% for Novaci and 40%.Visible data support
Positive
Novaci are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Novaci are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Kozuv Gevgelija at 1. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Novaci are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Kozuv Gevgelija at 1.

BTTS rates of 0% for Novaci and 40% for Kozuv Gevgelija show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Novaci1
Avg goals scored
Kozuv Gevgelija1
Novaci0.67
Avg goals conceded
Kozuv Gevgelija1.4
Novaci0%
BTTS rate
Kozuv Gevgelija40%
Novaci33%
Over 2.5 goals
Kozuv Gevgelija40%

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Novaci

LLW
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
18 Jul 2026A Ohrid0-1
04 Feb 2026A Tikveš0-1
31 Jan 2026H Golemo Konjari3-0

Kozuv Gevgelija

DWLLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 2L
14 Feb 2026H Detonit Plachkovica1-1
07 Feb 2026A Pobeda Valandovo3-0
04 Feb 2026A FK Rabotnicki0-2
01 Feb 2026A Aresimi0-3
24 Jan 2026H Belasica1-1

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Novaci wins
1Draws
3Kozuv Gevgelija wins
28 Feb 2026Novaci v Kozuv Gevgelija1-0
30 Aug 2025Kozuv Gevgelija v Novaci2-0
18 May 2025Kozuv Gevgelija v Novaci5-1
07 Dec 2024Novaci v Kozuv Gevgelija0-0
30 Apr 2024Kozuv Gevgelija v Novaci2-1
12 Nov 2023Novaci v Kozuv Gevgelija1-0

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Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Novaci3
Played
Kozuv Gevgelija5
Novaci1
Avg goals for
Kozuv Gevgelija1
Novaci0.7
Avg goals against
Kozuv Gevgelija1.4
Novaci1
Clean sheets
Kozuv Gevgelija1

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%Novaci Over 2.5
40%Kozuv Gevgelija Over 2.5
2.17H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Novaci sit at 33% and Kozuv Gevgelija sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.17 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.