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Manchester United crestManchester United

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 24 Jul, 17:00

Rosenborg v Manchester United Stats

Data last updated: Sun 16 Aug 2026, 02:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rosenborg face Manchester United in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 24 Jul, 17:00. Michael Carrick’s side arrive in Trondheim under immediate pressure to improve after losing 1-0 to Wrexham in their opening summer fixture. Rosenborg’s recent run of three wins with eight goals scored and key attackers Amin Chiakha and Emil Konradsen Ceide provide offensive threat.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score

  • At 3.8, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 26%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 41%.
  • Sam Smith’s first-half goal followed defensive hesitation, while United struggled to create clear opportunities against an organised defensive block.
  • Rosenborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 0 for Manchester United.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 41% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 26% implied by the current price. Rosenborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 0 for Manchester United. Sam Smith’s first-half goal followed defensive hesitation, while United struggled to create clear opportunities against an organised defensive block.

Model chance vs price41% model chance against roughly 26% implied
Strong positive
Rosenborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points.Visible data support
Positive
Sam Smith’s first-half goal followed defensive hesitation, while United.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Rosenborg Win is the preferred angle because sam Smith’s first-half goal followed defensive hesitation, while United struggled to create clear opportunities against an organised defensive block. Rosenborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 0 for Manchester United. Rosenborg carry the stronger scoring threat, but Manchester United must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Rosenborg carry the stronger scoring threat, but Manchester United must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Sam Smith’s first-half goal followed defensive hesitation, while United struggled to create clear opportunities against an organised defensive.

Rosenborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 0 for Manchester United.

Rosenborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Rosenborg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Rosenborg2
    Avg goals scored
    Manchester United0
    Rosenborg1
    Avg goals conceded
    Manchester United1
    Rosenborg80%
    BTTS rate
    Manchester United0%
    Rosenborg80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Manchester United0%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Rosenborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Rosenborg to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Rosenborg

    WWLWW
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 1D 1L
    05 Jul 2026H Molde2-1
    26 Mar 2026H Stjørdals-Blink4-1
    27 Feb 2026H Valerenga0-1
    24 Feb 2026H Start2-1
    19 Feb 2026A Ranheim2-1

    Manchester United

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    18 Jul 2026H Wrexham0-1
    Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
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    Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Rosenborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Rosenborg wins
    0Draws
    0Manchester United wins
    15 Jul 2024Rosenborg v Manchester United1-0
    Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Rosenborg to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Rosenborg8
    Played
    Manchester United6
    Rosenborg1.4
    Avg goals for
    Manchester United2
    Rosenborg1.3
    Avg goals against
    Manchester United1.3
    Rosenborg2
    Clean sheets
    Manchester United1
    Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Rosenborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68
    Season data supports Rosenborg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Rosenborg Over 2.5
    0%Manchester United Over 2.5
    1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rosenborg sit at 80% and Manchester United sit at 0% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.