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Sokół Kolb. crestSokół Kolb.
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Czarni Połaniec crestCzarni Połaniec

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 24 Jul, 16:30

Sokół Kolb. v Czarni Połaniec Stats

Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 05:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly fixture between Sokół Kolb. and Czarni Połaniec offers a competitive platform for both sides to test their squads ahead of the season. Czarni Połaniec enters with stronger recent form, having secured 7 points compared to Sokół Kolb.'s 4, and a more effective attack averaging 1.5 goals per game. have struggled defensively, conceding 2.4 goals on average, which contrasts with Czarni Połaniec's tighter backline allowing just 1.25 goals. The match is poised to be a tactical battle with Czarni Połaniec favored to capitalize on their form and defensive solidity.

BT4Y best bet

Czarni Połaniec to Win

  • Czarni Połaniec has a 64.7% to win, reflecting solid recent form and defensive strength.
  • concedes an average of 2.4 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Czarni Połaniec averages 1.5 goals scored per game, showing a more potent attack than Sokół Kolb.
  • Recent matches show Sokół Kolb. and Czarni Połaniec have a moderate scoring history with an average of 2.33 goals per game in their H2H.
  • Czarni Połaniec's recent form includes fewer matches with over 2.5 goals, suggesting a more controlled game style.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Czarni Połaniec to win based on their superior recent form and more balanced defensive record. While Sokół Kolb. have a higher rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, their defensive frailty contrasts with Czarni Połaniec's tighter defense and consistent scoring. The model at 64.7% reflects a clear edge, supported by Sokół Kolb.'s struggles to keep clean sheets and Czarni Połaniec's ability to control games. No significant data limitations affect this assessment.

Recent Form PointsCzarni Połaniec 7 vs Sokół Kolb. 4
Strong positive
Goals Against AverageSokół Kolb. 2.4 vs Czarni Połaniec 1.25
Strong positive
Goals For AverageCzarni Połaniec 1.5 vs Sokół Kolb. 0.8
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateSokół Kolb. 60% vs Czarni Połaniec 25%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Czarni Połaniec's recent form and defensive resilience make them the logical choice to win this friendly. Their ability to limit opponents' scoring chances contrasts with Sokół Kolb.'s defensive struggles, providing a tactical and statistical edge for the away side.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Czarni Połaniec demonstrate a more balanced approach with solid defense and reliable scoring, positioning them well to secure victory despite the open nature of a friendly match.”

Key Data Signals

Czarni Połaniec to Win evidence

Czarni Połaniec has a 64.7% to win, reflecting solid recent form and defensive strength.

Concedes an average of 2.4 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Czarni Połaniec averages 1.5 goals scored per game, showing a more potent attack than Sokół Kolb.

Recent matches show Sokół Kolb. And Czarni Połaniec have a moderate scoring history with an average of 2.33 goals per game in their H2H.

What To Watch In The Data

Czarni Połaniec to Win notes

  • Over the last three head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.33, indicating moderately open games.
  • Sokół Kolb.'s higher over 2.5 goals rate suggests potential for goals, but Czarni Połaniec's defensive discipline may keep the total goals in check, favoring a controlled victory.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sokół Kolb.0.8
Avg goals scored
Czarni Połaniec1.5
Sokół Kolb.2.4
Avg goals conceded
Czarni Połaniec1.25
Sokół Kolb.60%
BTTS rate
Czarni Połaniec50%
Sokół Kolb.60%
Over 2.5 goals
Czarni Połaniec25%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +14.5 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Goal trends indicate Sokół Kolb. have a higher frequency of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and BTTS occurrences, pointing to a more open style. Conversely, Czarni Połaniec's lower over 2.5 rate suggests a more controlled game, which may limit high scoring but still allows for a decisive win.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCzarni Połaniec to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Czarni Połaniec Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The pricing for Czarni Połaniec to win reflects their clear statistical advantage and recent form. Although exact are unavailable, the model's 64.7% suggests a strong likelihood of success, making this a sensible selection without significant price sensitivity concerns.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sokół Kolb.

WDLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 3L
18 Jul 2026A Wisłoka Dębica2-1
11 Jul 2026A Jarosław1-1
14 Feb 2026H Czarni Połaniec0-2
07 Feb 2026H Wisłoka Dębica1-4
24 Jan 2026A KSZO 19290-4

Czarni Połaniec

LDWW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
15 Jul 2026H Jarosław1-4
11 Jul 2026A KSZO 19291-1
04 Jul 2026H Star Starachowice2-0
14 Feb 2026A Sokół Kolb.2-0
Market aligned with main pickCzarni Połaniec to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Czarni Połaniec Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Czarni Połaniec's recent form is superior, with 7 points compared to Sokół Kolb.'s 4, reflecting better results and more consistent performances. Their ability to concede fewer goals and score more underlines their readiness and tactical organization ahead of this friendly.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Sokół Kolb. wins
0Draws
2Czarni Połaniec wins
13 May 2026Sokół Kolb. v Czarni Połaniec2-1
14 Feb 2026Sokół Kolb. v Czarni Połaniec0-2
25 Oct 2025Czarni Połaniec v Sokół Kolb.2-0
Market aligned with main pickCzarni Połaniec to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The three previous meetings between these teams have averaged 2.33 goals per game, showing a moderate scoring trend. This sample supports a competitive match but does not strongly favor either side, making current form and defensive records more relevant for predicting the outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Sokół Kolb.6
Played
Czarni Połaniec5
Sokół Kolb.1
Avg goals for
Czarni Połaniec1.4
Sokół Kolb.2.2
Avg goals against
Czarni Połaniec1.4
Sokół Kolb.0
Clean sheets
Czarni Połaniec2
Market aligned with main pickCzarni Połaniec to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Czarni Połaniec Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Season-long statistics show Czarni Połaniec maintain a stronger defensive record and a more effective attack than Sokół Kolb. This balance supports their chances to control the match and secure a win, especially given Sokół Kolb.'s higher goals conceded rate.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Sokół Kolb. Over 2.5
25%Czarni Połaniec Over 2.5
2.33H2H avg goals
Over the last three head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.33, indicating moderately open games. Sokół Kolb.'s higher over 2.5 goals rate suggests potential for goals, but Czarni Połaniec's defensive discipline may keep the total goals in check, favoring a controlled victory.

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