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Notts County crestNotts County
v
Bradford crestBradford

League One | Sat 12 Sep, 12:30

Notts County v Bradford Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 16:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Notts County host Bradford in a League One clash where both teams have shown consistent scoring ability alongside defensive vulnerabilities. Notts County remain unbeaten with scoring in every league match but have yet to keep a clean sheet, conceding six goals in five games. Bradford arrive in strong form, boasting three clean sheets and a solid defensive record, while managing to score in most fixtures. The tactical battle will feature Notts' attacking threat led by Ollie Cooper against Bradford's disciplined defensive setup. This match promises a competitive encounter with both sides likely to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Notts County have scored in all five league matches but conceded six goals without a clean sheet.
  • Bradford have kept three clean sheets and conceded only four goals in five league games.
  • Both teams have shown offensive output and defensive vulnerabilities supporting BTTS.
  • Ollie Cooper has scored three goals in his last four league appearances for Notts County.
  • Bradford’s recent form includes consecutive wins and a strong defensive structure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 73.3% chance for both teams to score, significantly higher than the implied market probability of 55.6%, indicating strong value at 1.8 . Notts County's perfect scoring record in league matches combined with Bradford's three clean sheets creates a balanced but open game scenario. The attacking contributions of players like Ollie Cooper and Notts' consistent goal threat, alongside Bradford's ability to score despite a tight defense, support the likelihood of goals at both ends. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance vs Market73.3% vs 55.6% implied
Strong positive
Notts County Scoring Record100% matches scored
Strong positive
Bradford Defensive Solidity3 clean sheets in 5 games
Positive
Player Attacking ThreatOllie Cooper with 3 goals in 4 games
Positive
Recent FormBradford with consecutive wins and scoring
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability, with Notts County scoring in every league game and Bradford maintaining a solid defensive record with multiple clean sheets. The tactical setup suggests an open game where both sides will find chances to score, making the Both Teams to Score selection a logical choice based on form and player contributions.

Main risk

That pattern suggests Notts are consistently staying in games but have so far found little separation from their opponents.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Notts County’s relentless scoring meets Bradford’s disciplined defense, setting the stage for a match where both sides are likely to breach the opposition’s goal line. The balance of offensive firepower and defensive resilience makes BTTS a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Bradford have kept three clean sheets and conceded only four goals in five league games.

Both teams have shown offensive output and defensive vulnerabilities supporting BTTS.

Ollie Cooper has scored three goals in his last four league appearances for Notts County.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.56, indicating moderately open contests.
  • Notts County’s over 2.5 goals rate is 40%, while Bradford’s is 20%, suggesting a tendency for matches to stay under three goals but with enough scoring to support goal exchanges.
  • The trend points to a match with goals at both ends but not necessarily a high-scoring affair, aligning with the BTTS selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Notts County1.4
Avg goals scored
Bradford1
Notts County1.2
Avg goals conceded
Bradford0.8
Notts County100%
BTTS rate
Bradford20%
Notts County40%
Over 2.5 goals
Bradford20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Notts County have scored in every league match this season, averaging 1.4 goals per game, but have conceded 1.2 goals per game without a clean sheet. Bradford have scored one goal per game and kept three clean sheets in five matches, conceding only 0.8 goals per game. This mix of offensive consistency and defensive resilience on both sides underpins the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Bradford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Bradford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Notts County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
3
Check odds @ 3
Notts County Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.8 with an implied probability of 55.6%, while the model estimates a 73.3% chance, indicating clear value. The price reflects the balance between Notts County’s consistent scoring and Bradford’s defensive solidity, but the statistical edge supports backing BTTS as a positive-value bet without price sensitivity concerns.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Notts County5
Avg corners for
Bradford7.6
Notts County10.4
Avg total corners
Bradford12.6
Notts County2.2
Avg yellow cards
Bradford1.6
Notts County13
Avg shots
Bradford12
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 62% · edge +7.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Bradford average 8 corners per game compared to Notts County’s 4, indicating Bradford’s greater attacking width and pressure. Notts County average 10.33 shots with 3 on target, while Bradford average 14 shots and 5.25 on target, reflecting Bradford’s ability to create quality chances. Both teams have moderate card averages, with Notts County slightly higher, suggesting a competitive but disciplined match with sustained attacking pressure and set-piece opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Notts County

DDWDD
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 0L
05 Sep 2026A Huddersfield1-1
01 Sep 2026A Doncaster1-1
29 Aug 2026H Burton Albion2-1
22 Aug 2026A Luton2-2
15 Aug 2026H Leicester1-1

Bradford

WLLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 2L
05 Sep 2026H Mansfield Town1-0
01 Sep 2026H Cambridge United1-2
29 Aug 2026A Plymouth0-2
20 Aug 2026A Sheffield Wednesday1-0
15 Aug 2026H Peterborough2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 74% · edge +2.6 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Bradford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Bradford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Notts County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
3
Check odds @ 3
Notts County Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Notts County have accumulated 7 points from five matches, scoring in every game but drawing four times, highlighting their offensive consistency but defensive lapses. Bradford have 9 points with three wins and two defeats, showing a more volatile but effective approach, including three clean sheets. The recent form data indicates both teams are capable of scoring and conceding, reinforcing the expectation that both will find the net in this match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Notts County wins
3Draws
2Bradford wins
17 Apr 2025Bradford v Notts County1-1
21 Dec 2024Notts County v Bradford3-0
19 Mar 2024Bradford v Notts County0-3
18 Nov 2023Notts County v Bradford4-2
14 Mar 2015Notts County v Bradford1-1
28 Dec 2014Bradford v Notts County1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Bradford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Notts County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Recent head-to-head history shows Notts County unbeaten against Bradford in the last four meetings, including three wins and a draw. The average goals per match in these encounters is 2.56, supporting a competitive fixture with goal opportunities for both sides. While Notts County have the historical edge, Bradford’s current form and defensive improvements add complexity to the matchup, making BTTS a reasonable expectation rather than a one-sided prediction.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League One

Notts County5
Played
Bradford5
Notts County1.4
Avg goals for
Bradford1
Notts County1.2
Avg goals against
Bradford0.8
Notts County0
Clean sheets
Bradford3
Best odds for this sectionBradford to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 43% · edge +5.8 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
Bradford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Notts County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
3
Check odds @ 3
Notts County Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Notts County’s season stats show a strong attack with 7 goals in 5 games but a leaky defense with 6 conceded and no clean sheets. Bradford’s stats reveal a tighter defense with 4 goals conceded and 3 clean sheets, paired with a modest 5 goals scored. This contrast between Notts’ offensive openness and Bradford’s defensive discipline supports a scenario where both teams score but matches remain competitive and closely contested.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Bradford953021
13Notts County751401
Bradford sit 5th in League One with 9 points, reflecting a strong start and effective defensive performances. Notts County are 13th with 7 points, unbeaten but with multiple draws. The table positions highlight Bradford’s slightly better form and defensive record, but Notts County’s unbeaten streak and scoring consistency keep the match finely balanced, with both teams motivated to maintain momentum.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Notts County Over 2.5
20%Bradford Over 2.5
2.56H2H avg goals
In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.56, indicating moderately open contests. Notts County’s over 2.5 goals rate is 40%, while Bradford’s is 20%, suggesting a tendency for matches to stay under three goals but with enough scoring to support goal exchanges. The trend points to a match with goals at both ends but not necessarily a high-scoring affair, aligning with the BTTS selection.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.