Nottingham Forest

Tottenham

Premier League | Sat 05 Sep, 15:00

Nottingham Forest v Tottenham Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nottingham Forest host Tottenham in a Premier League clash where both teams seek their first league win of the season. Forest enter with from four consecutive wins against Tottenham, including recent 3-0 victories, and showed attacking promise in a 2-2 draw at Liverpool. Tottenham, meanwhile, struggle offensively, failing to score in their opening two league matches and carrying a poor away record. Forest's tactical approach under Oliver Glasner, combining possession control and transition threat, contrasts with Tottenham's blunt attack, setting the stage for a competitive encounter at the City Ground.

BT4Y best bet

Nottingham Forest to Win

Forest have won the last four meetings against Tottenham, including two 3-0 wins.
Tottenham have scored zero goals in their opening two Premier League matches.
Forest scored twice in their recent 2-2 draw at Liverpool, showing attacking potential.
Tottenham's away record includes just three wins in their last sixteen league away games.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 59.8% chance to Nottingham Forest winning, reflecting strong recent head-to-head control and early season form. Forest's ability to score and defend at home, combined with Tottenham's goal drought and poor away performances, underpin this . The 19% indicates the offer attractive value for backing Forest. While Forest's home matches tend to be low scoring, their recent attacking displays and Tottenham's defensive vulnerabilities support the home win prediction. No data limitations affect in this selection.

Head-to-head controlFour consecutive wins for Forest against Tottenham

Strong positive

Current formForest scored 2 goals in last match; Tottenham scored 0 in two matches

Positive

Home advantageForest's defensive solidity at home with low goals conceded

Positive

Price valueOdds imply 40.8% chance vs model 59.8% chance

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Nottingham Forest's recent control over Tottenham and their improved attacking display provide a tactical and form-based edge. Tottenham's ongoing goal drought and poor away record further tilt the balance in Forest's favor, making a home victory the most plausible outcome for this fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and form advantage

“Forest's consistent control in recent meetings combined with Tottenham's lack of offensive threat creates a clear tactical advantage for the hosts in this match.”

Key Data Signals

Nottingham Forest to Win evidence

Forest have won the last four meetings against Tottenham, including two 3-0 wins.

Tottenham have scored zero goals in their opening two Premier League matches.

Forest scored twice in their recent 2-2 draw at Liverpool, showing attacking potential.

Tottenham's away record includes just three wins in their last sixteen league away games.

What To Watch In The Data

Nottingham Forest to Win notes

Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.8, with Forest's recent wins including two 3-0 results.
However, Forest's home matches generally trend towards under 2.5 goals, indicating a match likely to feature controlled tempo and limited scoring opportunities, aligning with a cautious attacking approach from both sides.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nottingham Forest1

Avg goals scored

Tottenham0

Nottingham Forest1.5

Avg goals conceded

Tottenham2.5

Nottingham Forest50%

BTTS rate

Tottenham0%

Nottingham Forest50%

Over 2.5 goals

Tottenham50%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 48% · edge +6.4 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%

Check odds @ 2

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

The goal context suggests a low-scoring match with a BTTS No and Under 3.5 Goals angle. Forest's home games typically feature two or fewer goals, and Tottenham have yet to score this season, supporting a scenario where only one side finds the net or the total goals remain limited.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nottingham Forest

Last 50W 1D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 1D 1L

29 Aug 2026A Liverpool2-2

22 Aug 2026H Leeds0-1

Tottenham

Last 50W 0D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 2L

29 Aug 2026H Newcastle0-2

22 Aug 2026A Brentford0-3

Market aligned with main pickNottingham Forest to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts

2.4

Check odds @ 2.4

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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 85%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Nottingham Forest Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Forest's recent form includes a resilient 2-2 draw at Liverpool after an opening home loss, showcasing attacking improvements. Tottenham's form is concerning, with two defeats and no goals scored, highlighting offensive struggles. This contrast in momentum favors Forest's and tactical execution in the upcoming match.

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League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
15	Nottingham Forest	1	2	0	1	1	-1
20	Tottenham	0	2	0	0	2	-5

Forest sit 15th with 1 point, while Tottenham are 20th without points, reflecting early season struggles. Although standings are early, Forest's position combined with Tottenham's poor away record adds pressure on Spurs to respond, potentially influencing tactical caution and match tempo.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickNottingham Forest to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts

2.4

Check odds @ 2.4

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Nottingham Forest Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 58%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 59%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

The Nottingham Forest to Win market is priced at 2.45, implying a 40.8% chance, while the model estimates nearly 60% probability, indicating strong value. This discrepancy reflects Forest's recent head-to-head success and Tottenham's struggles, making the home win a price-sensitive but attractive bet without major caution flags.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Nottingham Forest4

Avg corners for

Tottenham6

Nottingham Forest6.5

Avg total corners

Tottenham13

Nottingham Forest2

Avg yellow cards

Tottenham1

Nottingham Forest12

Avg shots

Tottenham13

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 55% · edge +2.9 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

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Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price

Check odds @ 2

Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 53%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 59%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Tottenham average more corners and shots than Forest, but Forest maintain solid defensive discipline with a higher average of yellow cards, indicating physicality and pressure in midfield. The shot-on-target numbers show Tottenham create more chances but lack finishing, while Forest rely on efficient attacking with fewer shots but clinical output.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Nottingham Forest wins

0Draws

5Tottenham wins

22 Mar 2026Tottenham v Nottingham Forest0-3

14 Dec 2025Nottingham Forest v Tottenham3-0

21 Apr 2025Tottenham v Nottingham Forest1-2

26 Dec 2024Nottingham Forest v Tottenham1-0

07 Apr 2024Tottenham v Nottingham Forest3-1

15 Dec 2023Nottingham Forest v Tottenham0-2

Market aligned with main pickNottingham Forest to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts

2.4

Check odds @ 2.4

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

The head-to-head record strongly favors Nottingham Forest, with four consecutive wins including two 3-0 victories. This control highlights Forest's tactical and psychological edge, though Tottenham's recent victory in the sequence was in April 2024. The sample supports Forest's but also suggests Tottenham may seek tactical adjustments.

Season team stats

Premier League

Nottingham Forest2

Played

Tottenham2

Nottingham Forest1

Avg goals for

Tottenham0

Nottingham Forest1.5

Avg goals against

Tottenham2.5

Nottingham Forest0

Clean sheets

Tottenham0

Market aligned with main pickNottingham Forest to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts

2.4

Check odds @ 2.4

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Nottingham Forest Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Nottingham Forest's season stats reveal a balanced attack with an average of 1 goal per game and a solid defense conceding 1.5 goals on average. Tottenham's stats show offensive inefficiency with zero goals scored and defensive frailty conceding 2.5 goals per game, reinforcing Forest's advantage in both scoring and defensive stability.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Nottingham Forest Over 2.5

50%Tottenham Over 2.5

2.8H2H avg goals

Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.8, with Forest's recent wins including two 3-0 results. However, Forest's home matches generally trend towards under 2.5 goals, indicating a match likely to feature controlled tempo and limited scoring opportunities, aligning with a cautious attacking approach from both sides.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Nottingham Forest v Tottenham Stats

Match Report

Nottingham Forest to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Nottingham Forest

Tottenham

Continue the research

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Football Stats Hub

Nottingham Forest v Tottenham Stats

Match Report

Nottingham Forest to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Nottingham Forest

Tottenham

Continue the research

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