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Norway crestNorway
v
Senegal crestSenegal

World Cup | Tue 23 Jun, 01:00

Norway v Senegal Stats

Data last updated: Mon 22 Jun 2026, 03:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Norway and Senegal face off in a crucial World Cup Group I clash at a neutral venue in East Rutherford. Norway arrives on a six-match winning streak, boasting a potent attack averaging 3.2 goals per game and a commanding territorial build-up style. Senegal, unbeaten in 41 of their last 42 matches before a recent loss to France, bring resilience and a disciplined defensive structure. Norway's early scoring tendency contrasts with Senegal's patient buildup, setting the stage for a tactical battle where Norway's offensive pressure meets Senegal's structural durability and counter-attacking threat.

BT4Y best bet

Norway to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Norway on a six-match winning streak, scoring 29 goals in that run
  • Norway averages 3.2 goals per game over last 20 matches, with 80% of shots inside the box
  • Senegal unbeaten in 41 of last 42 matches, but conceded 3 goals vs France recently
  • Both teams have 100% over 2.5 goals and BTTS rates in recent form
  • Norway scored first in 15 of last 20 matches, indicating strong early control

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly supports Norway to Win & Both Teams to Score with a 69% chance and a significant of 46.8%. Norway's dominant six-match winning run and high-quality chance creation, combined with Senegal's consistent scoring and defensive vulnerabilities, underpin this selection. Norway's average of 3.2 goals per game and Senegal's ability to score in 17 of 20 matches suggest both sides will find the net. The price reflects good value given the tactical dynamics and recent form data. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Norway recent form6 consecutive wins, 29 goals scored
Strong positive
Senegal scoring consistencyScored in 17 of last 20 matches
Positive
Norway attacking quality80% shots inside box, 3.2 goals per game
Strong positive
Senegal defensive resilienceUnbeaten in 41 of 42 matches but conceded 3 vs France
Neutral
Main risk

The main risk is Norway's historical difficulty in beating top-20 ranked opponents, meaning Senegal's physical forwards could limit Norway's winning chances if defensive lapses occur.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and BTTS

“Norway's relentless penalty box presence combined with Senegal's counter-attacking threat creates a dynamic contest where both teams are expected to score, but Norway's momentum and territorial control should secure the win.”

Key Data Signals

Norway to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Norway on a six-match winning streak, scoring 29 goals in that run

Norway averages 3.2 goals per game over last 20 matches, with 80% of shots inside the box

Senegal unbeaten in 41 of last 42 matches, but conceded 3 goals vs France recently

Both teams have 100% over 2.5 goals and BTTS rates in recent form

What To Watch In The Data

Norway to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 matches, both teams have consistently produced games with over 2.5 goals, reflecting attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Norway's average goals per game and Senegal's scoring frequency suggest a fast-paced match with multiple scoring opportunities, aligning with the over 2.5 goals trend for this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Norway5
Avg corners for
Senegal4
Norway7
Avg total corners
Senegal10
Norway0
Avg yellow cards
Senegal0
Norway12
Avg shots
Senegal6
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Norway averages 12 shots and 5 corners per game, with 80% of shots inside the box, indicating strong attacking pressure. Senegal averages 6 shots and 4 corners, showing a more measured approach but still capable of creating chances. Both teams have low card averages, suggesting disciplined play with focus on attacking transitions.

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Useful next reads

World Cup hubNorway v Senegal predictioncorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Norway4
Avg goals scored
Senegal1
Norway1
Avg goals conceded
Senegal3
Norway100%
BTTS rate
Senegal100%
Norway100%
Over 2.5 goals
Senegal100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 52% · edge +25.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have consistently scored in recent matches, with Norway scoring in 19 of 20 and Senegal in 17 of 20. Norway's average goals per game (3.2) and Senegal's 1.9 suggest an open game with multiple goals, supporting the BTTS and over 2.5 goals narrative.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickNorway to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 46% · edge +28.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Norway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The of 7/2 for Norway to Win & Both Teams to Score offer strong value, reflecting the model's 69% chance and a 46.8% . The price fairly rewards Norway's dominant form and Senegal's scoring ability, making this a price-sensitive but attractive market to back.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Norway

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
16 Jun 2026A Iraq4-1

Senegal

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
16 Jun 2026A France1-3
Market aligned with main pickNorway to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 46% · edge +28.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Norway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Norway's flawless recent form includes a 4-1 win over Iraq and a six-match winning streak, scoring heavily and showing offensive control. Senegal's recent 3-1 loss to France contrasts with their otherwise strong unbeaten run, indicating a need to respond but also resilience. Both teams have 100% rates for over 2.5 goals and BTTS in recent matches, reinforcing the expected open and competitive nature of this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Norway wins
0Draws
0Senegal wins
Market aligned with main pickNorway to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 46% · edge +28.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
There are no previous meetings between Norway and Senegal to draw direct conclusions from. Therefore, current form, tactical styles, and recent performance data provide the primary basis for this match's analysis rather than historical head-to-head trends.
Season team stats

World Cup

Norway1
Played
Senegal1
Norway4
Avg goals for
Senegal1
Norway1
Avg goals against
Senegal3
Norway0
Clean sheets
Senegal0
Market aligned with main pickNorway to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 46% · edge +28.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Norway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Norway's season stats reveal a high-scoring attack with 63 goals in 20 matches and a conversion rate of 26%, supported by a pass-heavy build-up. Senegal balances structural discipline with a 1.9 goals per game average and strong defensive numbers, conceding only 0.7 goals per match. This contrast underpins the combined pick, with Norway's offensive firepower meeting Senegal's defensive solidity but also scoring ability.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Norway311003
3Senegal01001-2
11Senegal01001-2
Norway leads Group I with 3 points and a +3 goal difference after their opening win, giving them early control. Senegal sits lower, needing a positive result to stay competitive. The group context adds pressure on Senegal to attack, while Norway can play with , influencing tactical approaches and supporting Norway's favored status.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Norway Over 2.5
100%Senegal Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 matches, both teams have consistently produced games with over 2.5 goals, reflecting attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities. Norway's average goals per game and Senegal's scoring frequency suggest a fast-paced match with multiple scoring opportunities, aligning with the over 2.5 goals trend for this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Norway v Senegal prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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