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Norway crestNorway
v
France crestFrance

World Cup | Fri 26 Jun, 20:00

Norway v France Stats

Data last updated: Thu 03 Sep 2026, 00:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Norway face France in World Cup on Fri 26 Jun, 20:00. Foxborough Set For A Group I Firecracker. France boast a relentless shot volume and have scored two or more goals in nine consecutive World Cup matches, making goals on both sides highly probable.

BT4Y best bet

Of France 2-1 means France must win precisely by scoring two goals while conceding exactly once

  • At 23/10, Of France 2-1 means France must win precisely by scoring two goals while conceding exactly once implies roughly 30%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 42%.
  • Norway are just behind them, with seven goals scored and three conceded.
  • France have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Of France 2-1 means France must win precisely by scoring two goals while conceding exactly once angle more than a.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 42% for Of France 2-1 means France must win precisely by scoring two goals while conceding exactly once sits against roughly 30% implied by the current price. France have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Of France 2-1 means France must win precisely by scoring two goals while conceding exactly once angle more than a. Norway are just behind them, with seven goals scored and three conceded.

Model chance vs price42% model chance against roughly 30% implied
Positive
France have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Norway are just behind them, with seven goals scored.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Norway Win is the preferred angle because norway are just behind them, with seven goals scored and three conceded. France have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Norway Win angle more than a raw possession edge. So, yes, this is a meeting of two perfect starts, but not two identical stories.

Main risk

So, yes, this is a meeting of two perfect starts, but not two identical stories.

Key Data Signals

Of France 2-1 means France must win precisely by scoring two goals while conceding exactly once evidence

Norway are just behind them, with seven goals scored and three conceded.

France have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Norway Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Of France 2-1 means France must win precisely by scoring two goals while conceding exactly once notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Norway3.5
    Avg goals scored
    France3
    Norway1.5
    Avg goals conceded
    France0.5
    Norway100%
    BTTS rate
    France50%
    Norway100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    France100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 74%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickNorway to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 21% · edge +15 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 74%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Norway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Norway to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Norway5
    Avg corners for
    France5
    Norway8
    Avg total corners
    France8
    Norway0
    Avg yellow cards
    France0
    Norway12.5
    Avg shots
    France15
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
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    Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Norway

    WW
    Last 52W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 0L
    23 Jun 2026H Senegal3-2
    16 Jun 2026A Iraq4-1

    France

    WW
    Last 52W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 0L
    22 Jun 2026H Iraq3-0
    16 Jun 2026H Senegal3-1
    Market aligned with main pickNorway to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 21% · edge +15 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Norway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Norway wins
    0Draws
    0France wins
    Market aligned with main pickNorway to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 21% · edge +15 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 74%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Norway to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Norway6
    Played
    France8
    Norway2.2
    Avg goals for
    France2.5
    Norway1.8
    Avg goals against
    France1.3
    Norway0
    Clean sheets
    France4
    Market aligned with main pickNorway to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 21% · edge +15 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Norway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Season data supports Norway to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1France933008
    2Norway632011
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Norway Over 2.5
    100%France Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Norway sit at 100% and France sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.