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New England Revolution crestNew England Revolution
v
Houston Dynamo crestHouston Dynamo

Major League Soccer | Sat 08 Aug, 21:30

New England Revolution v Houston Dynamo Stats

Data last updated: Sat 29 Aug 2026, 10:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

New England Revolution face Houston Dynamo in Major League Soccer on Sat 08 Aug, 21:30. Houston have conceded an average of just 0.8 goals across their last 10 league fixtures, compared with New England's 1.1. Both teams maintain active attacking outputs with New England averaging 1.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 61%, above the 27% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 13/20, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Defensive vulnerabilities on New England's side and Houston's clear attacking productivity make goals for both sides highly plausible.
  • Houston Dynamo have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 8 for New England Revolution.
  • New England Revolution sit 4 in the table, while Houston Dynamo sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 61% while the model sits nearer 27% (-33.2 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Houston Dynamo Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 2.02.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. Houston Dynamo have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 8 for New England Revolution. Defensive vulnerabilities on New England's side and Houston's clear attacking productivity make goals for both sides highly plausible.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Negative
Houston Dynamo have the stronger recent points return, taking 11.Visible data support
Positive
New England Revolution sit 4 in the table, while Houston.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive vulnerabilities on New England's side and Houston's clear.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: New England Revolution Win is the preferred angle because defensive vulnerabilities on New England's side and Houston's clear attacking productivity make goals for both sides highly plausible. Houston Dynamo have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 8 for New England Revolution. New England Revolution carry the stronger scoring threat, but Houston Dynamo must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

New England Revolution carry the stronger scoring threat, but Houston Dynamo must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Defensive vulnerabilities on New England's side and Houston's clear attacking productivity make goals for both sides highly plausible.

Houston Dynamo have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 8 for New England Revolution.

Houston Dynamo have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the New England Revolution Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

New England Revolution sit 4 in the table, while Houston Dynamo sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    New England Revolution1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Houston Dynamo1.6
    New England Revolution1
    Avg goals conceded
    Houston Dynamo0.4
    New England Revolution60%
    BTTS rate
    Houston Dynamo40%
    New England Revolution60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Houston Dynamo20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 62% · edge +1.6 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 60% for New England Revolution and 40% for Houston Dynamo, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickNew England Revolution to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 41% · edge -13.4 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
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    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 63%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    New England Revolution Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    New England Revolution to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    New England Revolution5.2
    Avg corners for
    Houston Dynamo3.2
    New England Revolution12.2
    Avg total corners
    Houston Dynamo7.6
    New England Revolution2
    Avg yellow cards
    Houston Dynamo1.8
    New England Revolution13.4
    Avg shots
    Houston Dynamo13.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 60% · edge +2.8 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
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    Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    New England Revolution

    DWDLW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 3D 2L
    02 Aug 2026A CF Montreal2-2
    26 Jul 2026H Atlanta United FC4-1
    23 Jul 2026H Toronto FC0-0
    24 May 2026A Charlotte0-1
    17 May 2026H Minnesota United FC2-1

    Houston Dynamo

    WWDDW
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 2D 2L
    02 Aug 2026A Sporting Kansas City2-0
    26 Jul 2026H Austin3-0
    23 Jul 2026H DC United1-1
    24 May 2026A Los Angeles Galaxy1-1
    17 May 2026H Vancouver Whitecaps1-0
    Market aligned with main pickNew England Revolution to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 41% · edge -13.4 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
    Load more odds for this section
    New England Revolution Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5New England Revolution wins
    2Draws
    3Houston Dynamo wins
    31 Jan 2026New England Revolution v Houston Dynamo2-3
    03 Feb 2025Houston Dynamo v New England Revolution3-3
    03 Oct 2024Houston Dynamo v New England Revolution2-1
    05 Mar 2023New England Revolution v Houston Dynamo3-0
    14 Sep 2022Houston Dynamo v New England Revolution3-1
    30 Jun 2019New England Revolution v Houston Dynamo2-1
    Market aligned with main pickNew England Revolution to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 41% · edge -13.4 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for New England Revolution to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Major League Soccer

    New England Revolution21
    Played
    Houston Dynamo21
    New England Revolution1.6
    Avg goals for
    Houston Dynamo1.4
    New England Revolution1.2
    Avg goals against
    Houston Dynamo1.2
    New England Revolution5
    Clean sheets
    Houston Dynamo9
    Market aligned with main pickNew England Revolution to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 41% · edge -13.4 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
    Load more odds for this section
    New England Revolution Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Season data supports New England Revolution to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Houston Dynamo382112274
    4New England Revolution342110477
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%New England Revolution Over 2.5
    20%Houston Dynamo Over 2.5
    3.6H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: New England Revolution sit at 60% and Houston Dynamo sit at 20% with the H2H average at 3.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.