Football Stats Hub

Napoli crestNapoli
v
Como crestComo

Serie A | Sun 30 Aug, 17:30

Napoli v Como Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 02:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Napoli face Como in Serie A on Sun 30 Aug, 17:30. Como kept 19 league clean sheets last season, the best total in Serie A and the clearest warning against assuming Napoli’s home advantage will automatically produce chances. Napoli and Como both have unbeaten streaks of 1 match, indicating recent resilience.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2

  • At 4/7, Under 2 implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • The Double Chance market (covering a home win or draw) reduces the number of losing scorelines by covering two of the three potential match.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Napoli and 0% for Como, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Napoli are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Como at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Napoli and 100% for Como show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under 2 sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Napoli and 0% for Como, so the goals angle is not just a price call. The Double Chance market (covering a home win or draw) reduces the number of losing scorelines by covering two of the three potential match.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Napoli and 0%.Visible data support
Positive
Napoli are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.Visible data support
Positive
The Double Chance market (covering a home win.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because the Under 2.5 Goals pick is based on Como’s strong defensive record with 19 clean sheets last season and the three previous matches between these teams all ending with fewer. Napoli are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Como at 1. That combination of clean sheets and away durability makes their 1-1 opening draw at Udinese easier to view as continuation rather than cause for concern.

Main risk

That combination of clean sheets and away durability makes their 1-1 opening draw at Udinese easier to view as continuation rather than cause for concern.

Key Data Signals

Under 2 evidence

The Under 2.5 Goals pick is based on Como’s strong defensive record with 19 clean sheets last season.

Napoli are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Como at 1.

BTTS rates of 0% for Napoli and 100% for Como show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2 notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Napoli5
Avg corners for
Como10
Napoli10
Avg total corners
Como11
Napoli1
Avg yellow cards
Como0
Napoli13
Avg shots
Como20
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Serie A analysisfull betting preview for Napoli v Comocorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Napoli2
Avg goals scored
Como1
Napoli0
Avg goals conceded
Como1
Napoli0%
BTTS rate
Como100%
Napoli0%
Over 2.5 goals
Como0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 62% · edge +4.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 0% for Napoli and 0% for Como, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Napoli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Napoli Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Como Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
Como to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 8.5 Corners is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Napoli

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
22 Aug 2026A Genoa2-0

Como

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
22 Aug 2026A Udinese1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 74% · edge -2 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Napoli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Napoli Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Como Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
Como to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Napoli wins
3Draws
1Como wins
02 May 2026Como v Napoli0-0
10 Feb 2026Napoli v Como1-1
01 Nov 2025Napoli v Como0-0
23 Feb 2025Como v Napoli2-1
04 Oct 2024Napoli v Como3-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Napoli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
Como to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Serie A

Napoli5
Played
Como5
Napoli1.4
Avg goals for
Como1.8
Napoli1.2
Avg goals against
Como1.2
Napoli2
Clean sheets
Como0
Best odds for this sectionNapoli to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 41% · edge +1.4 pts
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Load more odds for this section
Napoli Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Como Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Como to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Season data supports Napoli to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Como1053113
9Napoli752121
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Napoli Over 2.5
0%Como Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Napoli sit at 0% and Como sit at 0% with the H2H average at 1.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Napoli v Como prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Frosinone v ComoSerie A · Sun 20 Sep 14:00Parma v GenoaSerie A · Sun 20 Sep 14:00Juventus v AtalantaSerie A · Sun 20 Sep 17:00AC Milan v LecceSerie A · Sun 20 Sep 19:45

Competition and hubs

Serie A hubmore Serie A analysisfull betting preview for Napoli v Comocorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre