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Napoli crestNapoli
v
Bologna crestBologna

Serie A | Sun 13 Sep, 17:00

Napoli v Bologna Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 16:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Napoli face Bologna in Serie A on Sun 13 Sep, 17:00. Bologna have won six of their last eight Serie A away games despite taking only one point from three matches this season, making their broader travelling record much stronger than their current league position suggests.

BT4Y best bet

Napoli to win and both teams to score

  • At 3/1, Napoli to win and both teams to score implies roughly 25%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 34%.
  • A 2-1 scoreline fits Napoli's average 1.67 goals per game and Bologna's inability to keep clean sheets.
  • Napoli need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Napoli on 3 and Bologna on 1.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 67% for Napoli and 33% for Bologna.
  • Napoli to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.67 for Napoli and 0.67 for Bologna are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 34% for Napoli to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 25% implied by the current price. Napoli need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Napoli on 3 and Bologna on 1. A 2-1 scoreline fits Napoli's average 1.67 goals per game and Bologna's inability to keep clean sheets.

Model chance vs price34% model chance against roughly 25% implied
Positive
Napoli need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
A 2-1 scoreline fits Napoli's average 1.67 goals per.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Napoli Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because a 2-1 scoreline fits Napoli's average that scoring level per game and Bologna's inability to keep clean sheets. Napoli need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Napoli on 3 and Bologna on 1. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Napoli to win and both teams to score evidence

A 2-1 scoreline fits Napoli's average 1.67 goals per game and Bologna's inability to keep clean sheets.

Napoli need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Napoli on 3 and Bologna on 1.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 67% for Napoli and 33% for Bologna.

Napoli Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.67 for Napoli and 0.67 for Bologna are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Napoli to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Napoli1.67
Avg goals scored
Bologna0.67
Napoli1.67
Avg goals conceded
Bologna1.33
Napoli67%
BTTS rate
Bologna33%
Napoli67%
Over 2.5 goals
Bologna33%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickNapoli to WinBetUK guide price · Model 57% vs implied 54% · edge +3.1 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Napoli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Napoli to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Napoli4
Avg corners for
Bologna6.67
Napoli11.33
Avg total corners
Bologna11.33
Napoli1.33
Avg yellow cards
Bologna2.33
Napoli14
Avg shots
Bologna17
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 75% vs implied 64% · edge +11.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Napoli

LLW
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
05 Sep 2026A Inter2-3
30 Aug 2026H Como1-2
22 Aug 2026A Genoa2-0

Bologna

DLL
Last 50W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 2L
06 Sep 2026H Sassuolo2-2
31 Aug 2026A Atalanta0-1
24 Aug 2026H Lazio0-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 83% vs implied 85% · edge -1.9 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
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Napoli to WinBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Napoli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Napoli wins
3Draws
3Bologna wins
11 May 2026Napoli v Bologna2-3
22 Dec 2025Napoli v Bologna2-0
09 Nov 2025Bologna v Napoli2-0
07 Apr 2025Bologna v Napoli1-1
25 Aug 2024Napoli v Bologna3-0
11 May 2024Napoli v Bologna0-2
Market aligned with main pickNapoli to WinBetUK guide price · Model 57% vs implied 54% · edge +3.1 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The head-to-head sample gives context for Napoli to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Napoli5
Played
Bologna5
Napoli1.4
Avg goals for
Bologna0.6
Napoli1.2
Avg goals against
Bologna1.2
Napoli2
Clean sheets
Bologna0
Market aligned with main pickNapoli to WinBetUK guide price · Model 57% vs implied 54% · edge +3.1 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Napoli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Season data supports Napoli to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Napoli752121
17Bologna25023-3
Napoli sit in position 9, while Bologna sit in position 17, so table pressure belongs in the Napoli to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Napoli Over 2.5
33%Bologna Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Napoli sit at 67% and Bologna sit at 33% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Napoli v Bologna prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

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