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Napoliv
BolognaSerie A | Mon 11 May, 19:45
Napoli v Bologna Stats
BT4Y best bet
Under 2.5 Goals
- At 1.91, Under 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 52% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 66%, so the current line is showing a +13.6-point value edge.
- Napoli are at 20% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Bologna are at 20%, and the H2H goal average is 2.5.
- The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Napoli have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Bologna have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 20% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 1.91, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 50% · edge +11.7 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
20%Napoli Over 2.5
20%Bologna Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Napoli
DWLDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 recordLast 106W 2D 2L
02 May 2026A Como0-0
24 Apr 2026H Cremonese4-0
18 Apr 2026H Lazio0-2
12 Apr 2026A Parma1-1
06 Apr 2026H AC Milan1-0
Bologna
DLLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 105W 1D 4L
03 May 2026H Cagliari0-0
25 Apr 2026H AS Roma0-2
19 Apr 2026A Juventus0-2
12 Apr 2026H Lecce2-0
05 Apr 2026A Cremonese2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 50% · edge +11.7 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Napoli1.2
Avg goals scoredBologna0.8
Napoli0.6
Avg goals concededBologna1
Napoli20%
BTTS rateBologna20%
Napoli20%
Over 2.5 goalsBologna20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 52% · edge +13.6 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
5Napoli wins
3Draws
2Bologna wins
22 Dec 2025Napoli v Bologna2-0
09 Nov 2025Bologna v Napoli2-0
07 Apr 2025Bologna v Napoli1-1
25 Aug 2024Napoli v Bologna3-0
11 May 2024Napoli v Bologna0-2
24 Sep 2023Bologna v Napoli0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15.1 pts
6
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Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Napoli6.4
Avg corners forBologna5
Napoli9.2
Avg total cornersBologna9
Napoli0.8
Avg yellow cardsBologna1.25
Napoli15
Avg shotsBologna11.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 46% · edge +5.8 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
F. Bernardeschi To Assist / Key Pass AngleF. Bernardeschi · 2 assists · 2.45 key passes/90
71/100
Bet HERE
R. LukakuNapoli · Attacker
Goal threat78/100
Shots /903.6
SOT /901.8
R. OrsoliniBologna · Midfielder
Goal threat71/100
Shots /902.81
SOT /901.29
Alisson SantosNapoli · Attacker
Goal threat70/100
Shots /902.61
SOT /901.78
Juan JesusNapoli · Defender
Goal threat10/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
I. SulemanaBologna · Midfielder
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats
Serie A
Napoli35
PlayedBologna35
Napoli1.5
Avg goals forBologna1.2
Napoli0.9
Avg goals againstBologna1.2
Napoli13
Clean sheetsBologna11
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 50% · edge +11.7 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Napoli | 70 | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Bologna | 49 | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 1 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
