Football Stats Hub

Motor Lublin crestMotor Lublin
v
Gornik Zabrze crestGornik Zabrze

Ekstraklasa | Sat 19 Sep, 19:15

Motor Lublin v Gornik Zabrze Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Motor Lublin face Gornik Zabrze in Ekstraklasa on Sat 19 Sep, 19:15. Motor Lublin come in with 4 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Gornik Zabrze have 12 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Gornik Zabrze to Win

  • At 1.95, Gornik Zabrze to Win implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Gornik Zabrze have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Motor Lublin.
  • Gornik Zabrze have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Gornik Zabrze to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Motor Lublin sit 16 in the table, while Gornik Zabrze sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Gornik Zabrze to Win sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. Gornik Zabrze have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Motor Lublin.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Strong positive
Gornik Zabrze have the stronger recent points return, taking 12.Visible data support
Positive
Gornik Zabrze have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Gornik Zabrze Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Gornik Zabrze have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Motor Lublin. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Gornik Zabrze to Win evidence

Gornik Zabrze have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Motor Lublin.

Gornik Zabrze have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Gornik Zabrze Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Motor Lublin sit 16 in the table, while Gornik Zabrze sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Gornik Zabrze to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Motor Lublin1
    Avg goals scored
    Gornik Zabrze1.8
    Motor Lublin1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Gornik Zabrze1
    Motor Lublin60%
    BTTS rate
    Gornik Zabrze60%
    Motor Lublin40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Gornik Zabrze60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.6 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Motor Lublin

    LLLDW
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 5L
    11 Sep 2026A Raków Częstochowa1-2
    05 Sep 2026H Legia Warszawa2-3
    29 Aug 2026H Piast Gliwice0-2
    22 Aug 2026A Korona Kielce1-1
    16 Aug 2026H GKS Katowice1-0

    Gornik Zabrze

    WWWWL
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 0D 1L
    15 Sep 2026A Korona Kielce2-0
    12 Sep 2026H Lech Poznan2-1
    06 Sep 2026A Cracovia Krakow1-0
    03 Sep 2026A Raków Częstochowa2-1
    30 Aug 2026H GKS Katowice2-3
    Market aligned with main pickGornik Zabrze to WinBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Gornik Zabrze Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Gornik Zabrze2187018
    16Motor Lublin58125-6
    Motor Lublin sit in position 16, while Gornik Zabrze sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Gornik Zabrze to Win assessment.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickGornik Zabrze to WinBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Gornik Zabrze Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Gornik Zabrze to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Motor Lublin4.75
    Avg corners for
    Gornik Zabrze6.67
    Motor Lublin9.5
    Avg total corners
    Gornik Zabrze11.33
    Motor Lublin1.25
    Avg yellow cards
    Gornik Zabrze0.67
    Motor Lublin13.75
    Avg shots
    Gornik Zabrze14.33
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Motor Lublin wins
    0Draws
    0Gornik Zabrze wins
    Market aligned with main pickGornik Zabrze to WinBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Gornik Zabrze to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    Ekstraklasa

    Motor Lublin8
    Played
    Gornik Zabrze0
    Motor Lublin1.1
    Avg goals for
    Gornik Zabrze-
    Motor Lublin1.9
    Avg goals against
    Gornik Zabrze-
    Motor Lublin1
    Clean sheets
    Gornik Zabrze-
    Market aligned with main pickGornik Zabrze to WinBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Gornik Zabrze Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Season data supports Gornik Zabrze to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Motor Lublin Over 2.5
    60%Gornik Zabrze Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Motor Lublin sit at 40% and Gornik Zabrze sit at 60%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

    Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

    More stats pages

    Widzew Łódź v Wieczysta KrakówEkstraklasa · Fri 18 Sep 17:00Wisla Krakow v Slask WroclawEkstraklasa · Fri 18 Sep 19:30Korona Kielce v Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa · Sat 19 Sep 13:45GKS Katowice v Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa · Sat 19 Sep 16:30

    Competition and hubs

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centre

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre