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Maritimo crestMaritimo
v
Benfica crestBenfica

Primeira Liga | Sat 05 Sep, 18:00

Maritimo v Benfica Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 15:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Maritimo face Benfica in Primeira Liga on Sat 05 Sep, 18:00. Marítimo vs Benfica: Home Resilience Meets the League’s Most Potent Attack. Benfica have a strong recent away win record compared to Maritimo's home form. For Marítimo, the issue is therefore not simply limiting possession.

BT4Y best bet

Benfica to win and both teams to score

  • At 19/10, Benfica to win and both teams to score implies roughly 35%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 46%.
  • Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 75% for Maritimo and 67% for Benfica.
  • Benfica to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.5 for Maritimo and 3.67 for Benfica are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 46% for Benfica to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 35% implied by the current price. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 75% for Maritimo and 67% for Benfica. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Model chance vs price46% model chance against roughly 35% implied
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Benfica to win and both teams to score needs both.Visible data support
Positive
Read on for all our free predictions and betting.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Benfica Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because read on for all our free predictions and betting tips. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 75% for Maritimo and 67% for Benfica. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Benfica to win and both teams to score evidence

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 75% for Maritimo and 67% for Benfica.

Benfica Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.5 for Maritimo and 3.67 for Benfica are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Benfica to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Maritimo2.5
Avg corners for
Benfica7.33
Maritimo7
Avg total corners
Benfica8.33
Maritimo1.75
Avg yellow cards
Benfica0.67
Maritimo12
Avg shots
Benfica24.33
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Maritimo1.5
Avg goals scored
Benfica3.67
Maritimo1.25
Avg goals conceded
Benfica1
Maritimo75%
BTTS rate
Benfica67%
Maritimo75%
Over 2.5 goals
Benfica100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +12.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBenfica Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 89% · edge -21.2 pts
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Benfica to WinBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Benfica Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Maritimo

LDWW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
29 Aug 2026A Arouca1-2
22 Aug 2026H Academico Viseu2-2
16 Aug 2026A Famalicao2-1
08 Aug 2026H Casa Pia1-0

Benfica

WWD
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
31 Aug 2026H Estoril2-1
17 Aug 2026A Casa Pia7-0
09 Aug 2026H Academico Viseu2-2
Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 83% vs implied 95% · edge -12 pts
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
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Benfica Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Benfica to WinBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Maritimo wins
0Draws
9Benfica wins
12 Mar 2023Maritimo v Benfica0-3
18 Sep 2022Benfica v Maritimo5-0
30 Apr 2022Maritimo v Benfica0-1
19 Dec 2021Benfica v Maritimo7-1
05 Apr 2021Benfica v Maritimo1-0
30 Nov 2020Maritimo v Benfica1-2
Market aligned with main pickBenfica to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 82% · edge -23.3 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
The head-to-head sample gives context for Benfica to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Primeira Liga

Maritimo7
Played
Benfica7
Maritimo1.1
Avg goals for
Benfica3.1
Maritimo1.7
Avg goals against
Benfica1
Maritimo1
Clean sheets
Benfica3
Market aligned with main pickBenfica Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 89% · edge -21.2 pts
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Load more odds for this section
Benfica to WinBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Season data supports Benfica Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Benfica16751115
11Maritimo87223-4
Maritimo sit in position 11, while Benfica sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Benfica to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Maritimo Over 2.5
100%Benfica Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Maritimo sit at 75% and Benfica sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Maritimo v Benfica prediction

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Next step

Betting context

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