Maritimo
BenficaPrimeira Liga | Sat 05 Sep, 18:00
Maritimo v Benfica Stats
Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:54 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Maritimo hosts Benfica in a Primeira Liga clash where both teams have shown attacking intent early in the season. Maritimo has scored 1.5 goals per game while conceding 1.25, reflecting a somewhat open style. Benfica boasts a potent offense with 3.67 goals per game and a solid defense conceding just one goal per match. Both sides have accumulated 7 points, setting up a competitive fixture with potential for multiple goals given their offensive strengths and defensive vulnerabilities.
Over 3.5 Goals
- Benfica averages 3.67 goals per game, indicating strong attacking form.
- Maritimo concedes 1.25 goals per game, suggesting defensive openness.
- Both teams have high Over 2.5 Goals rates: Maritimo 75%, Benfica 100%.
- Recent head-to-head matches average 3.4 goals per game.
- Benfica averages 24.33 shots per game, nearly double Maritimo's 12 shots.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Over 3.5 Goals with a 58% chance, supported by Benfica's prolific scoring and Maritimo's defensive concessions. Benfica's 100% Over 2.5 rate and high shot volume (24.33 per game) underline their offensive control. Maritimo's 75% Over 2.5 rate and willingness to concede add to the likelihood of a high-scoring game. The head-to-head average of 3.4 goals further supports this expectation. No price warnings apply, making this a strong value bet at 2.25 .
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Expect an open and attacking game as Benfica's high-scoring offense meets Maritimo's less robust defense. Benfica's ability to generate numerous shots and convert chances, combined with Maritimo's tendency to concede, makes Over 3.5 Goals a compelling pick for this fixture.
A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Offensive control and defensive gaps
“Benfica's offensive firepower and Maritimo's defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for a goal-rich encounter. The statistical trends and shot volumes strongly favor a high-scoring match.”
Key Data Signals
Over 3.5 Goals evidence
Benfica averages 3.67 goals per game, indicating strong attacking form.
Maritimo concedes 1.25 goals per game, suggesting defensive openness.
Both teams have high Over 2.5 Goals rates: Maritimo 75%, Benfica 100%.
Recent head-to-head matches average 3.4 goals per game.
What To Watch In The Data
Over 3.5 Goals notes
- Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match stand at 3.4, indicating a historical trend toward high-scoring encounters.
- This trend, combined with recent attacking form, suggests a fast-paced game with multiple goal chances and a strong likelihood of exceeding 2.5 goals.
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
Continue the research
Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Maritimo
Benfica
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Primeira Liga
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Benfica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | Maritimo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
