bet365
BetMGM
Betfred
BetVictor
BetUK
LiveScoreBet
10Bet
Virgin Bet
EasyBet
Marítimo vs Benfica: Home Resilience Meets the League’s Most Potent Attack. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Benfica's prolific scoring and high shot volume contrast with Marítimo's defensive concessions, while Marítimo's consistent scoring offers a route for both teams to find the net. Benfica's superior attacking pressure and historical dominance support an away win with goals at both ends.
Benfica's average of 2.7 goals per league match and Marítimo's 5.3 shots on target allowed per game support a 3-1 scoreline. Marítimo's scoring record and Benfica's occasional defensive vulnerability make a single home goal plausible alongside a three-goal away win.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Maritimo v Benfica.
Marítimo’s encouraging return to the Primeira Liga faces its sharpest examination yet when Benfica arrive in Madeira on Saturday.
Maritimo vs Benfica — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Benfica have a strong recent away win record compared to Maritimo's home form.
Maritimo hold the stronger winning edge, while Benfica still offer enough threat for BTTS.
Maritimo and Benfica look closely matched defensively, pointing towards a tight scoreline.
Maritimo and Benfica show similar overall levels, making execution more important than raw form.
Three Punchy Stats
- Benfica have scored 29 goals in their last eight matches across all competitions, reaching at least two goals in seven of them. Marítimo’s home record may be sturdy, but this is a different level of attacking test.
- Marítimo have allowed 5.3 shots on target per league game, while Benfica have averaged seven across their last 10 league matches. That overlap identifies the clearest area of pressure.
- Pavlidis has five league goals already. Against a Marítimo side conceding 1.3 goals per match so far, his current scoring rate gives the hosts an obvious problem to contain.
Recent Wins Comparison
Recent attacking records for Maritimo and Benfica are shown below.
Defensive Concession Comparison
Recent defensive records for Maritimo and Benfica are shown below.
The hosts have taken seven points from four matches, exactly the same total Benfica have collected from three, but the routes to that return have been markedly different.
Marítimo began with wins over Casa Pia and Famalicão before taking only one point from their next two. Benfica, after opening with a draw against Académico de Viseu, have responded with consecutive league victories and carry substantially greater attacking momentum. The central question is whether Marítimo’s recent home resilience can withstand a Benfica side generating chances and goals at a rate the hosts have not yet had to contain.
Benfica’s attacking volume carries real substance
Marco Silva’s side have scored 29 goals across their last eight matches in all competitions, finding the net at least twice in seven of them. That run includes seven against Casa Pia and a 2-1 win over Estoril Praia last weekend, when Vangelis Pavlidis and Clement Lenglet scored.
Their broader league numbers support the same picture rather than flattering it. Across Benfica’s last 10 league matches, they have averaged 19.2 attempts, seven shots on target and 2.7 goals per game. That is considerable attacking volume backed by efficient output.
Benfica have already scored 11 times in three league fixtures this season, while Pavlidis leads the Primeira Liga scoring chart with five goals. For Marítimo, the issue is therefore not simply limiting possession. Benfica’s recent record suggests they are capable of converting sustained pressure into meaningful chances and goals.
Marítimo are competitive, but their margin is thinner
The promoted side have averaged 11 attempts and 4.5 shots on target across their opening four league matches, scoring six goals. Those figures are respectable, particularly alongside two early victories, but they sit well below Benfica’s recent attacking production.
Defensively, Marítimo have conceded five league goals while allowing an average of 11.8 attempts and 5.3 efforts on target per match. That creates an uncomfortable contrast: Benfica average seven shots on target over their last 10 league games, while Marítimo are already allowing opponents more than five.
Yet dismissing the hosts would ignore one of the more relevant contextual factors. They have lost only once in their last eight competitive home matches stretching back into their Liga 2 title-winning season. Benfica also arrive with an imposing historical advantage, having won the last six meetings and seven of the previous eight, but Marítimo’s sole success in that sequence came at home.
Tejón gives Marítimo something to build around
Martin Tejón scored at Arouca last weekend, giving Marítimo the lead before they eventually lost 2-1, and he also has an assist this season. His contribution matters because the hosts may need to make limited attacking opportunities count against opponents who tend to control more of the ball.
Benfica have averaged 57% possession and 479.4 passes across their last 10 league matches compared with Marítimo’s 43.5% possession and 358.3 passes across four this term. The likely pressure imbalance is difficult to ignore, even without assuming how either side will set up.
Selection uncertainty could slightly alter that equation. Fredrik Aursnes has returned to training following an ankle sprain, while Enzo Barrenechea is also a doubt. João Palhinha made his debut from the bench against Estoril and could come into contention. Marítimo, meanwhile, have concerns over Simo Bouzaidi, Tomás Tavares, Nathanael Ogbeta, Yellu Santiago and Maxime Dominguez.
📊 Market Explainer
Win & Both Teams to Score
Selection: Benfica to win and both teams to score. The selected team must win in normal time and both teams must score. If the selected team draws or loses, or either side fails to score, the bet loses.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Marítimo vs Benfica 1-3. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Benfica to win and both teams to score @ 19/10
Benfica enter this fixture displaying significant attacking output, having scored 29 goals across their last eight matches in all competitions while finding the net at least twice in seven of those fixtures. Their long-term league figures highlight a consistent threat, with an average of 19.2 total attempts and seven shots on target per game across their past ten league outings. With 11 goals already registered through their opening three Primeira Liga matches, Marco Silva’s side possess the necessary volume to break down top-flight opponents.
That attacking volume intersects directly with Marítimo’s defensive profile through four league matches. The home side have conceded five goals while allowing opposing teams an average of 11.8 attempts and 5.3 shots on target per game. With Benfica generating seven shots on target per match, Marítimo’s backline will face continuous pressure. Conversely, Marítimo have scored six goals across their four league fixtures, averaging 11 attempts and 4.5 shots on target. Martin Tejón’s recent goal against Arouca demonstrates that the hosts can capitalise on limited opportunities, matching a Benfica side that conceded in their recent 2-1 victory over Estoril Praia.
Marítimo’s strong record of losing only once in their past eight competitive home games offers reasonable grounds for competitive resistance in Madeira. However, Benfica have won the last six meetings between these clubs, supported by an average possession share of 57% and 479.4 passes per game compared to Marítimo’s 43.5% possession. While Marítimo’s home resilience creates a plausible route to a goal, Benfica’s superior shot frequency provides the stronger basis for an away victory.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Benfica have scored 29 goals in their last eight matches, scoring twice in seven of them.
- Marítimo allow 5.3 shots on target per match, facing Benfica's seven shots on target average.
- Marítimo have scored in all four league matches this season.
Risk Factor: If Benfica keep a clean sheet or Marítimo restricts Benfica to fewer than two goals, the main tip loses.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Averaging 7.0 shots on target per league match and scoring 29 goals across their last eight games in all competitions.
Allowing opponents an average of 5.3 shots on target and 11.8 total attempts per match in the Primeira Liga.
⚔️ Pick 2: Marítimo vs Benfica 1-3 @ 9/1
Scoreline Rationale: Benfica’s average of 2.7 goals per league match matches Marítimo’s defensive concession rate of 5.3 shots on target allowed per game, making a three-goal visitor output realistic alongside a Marítimo home goal.
Justifying a 3-1 scoreline requires separate evidence for both Benfica’s three-goal target and Marítimo’s single goal. Benfica’s three-goal projection builds upon their average of 2.7 goals per game across their last ten league matches, alongside scoring 11 times in their opening three league fixtures this season. Vangelis Pavlidis leads the league with five goals, supported by a team generating seven shots on target per match. Against a Marítimo side permitting 5.3 shots on target and 1.3 goals per game, Benfica have sufficient opportunity to reach three goals.
Marítimo’s goal is supported by their output of six goals across four league games, alongside an average of 4.5 shots on target per match. Martin Tejón has already contributed a goal and an assist this term, scoring in last weekend’s 2-1 defeat to Arouca. Furthermore, Benfica have shown vulnerability by conceding in two of their three league fixtures this season, including a 2-1 win over Estoril Praia and a 1-1 draw against Académico de Viseu. Marítimo’s record of losing just once in eight home matches further supports their ability to score.
The primary risk to this exact scoreline stems from Benfica securing a clean sheet or converting additional chances into a wider margin. While Benfica have won six consecutive head-to-head encounters, an exact scoreline remains fragile because a single additional goal or defensive shutout invalidates the selection. Nevertheless, the combination of Benfica’s high goal volume and Marítimo’s home scoring record makes 3-1 a coherent outcome.
Risk Factor: A clean sheet by Benfica or a lower scoring game invalidates the exact score prediction.
Frequently Asked Questions
What conditions must be met for "Benfica to win and both teams to score" to win?
Benfica must win and Marítimo must score at least one goal within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
How does the Correct Score 1-3 market settle?
It wins only if the final score is exactly Marítimo 1, Benfica 3 at full-time.
What is Benfica's recent goalscoring form heading into this fixture?
Benfica have scored 29 goals in their last eight matches, scoring two or more in seven games.
How strong is Marítimo's recent home record in Madeira?
Marítimo have lost only once in their past eight competitive home matches.
Who is currently leading the Primeira Liga goalscoring charts?
Benfica forward Vangelis Pavlidis leads with five goals in three matches.
How many shots on target do Marítimo allow per match?
Marítimo allow an average of 5.3 shots on target per league game.
