Lyon

Sparta Praha

UEFA Champions League | Tue 11 Aug, 20:00

Lyon v Sparta Praha Stats

Data last updated: Tue 25 Aug 2026, 10:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lyon face Sparta Praha in UEFA Champions League on Tue 11 Aug, 20:00. Lyon come in with 0 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Sparta Praha have 3 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

At 1.6, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 78%.
The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Lyon and 100% for Sparta Praha, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Sparta Praha are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Lyon at 1.
BTTS rates of 100% for Lyon and 100% for Sparta Praha show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 78% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Lyon and 100% for Sparta Praha, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price78% model chance against roughly 63% implied

Strong positive

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Lyon and 100%.Visible data support

Positive

Sparta Praha are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Lyon and 100% for Sparta Praha, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Lyon and 100% for Sparta Praha, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Sparta Praha are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Lyon at 1.

BTTS rates of 100% for Lyon and 100% for Sparta Praha show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Lyon9

Avg corners for

Sparta Praha6

Lyon15

Avg total corners

Sparta Praha15

Lyon0

Avg yellow cards

Sparta Praha2

Lyon11

Avg shots

Sparta Praha9

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 64% · edge +5.3 pts

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

more UEFA Champions League analysis corners trends hub player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lyon1

Avg goals scored

Sparta Praha2

Lyon2

Avg goals conceded

Sparta Praha1

Lyon100%

BTTS rate

Sparta Praha100%

Lyon100%

Over 2.5 goals

Sparta Praha100%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 63% · edge +15 pts

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%

1.2

Check odds @ 1.2

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 63% · edge +15 pts

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Sparta Praha Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 39%

4.25

Check odds @ 4.25

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Sparta Praha to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%

Check odds @ 7

DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%

Check odds @ 5

Lyon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.21

Check odds @ 1.21

Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lyon

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

04 Aug 2026A Sparta Praha1-2

Sparta Praha

Last 51W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 0L

04 Aug 2026H Lyon2-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 3

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Sparta Praha Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 39%

4.25

Check odds @ 4.25

Sparta Praha to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%

Check odds @ 7

DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%

Check odds @ 5

Lyon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.21

Check odds @ 1.21

Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 49%

1.08

Check odds @ 1.08

Lyon to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Lyon wins

0Draws

1Sparta Praha wins

04 Aug 2026Sparta Praha v Lyon2-1

04 Nov 2021Lyon v Sparta Praha3-0

21 Oct 2021Sparta Praha v Lyon3-4

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 63% · edge +15 pts

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Sparta Praha to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%

Check odds @ 7

DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%

Check odds @ 5

Lyon to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Lyon3

Played

Sparta Praha2

Lyon1.7

Avg goals for

Sparta Praha1

Lyon1

Avg goals against

Sparta Praha2

Lyon1

Clean sheets

Sparta Praha0

Best odds for this sectionSparta Praha Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts

4.25

Check odds @ 4.25

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Sparta Praha to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%

Check odds @ 7

Lyon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.21

Check odds @ 1.21

Lyon to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Season data supports Sparta Praha Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Lyon Over 2.5

100%Sparta Praha Over 2.5

4.33H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lyon sit at 100% and Sparta Praha sit at 100% with the H2H average at 4.33 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Lyon v Sparta Praha Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Lyon

Sparta Praha

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Football Stats Hub

Lyon v Sparta Praha Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Lyon

Sparta Praha

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