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Los Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FC
v
New York Red Bulls crestNew York Red Bulls

Major League Soccer | Thu 10 Sep, 03:30

Los Angeles FC v New York Red Bulls Stats

Data last updated: Thu 10 Sep 2026, 16:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Los Angeles FC face New York Red Bulls in a Major League Soccer clash where both teams show contrasting styles but a shared tendency to generate set-piece opportunities. Los Angeles FC, positioned third in the standings, rely on sustained attacking pressure and wide play to create corners, while New York Red Bulls, ranked tenth, often respond with quick transitions and physical duels. Recent form data reveals both sides average a combined 13.8 corners per game, suggesting a lively contest with frequent territorial shifts and set-piece battles. The fixture promises intensity and tactical battles on the flanks that could drive corner counts higher.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Los Angeles FC average 8.2 corners per game, indicating strong attacking wing play.
  • New York Red Bulls contribute 5.6 corners per match, adding to total set-piece chances.
  • Model projects a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, showing clear value at 1.73 .
  • Recent matches show both teams engage in wide attacks and sustained pressure, boosting corner potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a value bet with a 69% chance against a 57.8% implied market chance, reflecting an 11.2% . Both teams exhibit attacking styles that generate numerous corners, with Los Angeles FC's 8.2 and New York Red Bulls' 5.6 average corners per game combining for a high total. The match context of territorial battles and wing play supports frequent corner situations. is strong at 81%, making this a compelling bet without price warnings or data limitations.

Model Chance69%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance57.8%
Positive
Value Edge11.2%
Strong positive
Confidence Level81%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a high volume of corners as Los Angeles FC's aggressive wing play meets New York Red Bulls' physical style, which often leads to fouls and set-piece situations. The combined average corner count and tactical emphasis on flank attacks suggest Over 9.5 Corners is a solid selection for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This matchup features two teams that consistently pressure on the wings and force defensive clearances, making a high corner count likely. The statistical edge combined with tactical tendencies points to Over 9.5 Corners as a smart bet.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Los Angeles FC average 8.2 corners per game, indicating strong attacking wing play.

New York Red Bulls contribute 5.6 corners per match, adding to total set-piece chances.

Model projects a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, showing clear value at 1.73 .

Recent matches show both teams engage in wide attacks and sustained pressure, boosting corner potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last four head-to-head matches, an average of 3.75 goals suggests open play but moderate scoring.
  • However, the corner trend over recent matches shows sustained wing pressure and fouling, indicating a tempo that supports Over 2.5 Goals and a high corner count, consistent with the main pick.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Los Angeles FC9.33
Avg corners for
New York Red Bulls7
Los Angeles FC12.67
Avg total corners
New York Red Bulls10
Los Angeles FC0.67
Avg yellow cards
New York Red Bulls1
Los Angeles FC23.33
Avg shots
New York Red Bulls11
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Los Angeles FC's high average shots (19) and corners (8.2) reflect sustained pressure and wide attacks. New York Red Bulls' physical style, with fewer corners but more fouls, contributes to set-piece frequency. This combination fuels the likelihood of over 9.5 corners.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Los Angeles FC0.6
Avg goals scored
New York Red Bulls0.6
Los Angeles FC1
Avg goals conceded
New York Red Bulls1.4
Los Angeles FC40%
BTTS rate
New York Red Bulls60%
Los Angeles FC20%
Over 2.5 goals
New York Red Bulls40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have modest goal-scoring rates but differ in attacking intent. While goal totals are low, the focus on wing play and physical duels increases set-piece chances, supporting a high corner count despite moderate goal expectations.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 69% · edge +5.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
New York Red Bulls Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
New York Red Bulls to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Los Angeles FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively at 1.73 with a of 69%, indicating clear value. The 11.2% suggests the market underestimates the frequency of corners in this fixture, making it a positive price opportunity without warning flags.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Los Angeles FC

DDDLL
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
06 Sep 2026A Real Salt Lake2-2
30 Aug 2026A DC United0-0
23 Aug 2026H Portland Timbers1-1
20 Aug 2026A Colorado Rapids0-1
16 Aug 2026H San Diego0-1

New York Red Bulls

DLDLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
06 Sep 2026A Seattle Sounders0-0
30 Aug 2026H Philadelphia Union1-3
23 Aug 2026H Chicago Fire1-1
20 Aug 2026H Nashville SC0-1
16 Aug 2026A Atlanta United FC1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
New York Red Bulls Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
New York Red Bulls to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Los Angeles FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Los Angeles FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Recent form shows Los Angeles FC averaging 8.2 corners and New York Red Bulls 5.6 per game, with both teams engaging in wide attacks and physical duels. This trend supports the Over 9.5 Corners pick as both sides maintain styles that produce frequent corners.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Los Angeles FC wins
1Draws
1New York Red Bulls wins
21 Apr 2024Los Angeles FC v New York Red Bulls2-2
26 Jun 2022Los Angeles FC v New York Red Bulls2-0
12 Aug 2019Los Angeles FC v New York Red Bulls4-2
05 Aug 2018New York Red Bulls v Los Angeles FC2-1
Best odds for this sectionNew York Red Bulls to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 28% vs implied 13% · edge +15 pts
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Load more odds for this section
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Los Angeles FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The four recent meetings between these teams average 3.75 goals but also show competitive play with frequent wide attacks and defensive pressure. While goal data is moderate, the physical and tactical nature of these encounters supports a high corner count, providing background support for the Over 9.5 Corners selection.
Season team stats

Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC25
Played
New York Red Bulls24
Los Angeles FC1.6
Avg goals for
New York Red Bulls1.3
Los Angeles FC1
Avg goals against
New York Red Bulls2
Los Angeles FC13
Clean sheets
New York Red Bulls2
Best odds for this sectionNew York Red Bulls Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Load more odds for this section
New York Red Bulls to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Los Angeles FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Los Angeles FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Season-long data confirms Los Angeles FC's strong corner generation (8.2 per game) and New York Red Bulls' moderate contribution (5.6), combining for a high total. Defensive tendencies and fouling rates further increase set-piece chances, reinforcing the corner market selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Los Angeles FC4025117716
12New York Red Bulls27247611-16
Los Angeles FC's higher league position reflects a more dominant style that often translates into territorial advantage and more corners. New York Red Bulls' lower rank aligns with a reactive style that still yields set-piece opportunities, making the corner market relevant despite standings.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Los Angeles FC Over 2.5
40%New York Red Bulls Over 2.5
3.75H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head matches, an average of 3.75 goals suggests open play but moderate scoring. However, the corner trend over recent matches shows sustained wing pressure and fouling, indicating a tempo that supports Over 2.5 Goals and a high corner count, consistent with the main pick.

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